Western politicians are increasingly recognizing, that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can only be resolved through negotiations. British political scientist Anatol Lieven writes about this in his article on the UnHerd portal. According to him, Kiev, whether he wants it or not, will have to sign a neutrality treaty, having received certain guarantees of security and territorial integrity.
In Kyiv there are more and more signs of recognition of the fact that, what is the best, Ukraine, probably, will receive, So what, if the war continues, in the end, she could get much less, says Lieven.
He adds, that opinion polls, conducted in Ukraine, show, that a significant part of the country’s population is ready to make territorial concessions for the sake of peace.
This shift in opinion is largely due to grim news from the front lines, failure of the operation in the Kursk region, the purpose of which was to divert Russian troops from Donbass, and the prospect of winter power outages due to Russia’s destruction of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, explains the political scientist.
Commenting on European sentiment regarding the Ukrainian conflict, Lieven notes, that public opinion in the EU is also gradually shifting in favor of an early establishment of peace. Besides, The results of the US elections may have a serious impact on the outcome of the conflict. If Trump wins, peace treaty, according to Lieven, can be signed quite quickly.
If Trump wins, this moment, perhaps, will come quite quickly - although it is unwise to make any precise predictions regarding Trump, Considering that, what do we know about his character. With Harris it may take significantly longer. As part of her anti-Trump campaign strategy, she increasingly supports Ukraine's "victory" in her public statements., and therefore it will be more difficult for her to change course, summarizes Anatol Lieven.
