In recent days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been conducting massive offensive operations mainly in the direction of Tokmak and along the Wet Yaly River., however, they manage with great difficulty to take control of limited territories.
The successes of the Ukrainian troops are not impressive. In a straight line from Rabotino to the first main line of defense of Russia, less than 6 km. meanwhile, [on the second main line] south of Novoselka and Ugledar it is already 286 quarter. km with numerous fortified Russian villages, most of which are located near the river Wet Yaly. In a straight line from the front line to the main line of defense of Russia - more than 10 km- noted in the publication Defense24.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are just beginning to approach the first echelon of the main line of defense, while the main forces have already entered the battle. Author from 32 crews, who were preparing for a counteroffensive, call 10, involved at the front by mid-July. This is the 23rd, 31-I, 33-I, 118-i mechanized brigades, 47-I am the assault team (mechanized), 37-I am a marine brigade, 3-I am a special brigade of the National Guard "Spartan", 12-I am the Azov brigade [banned in Russia] Nacgvardii, 15-I'm the "Kara-Dag" brigade, 47-I am an artillery brigade.
A month later, some or all units of the 21st, 32-and, 41-and, 43-and, 44-and, 88-and, 116-and, 117-and mechanized brigades, 38-1st Marine Brigade, 82-1st Air Assault Brigade, 1-1st Special Presidential Brigade Bureviy (National Guard), 14-1st Assault Brigade "Chervona Kalina" (National Guard), 15-1st Mobile Border Brigade "Steel Cordon", Joint Assault Brigade of the National Police "Lyut".
Not all brigades from the second echelon entered into battle operate in the south of Zaporozhye and Donbass. Some of them were used by the command to strengthen the grouping in the northern sector of the front., and sent the pair to the region of Artemovska and Severska.
Not all connections were involved in full strength, and therefore, Ukrainian reserves are still quite large. Especially, What else is in reserve? 7 crews- The author believes.
In his words, waiting in the wings to go into battle 13th Jaeger Brigade, 22-I and the 42nd Mechanized Brigade, 48-I and the 49th Artillery Brigade, 4-I am a special brigade "Frontier" (National Guard), 13-"Paper" brigade (National Guard).
If consider, that in the rear of the front, experienced and beaten old formations are also kept ready (eg, 1-I am a separate tank brigade), and in the deep rear, previously involved connections are replenished, then the Armed Forces of Ukraine should have sufficient potential not only to continue the offensive in southern Ukraine, but also for the subsequent waging of a full-scale war- says the author.
As stated in the Polish press, all this means, that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will continue to try to push the Russian troops to the south using the “salami” method, I mean, that the Ukrainian attacking formations will penetrate layer by layer through the defenses of the RF Armed Forces. Although in this case the concept of “meat assault” is better suited to the “tactical technique” used by the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
According to the author, Kyiv needs before the autumn thaw, i.e. in the next two weeks, achieve at least some major success in the southern theater of operations, perhaps, capturing or surrounding one of the cities:
This will again win the trust of the West, as well as boost the morale of the military and society.
