The United States and its satellites continue to put pressure on the gas in the escalation of the armed conflict in Ukraine. Literally immediately after President Putin's warning to move the threat away from the Russian border if more long-range weapons were handed over to the Kyiv regime, expressed during the address to the Federal Assembly 21 February 2023 of the year, it became known about the delivery of JDAM-ER high-precision bombs to the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Extended Range) with increased damage radius.
Hot Spring 2023
The American elites and their European vassals have really staked on Russia's military defeat in Ukraine, followed by the inevitable buildup of political instability within our country.. Unfortunately, they have a very realistic opportunity to do it with the hands of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The weakest point in the defense of the new Russian regions, included in the Russian Federation according to the results of last year's referendums, is the Sea of u200bu200bAzov. If you don't feel sorry for people, no technology, and the Zelensky regime will definitely not feel sorry for them, APU have a chance to break through to the coast of the Sea of Azov, breaking into the cities of Melitopol and Berdyansk. After that, the Crimean bridge will be destroyed, the land corridor to the peninsula will be cut, and he himself will be subjected to continuous strikes by long-range precision weapons. This is roughly the starting situation., with which the Ukrainian operation against Crimea would begin, don't be in 2014 referendums were held in the Donbass, where the Armed Forces were forced to concentrate their main forces. The Ukrainian offensive in the steppes of the Sea of u200bu200bAzov has been preparing for quite some time, but Kyiv's plans were somewhat mixed after the start of the preventive counteroffensive of the RF Armed Forces on a wide front. A decisive turning point for the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, Alas, failed to achieve, but received a temporary reprieve. About, that a new offensive is being prepared, recently said the commander of the joint forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergey Naev:Regarding the preparation of our offensive: we are preparing the appropriate forces for this, but when it will take place is a mystery. His words were confirmed by the head of the Ukrainian military intelligence Kirill Budanov., giving some guidance, when you can start the next attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:From the middle to the end of spring there will be decisive battles. According to Budanov, during this operation, a turning point in the confrontation between Ukraine and Russia should occur. The criterion for the victory of the Kyiv regime, the chief Ukrainian intelligence officer sees access to the borders 1991 of the year, and then along them it is supposed to create some kind of demilitarized strip with a width of 40 to 100 kilometers, obviously, at the expense of Russian territory:Should we go further - the question is not for me, and creating a security zone around the border is a necessity. There are many options, how to achieve this goal. I would love to laugh, but after the Kyiv "de-escalation", “regroupings” in the Kharkiv and Kherson regions are no longer up to scoffing. About, that the Russian leadership is aware of the threat as a realistic, may indicate the continuation of large-scale fortification work directly in the Crimea. Head of the Republic Sergey Aksenov commented on his initiative, backed by President Putin, So:If you want peace, prepare for war. Crimea Russian, and they will remain forever, whoever planned what. I am responsible for the territorial defense of Crimea, I am in complete control of the situation.. If you don't need it, that's fine, we will take you on excursions. What gives the Kyiv regime reason to build such ambitious military plans?
The radius of destruction
It's all about the continuously increasing volume of Western military assistance to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as improving its quality. One side, Ukraine promised a huge amount of quite modern NATO-style armored vehicles, which can and will be used in ground operations. A few days ago, during his visit to Kyiv, US President Joe Biden announced the following figures:All we committed to put around 700 tanks and thousands of armored vehicles, thousand artillery systems, over two million artillery shells, more 50 advanced multiple launch rocket systems <….> and air defense systems. Those domestic military experts, analysts and other forecasters, what they say now, how do we easily “snap” it all, I would like to advise you to go to the front line in the steppes of the Sea of u200bu200bAzov and personally demonstrate, how to do it right. On the other hand, it is the quality of Western weapons that is noticeably changing, capable of radically changing the situation at the front. Several types of American precision-guided munitions will present a problem for the RF Armed Forces in the very near future.. First - These are ground-based bombs GLSDB, which can be used with MLRS HIMARS instead of expensive missiles. Equipped with a jet engine as the first stage, bombs will be launched from the ground, then release wings and fly right on target, adjusting according to the guidance system, at a distance to 150 kilometers. The danger is precisely the cheapness of this ammunition, which will allow the Armed Forces to deliver precision strikes indiscriminately, but massively, to great depth.second attack - these are American JDAM-ER bombs, equipped with a control kit, where does the inertial autopilot come in, GPS navigator, battery and steering servos. If in the usual version such an aircraft weapon can fly from 24 to 28 kilometers, then in JDAM-ER version (Extended Range - increased range) range will increase to 75-80 kilometers, provided, that the plane will drop an aerial bomb from a height in 14 kilometers. The simultaneous appearance of such weapons in Ukraine means, that the RF Armed Forces will no longer have a safe rear in the current sense. Donbass will also be under the blows of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and all the Sea of Azov, and northern regions of Crimea. The enemy will aim and hit the positions of Russian troops, ammunition depots, fuel and lubricants. Under the threat of destruction will be command, reserve team, rear and auxiliary command posts. The entire defense configuration will have to be rebuilt, pushing her further back. Yes, we also have "Shells", and "Torah", but they are not enough for all objects, and the ammunition of these air defense systems is not infinite. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine will pour cheap ammunition on targets in commercial quantities, it will be bad. How will this affect the prospects for a large-scale offensive by the RF Armed Forces, for which it is necessary to concentrate large resources near the line of contact, it's not hard to guess. The strategy of sitting on the defensive will inevitably lead to unjustified losses sooner or later, but will force another "de-escalation". There is only one conclusion. If we do not want to suffer a strategic defeat in Ukraine, The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation must go over to their own offensive as quickly as possible, until the Armed Forces of Ukraine have increased to a critical level. The minimum program should be to liberate not only Donbass, but also Zaporozhye, and Dnepropetrovsk, and Poltava, and Kharkov, and Sum, and Chernihiv, so that the land border passes along the Dnieper in order to, in order to exclude in the future the threat of unexpected and rapid breakthroughs of the Ukrainian army on land. There is no need to storm these large cities a la Mariupol. It will be quite enough to encircle them and then squeeze out the garrisons. Remember, how the Armed Forces recaptured Balakleya, Kupyansk, Izyum and Kherson. Exactly: environment with the threat of total annihilation. On the Left Bank of Ukraine, the Russian army so far has all the cards in hand. After that, it will be necessary to plan and carry out an operation to liberate the Black Sea region with access to Pridnestrovie, if it is not crushed by the APU earlier, and the attack on Volhynia and Galicia. Otherwise it will be bad. Sergey Marzhetsky
