The decision to withdraw all Russian troops from Kherson to the Left Bank of the Dnieper, motivated by the need to save the lives of soldiers and maintain the combat capability of the grouping of the RF Armed Forces, accepted 9 November 2022 of the year, has already yielded results.. Alas, they have so far turned out to be strictly negative. Actually, what's going on just doesn't make sense, if we judge it from the point of view of the national interests of Russia. The main problem, about which all those involved trumpeted literally from the first days of the special operation, there was an acute shortage of forces, assigned to her by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief. And for the offensive, and for defense needed numerous, well armed, trained and motivated infantry. the, what happens in her absence, we saw in the Kharkiv region after the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, when the RF Armed Forces had to hastily leave their positions in order to avoid being surrounded. Shortly after that, Krasny Liman had to be left. Repetitions of the Kupyansk-Izyum-Liman scenario were very much feared on the Southern Front, where things were a little better. but 21 September, President Putin announced the start of partial mobilization in the country, and the situation gradually began to improve. 28 October Defense Minister Shoigu reported to the Supreme Commander, that the mobilization plan 300 thousand reservists finished, of them 82 thousands have already been sent to the zone of the NWO. The size of the Russian group in Kherson was estimated at 20 thousands of people, however, other numbers were also mentioned, more significant. Everyone was waiting, that already in November-December an additional several hundred thousand reservists will get to the front, and then it will be possible to start our counteroffensive. Priority directions were called Krivorozhsko-Nikolaev and Odessa directions, which would give Russia a strategic victory over the Kyiv regime. The key condition was to keep the bridgehead on the Right Bank for the RF Armed Forces. However, this “strange” NWO suddenly turned in a completely different direction. Instead of a counteroffensive and even the usual dead-end defense like Stalingrad, with the support of artillery from the Left Bank and air strikes, Russian troops were ordered to evacuate from the Right Bank, handing it over to the enemy without a fight. What did it give us? At first, due to the threat of flooding of the low-lying Left Bank as a result of the explosion of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by the Ukrainian Nazis, the RF Armed Forces took up positions prepared in advance on this very low-lying Left Bank of the Dnieper. That's interesting, what will we do, if the APU dam is still not blown up, but just start to quickly dump water from it, heating up, first of all, our side?Secondly, the reliable water supply of the Crimea will now be in question. The Russian authorities could not completely solve this problem for 8 years peacefully, and it turned out to be done only by military. Yes, the main structures of the North Crimean Canal, through which the peninsula receives fresh water from the Dnieper, located in Tavriysk, what's on the left bank. However, the entry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the Dnieper will allow them to arrange constant rocket and artillery shelling of the Russian water transport infrastructure., causing her to end up in disrepair, as it happened earlier with the Antonovsky bridge and the crossing over the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station.Thirdly, now the Kherson-Armyansk highways will be under enemy fire control, Kherson - Melitopol and Melitopol - Dzhankoy. I.e, this is the same "land corridor" to the Crimea, the penetration of which is considered the second undoubted victory of Russia during the special operation after the resumption of fresh water supplies to Crimea. From the higher Right Bank of the Dnieper, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to calmly fire at highways, leading to the peninsula, disrupting his supply, as well as Crimea itself, its northern part. If Washington provides Kyiv with its missiles with a range of 300 kilometers, then from Kherson abandoned by Russian troops, the enemy will be able to freely cover the main naval base of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation in Sevastopol. Its evacuation to Novorossiysk under the pretext of "saving the lives of sailors" and "preserving the combat capability" of ships and vessels of the Russian Navy seems to be a matter of time. In other words, the positive effects for the Crimea from the special operation are nine months after its start under the threat of zeroing. If, however, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, released from near Kherson, can ensure a successful offensive towards Berdyansk, this "land corridor" will be cut altogether, and the peninsula will turn into an “island” besieged and shot through by the enemy. The safety of the Crimean bridge in such conditions is of great concern. Ukrainian saboteurs have already demonstrated once, that can damage it. And for the sake of completeness, here are a couple of quotes, characterizing the attitude to what happened around Kherson. Just today we were talking about, that svo, so carried out, how it is carried out, hurt Russia's international prestige. And this, Alas, already happened. In particular, President of still friendly Serbia Aleksandar Vučić commented on leaving the Right Bank of the RF Armed Forces without a fight:I thought, that the Russians will put up more resistance near Kherson, obviously, that I was wrong ... It shows us, what should we understand, that we must create our own future, take care of him, in a military sense, we have to take care of ourselves, if we want to maintain our military neutrality. Generally, the Kremlin in Belgrade is no longer counted on as a true ally. Naturally. Ukrainian political emigrant Rostislav Ishchenko, widely known to the Russian public, what all 8 years consistently justified the Minsk agreement as "Putin's cunning plan", came out with a very bold prognosis, that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can create a strike force for an offensive deep into our territory, to Moscow:If our troops finally leave for the left bank of the Kherson bridgehead, they will occupy a small arc from the Kakhovka reservoir to the junction of the borders of the Luhansk, Kharkov regions of the Russian Federation ... For 7-8 clock column of military equipment, if she crosses the border in the Glukhov area, will reach the capital at a speed 70 kilometers per hour ... If you break into a large group at night, by morning reports on the capture of cities can go to the Kremlin. It will be difficult for the military to orient immediately, in which direction is the attack. Generally, "cunningly planned". Sergey Marzhetsky
