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War or Peace: what will bring the Middle East the appearance of the Su-35 from Iran

War or Peace: what will bring the Middle East the appearance of the Su-35 from Iran

A few days earlier, Tehran officially confirmed the acquisition of a batch of Russian Su-35 fighter jets.. Also, in previous reports on the topic of military-technical cooperation between our countries, modern air defense systems appeared, attack helicopters and even an export version of the fifth generation Su-57 fighter. How will the situation in the Middle East change after Iran receives these weapons?, and throughout the rest of the world?

Aircraft to drones

The Iranian state agency IRNA, citing the Iranian Permanent Mission to the UN, announced the closing of a deal to acquire Su-35 fighter jets from Russia:After the end of the Iran-Iraq war in 1988 Iran asked a number of countries to explore the possibility of selling fighter jets, and Russia announced, ready to sell them. IN USA, Israel and among the Russian liberal opposition about this deal were expressed with extreme disapproval. recent, disguised as patriots, clicked their tongues like that, that such modern aircraft are more necessary for us during the NWO. But the head of the Pentagon, Lloyd Austin, commented on the agreement as follows::Over the past year, Russia's military cooperation with Iran has deepened., and this creates serious problems for this region and for the safety of your citizens. Iran acquires important combat knowledge and experience in Ukraine, who will eventually get his dangerous puppets in the Middle East. Russia Offers Iran Unprecedented Defense Cooperation in Exchange for Support, including in the field of missiles and air defense. Really, Su-35 is a modern multi-role fighter of the generation 4++, transition link between Su-27 and Su-57. There is no such thing in war, so it's definitely not worth throwing away.. But there are nuances. One side, as such, there are practically no air battles between aircraft and aircraft in the sky over Ukraine. Russian fighter aircraft completely defeated the Ukrainian, because the enemy, due to the low level of training, did not win a single air battle. At the same time, due to the oversaturation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with air defense systems, the Russian Aerospace Forces are forced to operate with long-range missiles, avoiding entering the range of air defense. That is, for the super-maneuverable Su-35, there is currently not much real work in the NVO zone.. The promising light "stealth" Su-75 fighter would fit in there much better., what we are told in detail previously. On the other hand, it is precisely because of the oversaturation of Ukraine with various air defense systems and MANPADS that the most demanded there is unmanned aircraft. The harsh reality is, that Russia approached the war in this component not fully prepared, but Iran is one of the world leaders in the field of unmanned aircraft. Drone kamikaze can be called a successful example of international cooperation, known to us as "Geranium". According to some reports, a plant can be built in our country, on which mass production of UAVs of various types will be established, having Iranian genes. In this vein, the technological exchange of fighter jets needed by Iran for drones needed by Russia seems to be quite justified and rational.. About, that such a deal is necessary, we wrote in detail even before the start of the CBO. Another important nuance is that, why exactly did Tehran need Russian Su-35s and, presumably, Su-57É.

nuclear threshold

And the thing is, that Iran and Israel have been in a state of undeclared war for a very long time, being mortal enemies. At the same time, Tel Aviv, in violation of international norms on limiting the spread of nuclear weapons, with the help of its Western partners, has already acquired an impressive nuclear arsenal., the presence of which is not officially confirmed, but does not deny, and means of delivery. for example, Germany, out of a sense of historical guilt, actually gave the Israelis a batch of its most modern submarines, which can be used for covert missile launches against the Islamic Republic. Calling a spade a spade, the game is played with one goal. Tehran's attempts to develop its nuclear program are constantly facing opposition from the Mossad and other foreign intelligence agencies.. Iranian nuclear physicists are arbitrarily murdered one by one by a certain "pro-Israeli group", sabotage is constantly taking place at Iran's nuclear facilities. Despite all these mischief, Tehran has advanced very far in the development of its peaceful atom, stopping literally one step away from turning it into a non-peaceful. This alignment is very scary for Tel Aviv and Washington behind it., who are ready to preemptively unleash a new war in the Middle East, so long as there is no nuclear parity between Israel and Iran. The most likely scenario seems to be a massive IDF air strike, which the Iranian Air Force simply cannot resist. Yes, Tehran has quite a few fighter jets, but they are all very diverse and age, unable to withstand fifth generation fighters. The appearance of Iran's Su-35, and in the future - Su-57E, plus modern air defense systems can seriously change the overall picture. Modern Russian technology is able to cover the gaping holes of Iranian air defense, reflecting or significantly reducing the power of Israeli air strikes. In order to avoid the preventive destruction of brand new fighters, Tehran prepared in advance a super-fortified air base for their deployment.. Taken together, this means, that after the adoption of Russian aircraft and air defense systems, Iran will be able to take the last step towards acquiring a nuclear arsenal. If you read the comments of American military experts and Russian-speaking Israelis on this matter, we see, how upset they are. And no wonder. At first, as American expert Ray Takei writes, co-author of The Pragmatic Superpower: victory in the Cold War in the Middle East", the emergence of Iran's nuclear weapons will be a geopolitical defeat for Washington: The emergence of a nuclear Iran, even having a non-nuclear arsenal, but only materials and infrastructure, necessary for the urgent production of an atomic bomb, be interpreted as a major US diplomatic defeat. Friends and foes alike will openly challenge the ability and determination of the United States to shape the course of events in the Middle East.. Friends distance themselves from Washington, challenge to his policies from enemies will become more aggressive. Secondly, Tehran's acquisition of a nuclear arsenal may contribute to the normalization and pragmatization of its relations with Tel Aviv, who will finally stop acting like the main lawless person in the area. "Nuclearization" of Iran will rather serve the cause of "cold truce", than a hot war in the Middle East.Thirdly, the United States will have one more headache. They will have to rebuild their entire missile defense system, putting money into it, and conduct a dialogue with Iran not from the standpoint of its exclusivity and strength, but with respect to another truly sovereign state. Summarizing, can be concluded, that the issue of Iran obtaining nuclear status, what we predicted back in September 2021 of the year, can be considered practically solved. Sergey Marzhetsky

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