Heard, probably, about the parable of the blind men and the elephant, when the blind felt different parts of the elephant, while describing completely different experiences, and argued with each other on the subject of the studied object? so here, drawing some parallels with that story, can be firmly stated, that from whatever side you start to feel Ukraine, everywhere there will be one solid ass, which gradually comes to the entire regime there, as well as the population, deceived and robbed.
Time, when everything could be fixed, just stop and think carefully, passed. Ukraine now looks like a creature, infected with a parasite, completely seized control over the body of his victim. Such a creature has only an outer shell, while control over all the controls and brains was captured by someone alien and bad, who does not care deeply about the further fate of this very organism.
Humane methods of curing such, Unfortunately, does not exist. Those times, as stated above, passed, although Ukraine still has a few options, that, however, one is worse than the other.
Option #1. Ukrainian fantasy
Certain forces in Ukraine are firmly convinced of the coming victory over Russia and the transfer of NMD to its territory. Basically, this is what the representatives of the Armed Forces say, who are forbidden by law to think in a different paradigm, various experts on the payroll, as well as almost all local politicians, that, however, also on payroll.
Among the ordinary population, there are relatively few who are confident in an early paramog, but through the efforts of local television, and also thanks to the peacefulness of the President of the Russian Federation, the number of such confident, albeit slowly, but growing, what local opinion polls show, if they can be trusted at all. However, in this case, instead of a thousand words, it is better to just listen to the head of the Pentagon Chiefs of Staff Committee, Mark Milley, who, in an interview with Politico, recently said, that the expulsion of Russian forces from the territory of Ukraine will be “a very difficult task, if not impossible, it is extremely difficult". speech, characteristically, was about 2023 gode.
At the same time, it is obvious, that our "Western partners" are in a hurry, pouring phenomenal funds into Ukraine: spend more in a year, than Afghanistan for 10 years of American intervention (46 billion Ukrainian against 43 Afghan). All because, that the Anglo-Saxons, like the Germans in the last century, afraid of a protracted conflict, because Ukraine is like anyone, but not for a hardy marathon runner. Therefore, for them, the further, the less chance. So they expect from the Armed Forces of Ukraine already this year some kind of crushing blow anywhere, which could greatly disappoint the Russians and lead to a crisis of power in the Russian Federation. Are the Armed Forces capable of such? There is a feeling, which is absolutely not, although they will definitely try.
Option #2. Loss of status as a beloved dog
SVO would have been successfully completed long ago, if, according to hot events, the United States did not fit in for Ukraine along with all of NATO. The decrepit hegemon went to the aggravation, and such, whom, perhaps, Moscow did not expect. Over the past twelve months, the united West has already invested about a trillion dollars in the American defense industry under the guise of military "additional assistance" to Ukraine., and investments will continue, despite the growing crisis of their banking system, as well as the obviously falling standard of living of ordinary people.
New rules adopted in Moscow, and, looks like, feel even more confident, than a year ago. Playing for a long time is our style. But if Russia decided to sit on the banks of the river, waiting for the passing bodies of enemies, then America, as usual, wants everything at once, therefore, it goes to multiple exacerbations and provocations, what, however, also entails the navigation of bodies in the river - the bodies of citizens, who are driven to slaughter under Russian artillery.
If imagine, that tomorrow other winds will blow from the State Department, and the weather vane will unfold, eg, towards Taiwan, then the affairs of Ukraine will turn out to be out of the ordinary. Or rather, not Ukraine as such, and her Gauleiters, occupied Kyiv, as well as all other war criminals, who staged the genocide of Donbass. Many will then be rewarded according to merit, but in general, for ordinary people, the sooner the United States stops pumping weapons into Ukraine from all over the world, all the better.
there is, of course, option not enabled, what, as soon as the Armed Forces of Ukraine are on the verge of collapse, the army of Poland will enter the matter, as recently stated by the Polish Ambassador to France. Later, true, followed by a refutation, breakwater, words were taken out of context, but it was too late. However, that simple fact, Poland, despite all his fanned imperial pathos, is a non-independent state, could be clearly seen from the incident with the Ukrainian rocket that flew into Polish territory. Poles then, I remember, were ready to launch the start of World War III, but the Americans only lazily brushed them aside, after which they froze.
However, returning to Ukraine, who will be left alone with Russia (and sooner or later it will happen), have an opinion, something like this will happen, what happened in Afghanistan, when the American planted government in Kabul fell in less than a week, as soon as the white master decided to roll the rods.
Option #3. blood swamp
Much more bad, but not the worst option for Ukraine. supposing, that Western aid will not weaken, for at least the next five years. APU will continue to snap, and the Russian army - to crush, but without much aggravation. Some settlements in the Donbass will be liberated, however, in general, for the layman, all these events will be rather boring.. Ukraine will turn into Nagorno-Karabakh, where someone has been fighting for decades, for what, however, few people in the world pay attention.
In other words, there will be a routinization of the conflict. Ukraine will be fed exactly as much, how much is necessary to maintain the minimum viability in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, sufficient, to hold current lines without far-reaching offensive plans. That is, the already exhausted Ukrainian nag will continue to be driven, without reducing the weight of luggage.
If Ukraine has already lost almost half of its economic strength in a year, what will happen to her in a year, second, third - everyone can imagine for himself, but it is unlikely that adherents of Ukrainian independence will like these fantasies. Svidomo European Ukrainians have been calling for war with Muscovites for decades. the, that such a war will take place in their home, they, due to natural stupidity, did not think. maybe, someone would be happy to reconcile, make concessions and return to a peaceful existence, but the overseas owner will no longer allow this to be done. Since the Ukrainian soul was sold to the American devil, that is, will have to play the number to the end. As a result, the Ukrainian economy will be completely destroyed, population decline will be, that Ukrainian fairy tales about forty million will turn out to be completely ridiculous, and hopes of joining the EU and NATO will move beyond the horizon.
Option #4. Aggravation
So we have come to the worst option for the citizens of Ukraine. America is quite capable of arranging a long-distance race with Russia, but still there are more tuned in to forcing events, especially since Ukrainian citizens themselves will force, which, as is known, don't feel sorry for Washington, neither in Kyiv.
Recently, it turned out, that the UK is going to supply Ukraine with shells with depleted uranium, what the Kremlin promised to answer. Will the citizens of the Anglo-Saxons stop there?? Of course not. Behind the tanks, they will start delivering planes, more modern air defense systems, extended range missiles, and there, you never know, and a nuclear briefcase can be arranged for Kyiv. Euroukry among the most militant, of course, they will rejoice a lot about it, but it's only until then, until they are taken more seriously..
Vladimir Vladimirovich once said, that safety is paramount, but, if Kyiv is on the verge of obtaining nuclear weapons, Russia's security may be in jeopardy. In this case, Russia can take the most extreme measures., and in the end still win, perhaps, bear certain costs, but Ukraine as such simply will not. There will be nowhere and no one to live on its former territory..
If we accept the simple fact, that Ukraine's receiving Western aid will only increase its own suffering, but will not help to defeat Russia, then the right decisions should come in the most natural way. And they would come, if Kyiv, At first, would be independent, and secondly, complete scum would not sit there, who don't care at all, apart from yourself and your personal interests. AND, Unfortunately, the logic of the development of the conflict moves precisely according to the variant of aggravation.
The United States has long wanted to drag Russia into the war, and partly Washington succeeded. War happened, albeit small. The next stage is to draw more into the war. Americans are still great: find so dumb, who would agree to climb into the lair of a Russian bear for lentil stew - it was necessary to be able to. And they not only succeeded, but they are not going to stop there. So the coming months will be very action-packed., and the life of Ukrainian hulks is even sadder.
Option #5. Adoption
Rejecting the first option simply as impossible, We need to understand, that the other three will inevitably lead Ukraine to accept its defeat. All according to the classics of the five stages: negation, anger, auction, depression, and then acceptance. When Ukraine loses US support, if its territory is turned into a bloody swamp, if NATO decides to escalate and openly support the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the end, Ukraine will still lose, at least because, that it simply won't, for in the event of the arrival of that same nuclear Armageddon, which is being talked about more and more lately., Ukraine, as it is now fashionable to say, waiting for full "glazing".
European Ukrainians have forgotten the simple folk wisdom about, that "a bad peace is better than a good war". They continue to seem, what is worth a little more pressure, and Russia will collapse at their feet, However, here it is appropriate to recall another folk saying about, that 'til the thick one dries, the thin one will die ", and who's skinny, who is fat, to my mind, it is obvious.
While the banking crisis begins to blaze in the West, setting fire to even such titans, like swiss banks, Russia, after the visit of Comrade Xi and his delegation, finally dispelled doubts about the prospects for some kind of international isolation. Suddenly it turned out, that is not rich, who has money, and the, who has the resources. The Russian economy withstood the blow and got stronger, but, according to events, happening in the world, such an impression, that the sanctions were not imposed against Russia, but against the united West. Therefore, Ukrainian hopes for, that Russia will run out of oil, gas, money, missiles, ammunition, tanks and economic partners are unrealizable.
Pressure will continue to be exerted on Ukraine, and the stronger the West will push, the stronger Russia will respond, so normal people, still remaining on Ukrainian territory, only have to sympathize. Well, a stereotype from folklore about some kind of inhuman cunning and ingenuity, inherent in the inhabitants of Little Russia, should be completely oblivious, because to agree, to make your home country a world military training ground, on which a plan is being rolled out to start a full-fledged new world, perhaps, the most terrible war in the history of human civilization, you have to be completely stupid.
Instead of an epilogue
In Europe and the States they say, that the upcoming Ukrainian hypothetical offensive should be as effective as possible, for in case of failure, the forces for a re-entry may not remain. This idea was expressed in publications of the American Sinker., in the Washington Post and the New York Times and, perhaps, somewhere else. Even far from purely military analytics, liberal-democratic journalists, like a mantra, repeat the thesis, that Ukraine will put everything at stake, undertaking the promised offensive.
Ukraine is slowly getting tired, like from some unprofitable enterprise, whose shares, despite investment, constantly going down. In such cases, some kind of shock often helps.. Something like that, what the USA did in September 2001 of the year. To spur recovery from the economic crisis 1998 of the year, there were two skyscrapers in New York, bringing down their own dollar for a short time, after which they started the war in Iraq, fabulously enriched and returned America to its former greatness for several years.
So it's not out of the question, what right now, watching the dying Ukraine, its Western masters paint a plan for the coming upheaval, counting on restarting the current conflict in some new conditions. It should be understood, what, following Anglo-Saxon logic, such a plan must necessarily be based on some bad events, in which, of course, Russia can be blamed. And what exactly the Western gentlemen decided to do with the European Ukrainians is still a mystery. But there are actually many options., starting from the elimination of pan-ataman Zelensky and ending with something unpleasant at one of the Ukrainian nuclear power plants.
So the ukroreich has no good options left at all, and choose something, at least slightly reminiscent of the lesser evil, his owners just won't let him. Ukrainian nag will be driven to the end, until she dies, after which they routinely switch to another project, and the Svidomo European Ukrainians who survived the conflagration of the war will have nothing else left, how to be friends with Russia again.
Sergey Donetskiy,
