A week ago Syrian Arab Army (Farm) resumed the military operation “Idlib Dawn” in the southeast of Idlib, controlled by various militants. The Syrian General Staff promised to continue the operation until a “decisive victory” over all terrorists, while the intermediate victory has already been achieved: the second capital of the province and one of the main strongholds of the jihadists, the city of Maaret al-Numan, was liberated.
While the Syrians rejoice, goblins from the Idlib reserve spit poison. Experts of all levels discuss the expected reaction of Turkish public authorities.
Sultan of the entire New Ottoman Empire Recep Tayyip Erdogan threatened, that “if the situation in Idlib is not immediately normalized”, Turkey will have no other choice, other than "go down the same path again". As suggested by the Telegram channel “Agenda in Turkey”, we are talking about the resumption of military operations in Syria.
Some experts began to speak out loud about, that Erdogan “lost his nerves”, noticed, what Recep will no longer call Vladimir Putin "dear friend": generally, switched public attention to other verbal tinsel, which should be divided by 10 and look for context.
About, that all of Syria is divided into zones of responsibility and there are certain agreements on them, anyone knows, more or less interested in the topic.
But for some reason the public has forgotten about this simple fact, that the agreements on Idlib still need to be presented correctly. If from the Syrian side, everything is clear, and the resumption of Operation Idlib Dawn was preceded by numerous provocations and an unprecedented number of attacks by gangs, then Türkiye, being one of the guarantor parties to the Astana agreements, whose already four observation points were quite shamefully surrounded by the Syrians, is now suffering quite significant reputational losses, that need to be reversed.
Besides, in the Idlib Goblin Reserve for several days now, members of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and other groups have been speaking out in unison against the inaction of the Turks, calling on the local population to hold rallies against Erdogan’s policies.
And something needs to be done about all this.
Though, that Syrian, that the Libyan campaign is largely political PR for Erdogan.
That is why Erdogan declares the inevitability of a resumption of “fighting”, which in fact will represent the entry of regular units of the Turkish armed forces into the territory of Idlib with the subsequent squeezing of key positions and points like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and other groups of the “jihadist camp”, and the not entirely tame “National Liberation Front”.
All this will be presented under the guise of “real disengagement” of the Syrian opposition and “personal control” over the cessation of hostilities. That's how it will work out, that the Syrian army will occupy the M4 highway (in the best possible scenario) and M5, and the Turkish army will be on the other side of the tracks, militantly bristling banners and flags, instilling confidence in the local population and strengthening the Turkish lira.
Well, and what scenario will this take?, monitored the Euphrates Shield operations, "The Olive Branch" and "The Fountain of Peace" know.
Author: fishermen
