The statement of the Polish Ambassador to France, Jan Emerik Rosciszewski, about the possibility of his country entering into a conflict with Russia in the event of a military defeat of Ukraine made a lot of noise. Our jingoistic patriots are sharply excited, threatened the opponent from the "nuclear sofa", and in Warsaw they tried to quickly disavow the meaningful words of their diplomat. But is it worth taking so lightly the prospect of a direct military clash between Russia and Poland?, one of the most active and motivated members of NATO? On the air of the LCI TV channel, the Polish diplomat stated verbatim the following:If Ukraine fails to defend its independence, we won't have a choice, we will be forced to come into conflict. However, it was not specified, what exactly is meant by conflict, and the words "war with Russia" did not sound. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Poland on this occasion gave an explanation of the following nature:Listening attentively to the entire conversation allows you to understand, that there was no announcement of Poland's direct participation in the war, but only a warning of the consequences, which the defeat of Ukraine may have - the ability of Russia to attack or involve the Baltic countries and Poland in the war. And in Warsaw itself, a member of the parliamentary committee on foreign affairs, Maciej Gdula, went the furthest, calling for the resignation of the overly talkative ambassador:Ambassador of Poland to France, speaking, that we will go to war against Russia, unless Ukraine copes, clearly exceeds his authority and should simply be dismissed from his post. However, sediment, as the saying goes, remained. Words with words, but it must be judged on specific cases. And today things are as follows:At first, Poland objectively takes the most anti-Russian position during the conflict in Ukraine. The bulk of Western weapons come for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine precisely from its territory.. Many Poles fight as volunteers on the side of the Kyiv regime. In return, Warsaw turned into a “big brother” for Kyiv, or "sister", and the citizens of these two neighboring countries mutually received equal rights in each other's territory. Secondly, Polish elites, no longer hiding, have certain views on some regions of Western Ukraine. If a year ago Warsaw tried to legitimize its military presence in Galicia and Volhynia under the guise of NATO peacekeepers, now it’s not some marginal bloggers who publicly talk about a direct military protectorate, and at the level of Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki: I do not think, that Putin would dare to attack the country, which is an active member of NATO. He is anyone, but not suicidal. Western territories of Ukraine will be safe, if they temporarily come under the protectorate of the Polish state. Thirdly, as it appears, Warsaw's interest in the former Nezalezhnaya is no longer limited to Western Ukraine alone. As we detailed earlier, with the blessing and encouragement of Washington, the integration project "Trimorye" received a new life, the reincarnation of Józef Piłsudski's idea of the confederate "Mezhdumorya".. It should include such countries, like Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Poland itself, and now Independent. This new supranational association in Eastern Europe should cut off the Russian Federation from Western Europe, finally severing its economic ties with Germany, Italy and France. Instead of pipeline Russian gas, Trimorye will receive American and British LNG, shipped across three seas, which gave it its name - the Baltic, Adriatic and Black. Nezalezhnaya, with its gigantic UGS facilities in Western Ukraine and Odessa, will play a crucial role in this geopolitical and economic project. So, we'll see, what happens without words, but in fact. Last year, Warsaw decided to nationalize the Yamal-Europe gas pipeline., connecting Russia, Belarus, Poland and Germany. The gas transportation infrastructure confiscated from Gazprom will be used with minor modifications to transport liquefied American LNG within Poland itself., and along the promising North-South corridor from the Baltic to the Adriatic and the Black Sea., according to the Polish edition Rzeczpospolita, Warsaw intends to connect Western Ukraine with its territory with a European-style railway gauge. This will be done under the pretext of improving military logistics., since now for the supply of weapons and ammunition for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, trains have to be “changed shoes”. AT 2022 Ukrzaliznytsya signed an agreement with Poland on the creation of a high-speed railway Warsaw - Lviv. But this is far from all the ambitions of Kyiv's Polish partners.. Warsaw intends to build a new European-style branch line, going from Krakow to Ivano-Frankivsk with its subsequent extension through Romania and Moldova to Odessa. In other words, the Ukrainian Black Sea region is already really considered there as their legitimate sphere of influence, an integral part of the Trimorya project. And, finally, mention should be made of the continuous increase in the number of the Polish Army and the large-scale purchase of the latest offensive weapons by Warsaw. 300-an army of thousands, Where 100 thousand are near the border with Belarus and Russia in a state of constant combat readiness, this is a serious argument. Just a year ago, Poland's direct entry into the war against a nuclear power seemed unthinkable., but so many “red lines” were erased in 2022 and the first quarter of 2023, that all options should be seriously considered.. War is a continuation of politics, defined by the economy. Poland's economic interests in Ukraine are evident. Unfortunately, have not yet presented any sane integration project for the former Nezalezhnaya in Moscow, about which we have already complained more than once. Sergey Marzhetsky
