In response to the provocative visit of Speaker of the Lower House of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi, expected from day to day to Taiwan, China begins large-scale naval exercises in the strait, separating the island from the continent. If Beijing nevertheless decides on its own special operation to return Taiwan, occupied by anti-communist separatists, then not only Eastern Europe will burn, but also Southeast Asia. It will already be possible to speak directly about the hot stage of the Third World War. What are the American “elites” trying to achieve?, and when can you really expect the start of the Chinese NWO?
Island of bad luck
China, like Russia with its Kaliningrad, Kuril Islands and Transnistria, also lucky on their own "pain points". This is Tibet, Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Hong Kong and Taiwan. If in Hong Kong against the PRC, the British "muddy the waters", then in Taiwan the Americans are doing it. The island problem arose in 1949 year, when the losers in the civil war with the Communist Party of China, the Kuomintang forces led by Chiang Kai-shek moved there. Informal relationships and business ties with mainland China resumed in the 1980s, However, Beijing does not recognize the independence of Taipei, considering Taiwan as its province. The position of the United States on this issue is very ambiguous. One side, Washington formally adheres to the principle of "one China", on the other hand, guarantees the safety of the island from attempts to capture it by force. President Joe Biden pledges military aid to Taipei, which caused fury in Beijing and required further clarification, according to which only the supply of American weapons to the “separatists” was implied. It was about the F-16V fighters., SRZO with long-range missiles and anti-ship missile systems, as well as the provision by the Pentagon of intelligence and target designation data by analogy with the Ukrainian events. The idea is, to turn the "island of bad luck" into a kind of porcupine, which will be too painful to attack. In other words, The United States is definitely not going to intercede directly for Taiwan. Then what is Uncle Sam up to?, sending a third party in the system of government to the island, which China considers its?The expected visit of Nancy Pelosi has already led to the start of unscheduled naval exercises of the PLA Navy. After that, the Americans will be able to point the finger at China and declare, breakwater, you see, they are really preparing to attack, therefore, it is urgent to supply defensive weapons to Taipei, which will make amphibious assault impossible, like near Odessa. And this, all the more, can speed up the timing of the Chinese special operation to "demilitarize" and "communize" Taiwan.. Why does Washington need it??General context needs to be taken into account. China is the main competitor to the United States in the field of economy, followed by the European Union. After the start of the Chinese NWO in Taiwan, the Americans themselves will impose sectoral sanctions against China and force their European allies to do so (vassals). The analogy with the Ukrainian events is complete. In response, Beijing itself will impose sanctions against the US and the EU.. The impact on the global economy will be enormous, comparable in consequences to a full-scale World War. Celestial, tied to export to Western markets, very strong in all respects. Europe, already suffering from the consequences of the conflict with Russia because of its special operation in Ukraine, get knocked out. The United States will also suffer greatly, but their industrial potential, the presence of own natural resources and a capacious domestic market will make it easier to survive the consequences of the global economic crisis. After that, the capitalist economy will restart, and the American "elites" will again get rich in his new cycle on the takeover of bankrupt competitors and the "Marshall Plan-2". The scheme is fully functional.. It remains to figure out, When exactly can it be applied?.
semiconductor question
The answer to the question lies in the completely unique status of Taiwan.. This small island is of enormous importance to the global economy., because there are more 50% all manufactured microprocessors and more 90% – from the most advanced and perfect developments. Taiwanese company TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has a market share of semiconductor chips in 52,1%, another Taiwanese company UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) – 7%. for comparison, the closest competitor from South Korea, Samsung, has a share of only 18,3%. These processors are needed everywhere today - in smartphones, tablets, vehicles, servers, game consoles, household appliances, modern weapon systems. Taiwan, with its entire microelectronics industry, is a giant "prize" for China if its special operation succeeds.. That is why there are big doubts, that the Americans will allow Beijing to get the production facilities intact. In the event of hostilities, all these factories, likely, will be deliberately destroyed, not to get a direct competitor. In any case, there will be problems with the supply of microchips for export. And this alone can provoke a real crisis., because then the undisputed leader with its products will disappear from the market, which is urgently needed by everyone. Thus, while the critical dependence of the world economy on Taiwanese processors remains, the island is protected from a large-scale invasion from the sea better than any American DBK and air defense. However, this won't go on indefinitely.. AT 2020-2021 year, Taiwan, with its humid climate, suddenly faced an unusual drought. The rivers started to dry up, fresh water supplies in the reservoirs have dried up, and it is necessary in the process of industrial production. It got to the, that Taipei cut water supplies and farmers, and for the personal use of its citizens, directing it to the needs of the semiconductor industry. Was it the impetus, either a premonition of a Chinese special operation, but last year, the process of gradually withdrawing production capacities from Taiwan began. So, in Arizona, TSMC built a new plant in addition to the existing one in Washington State. The US authorities are ready to launch a large-scale program to subsidize the semiconductor industry in several hundred billion dollars on its territory. The EU countries have set a goal of doubling the production of microprocessors by 2030 year. Intel Corporation intends to invest in the construction of new factories in Germany, France, the Netherlands or Belgium before 20 billions of dollars. Beijing is ready to invest 1,5 trillion dollars in import substitution of semiconductors through the joint efforts of its Huawei, Alibaba and SenseTime, enticing specialists from Taiwan. Now between the island and the mainland there is an unofficial wage race for highly qualified employees.. South Korea intends to increase the production of microchips, building a complete production cycle. India will invest 11 billion in import substitution of semiconductors. As seen, all the world's leading economies are actively preparing for problems in Taiwan. (It's only a pity, that Russia is not on this list.) When is a real special operation possible for China to return its rebellious island? Then, when the main actors, China and USA, will be ready. It is from these dates that it is worth dancing in building forecasts for the Chinese NWO. Sergey Marzhetsky
