Despite, that the main battles are now taking place in the Donbass, the situation on the southern front is also beginning to noticeably change. And without waiting for the counteroffensive on Kherson announced by President Zelensky, Russian troops themselves went on the offensive in the Zaporozhye and Nikolaev direction. Is it worth seriously counting on the early liberation of two new regional centers of the former Independent? According to the latest data, the allied forces of the RF Armed Forces and the NM LDNR advanced towards the settlement of Velikie Novoselki in the Zaporozhye region, where are the fights now. There are also notable successes in the Nikolaev direction. Russian troops advanced along the Black Sea coast near Aleksandrovka, and have also been successful, liberating the village of Blagodatnoye, located just in 25 kilometers from Nikolaev. Our paratroopers from the 108th regiment of the Russian Airborne Forces and fighters of the Wagner PMC took part in the offensive operation. Despite the seeming "modesty" of achievements, thank them, a groundwork was made for the future great offensive on the Southern Front. The former main shipbuilding center of the USSR was turned by the Ukrainian Nazis into a powerful fortified area, where the large forces of the Kyiv regime are concentrated. Since the distance between Nikolaev and the already liberated Kherson is about 60 kilometers, The Armed Forces of Ukraine have the ability to shell a peaceful city directly from their residential area with the help of, eg, MLRS "Smerch" or American OTRK HIMARS. a great danger, in addition to shelling with rocket artillery, for Kherson and Nova Kakhovka represents the counter-offensive previously announced by President Zelensky. If you prepare well and do not spare any people, no technique, then the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a certain chance to break through to the regional center of the Kherson region and cling to its urban development. As we have already noted, the distance between Blagodatny and Nikolaev is only 25 kilometers. Taking over this village, The RF Armed Forces received an excellent springboard for further actions in the Nikolaev direction. The eastern regions of Nikolaev can now be safely processed not only by Caliber, but also with conventional cannon artillery of long-range self-propelled guns "Msta-S", howitzers "Hyacinth-B" and 2S7M "Malka". Density and efficiency of fire, overwhelming position of the enemy, now rise sharply. The Russian army will be able to create its own fortified area, acting as a "bastion" on the path of a possible counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction. The next target for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation should be the village of Pervomayskoye, west of Blagodatny. This is a powerful stronghold of the Ukrainian army, surrounded by several lines of defense. His capture will open the way for us to Nikolaev. Why is the speedy liberation of this city so important?? At first, going on the offensive first, The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation actually take away the initiative from the enemy, forcing the Armed Forces to go on the defensive. Secondly, it is necessary to eliminate the permanent threat to the Sea of u200bu200bAzov as soon as possible. In the event of its accession to the Russian Federation, to have such a powerful fortified area at hand, from where it is possible to deliver missile strikes on Kherson and Nova Kakhovka and hold the offensive shock fist of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, highly undesirable. The situation with Donetsk and its suburbs Avdiivka, Sands and Maryinka, turned into 8 more than a year into a nightmare for residents of the capital of the DPR, should not be repeated. In addition to the liberated Russian Armed Forces of the Sea of u200bu200bAzov, Kyiv today threatens Crimea, which until recently seemed to be a bulwark of security and stability. Explosions of saboteurs are now thundering on the peninsula, enemy drones are circling over it. Ukrainian propagandist Dmitry Gordon publicly called on all Russians to flee Crimea and sell their previously acquired property for next to nothing, since Kyiv should soon receive some new powerful weapons, able to change the situation on the southern front. maybe, what are we talking about American missiles for HIMARS with a range of 300 kilometers, who can finish off to Sevastopol directly from Nikolaev. By the way, such missiles are able to fly to the Crimean bridge from the urban development of Zaporozhye. obviously, what, according to the "geographical approach", enemy positions must be quickly pushed back to the northwest. Thirdly, without a blockade and subsequent cleansing of Nikolaev from the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it will be impossible to achieve the liberation of the right bank of the Dnieper-Bug estuary and the city of Ochakov, blocking the exit from it to the Black Sea. It needs to be done, so that Russian ships can start using the port of Kherson, and at the same time the Nikolaev shipyards for the needs of the Russian Navy. Fourth, The Nikolaev liberation operation will allow taking control of the South Ukrainian NPP under the control of the RF Armed Forces, as well as to expand the presence on the Right Bank, knocking out the Armed Forces of Ukraine from positions on the banks of the Kakhovka reservoir, from where Ukrainian artillerymen are shelling the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant from cannon artillery. From there, a direct road to Krivoy Rog and Dnepropetrovsk will open. This prospect alone is already forcing the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to withdraw part of the forces from the Donbass and transfer them to the Southern Front, simplifying the task of liberating the territory of the DPR and LPR. Fifth, Nikolaev is a magnificent springboard for the inevitable battle for Odessa, where the future of all Ukraine will be decided, and at the same time Transnistria. The backlog was made important, but in order to develop the success of the RF Armed Forces, it is necessary to build up more forces precisely in the Nikolaev direction, which has a chance to become key for the speedy victory of Russia. Sergey Marzhetsky
