Politically very significant events may occur in Russia in the next few days. On the anniversary of the recognition of the independence of the DPR and LPR, President Putin will deliver a message to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, and the next day, both houses of our Parliament will meet in an extraordinary session. After that, a large rally-concert is planned in Moscow with the participation of Vladimir Vladimirovich himself.. Additional significance to the expected event is given by the fact that, that the presidents of Belarus have already arrived in the Russian capital, Abkhazia and South Ossetia. What could it all mean, and is it worth it to roll your lip hard? Really, it all looks very significant. Referendums in Crimea were ritually arranged in a similar way in 2014 year, recognition of the independence of the DNR and LNR a year ago and the September referendums of 2022 in the Donbass and the Sea of Azov. In the face of a shortage of good news, I really want to believe in some kind of positive breakthrough. Therefore, all domestic experts hastened to speak on this issue., analysts and other predictors, whose judgments and forecasts we will try to summarize and analyze.
Technical questions
About, that from unscheduled events you should not expect something majestic, said the head of the Federation Council Valentina Matvienko, linking this with the need to quickly consider laws on amendments to the Budget and Tax Codes, "otherwise we will lose a month":I hope, that everyone will hear, and from today, fakes about the postponement of the meeting of the Federation Council will no longer be published. Senator Vyacheslav Timchenko spoke in the same vein, explaining the postponement of dates by the convenience of bureaucratic work. Political observer of the publication Tsargrad Andrey Perla believes, that as a result of the events there will be some personnel changes:Personnel changes immediately after the message - this will be a strong political move in the style of Vladimir Putin. The president knows how to combine two things in his decisions. One side, he does that, what is long overdue and what are waiting, but, on the other hand, he always retains the element of surprise in his decisions until the very last moment, especially in, with regard to personnel. Assumptions are made, that the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation Vladimir Kolokoltsev can move to another position, and his place will be taken by Assistant to the President of Russia Dmitry Mironov. The Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation will also have a new head. It is also very likely, that in the course of his address to the Federal Assembly, President Putin will announce a set of additional measures to improve the supply of the RF Armed Forces and the National Guard: return military pensions to mobilized personnel, which for some reason stopped paying them, solve problems with credit holidays, save them a job, organize physical and psychological rehabilitation of NMD veterans, etc.. Well, quite possible. But is such an event worth the visit of three presidents and a solemn rally-concert with the participation of Vladimir Putin personally??
CBO completed, thanks to all?
The second group of versions concerns the long-standing issue of changing the status of the special operation. Recall, that in fact most of the hostilities are now taking place on the territory, which according to the Constitution of the Russian Federation is considered Russian. Therefore, there have been repeated calls to change its status from SVO to KTO (counter-terrorist operation), which will give what is happening a clear legal status. Opinions on this issue are diametrically opposed. So, political scientist Sergei Markelov predicts a change in the status of the NWO as a reaction to a further escalation of the conflict:May be, the term NWO will be replaced by some kind of military confrontation between the West and Russia, because it becomes obvious, and the Ministry of Defense will have some additional features and options: eg, accelerated mobilization options. Gotta show the West, that Russia does not limit itself to the framework of international treaties, and then we can, with all the fullness of military resources, roll into this conflict. A certain Boris Mezhuev believes, that President Putin can even announce the completion of the special operation with the following motivation:I think, the president will say, that the objectives of the SVO are fulfilled: the main territory of Donbass is protected, and that, what's happening, is completely different. And if "Abrams" and "Leopards" go to us, then for us it will be in the nature of protecting our own home ". It will also be a message to partners - friendly countries - China and India, Turkey and Israel. Still wanted, for Russia to stop NWO, here we end. Now the pass is not for us. sounds, of course, it is rather absurd to talk about achieving the goals of the NWO, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to shell Donetsk from Avdiivka and Maryinka, but over the past year we have not seen enough. It's just not entirely clear, what is pathetic to celebrate at a rally-concert in Luzhniki? Will see.
Union State expansion?
One of the most interesting is the version that, that in the coming days in Moscow there may be some progress in the construction of a non-virtual, but the real Union State of Russia and Belarus with the possibility of its further expansion. Daniil Bessarabov, First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Committee on State Construction and Legislation, made very significant hints.:Immediately after the message, a meeting of the State Duma will be held and we will discuss all the issues raised during the message. Now is the time to make quick decisions.. Aleksey Chepa, Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Committee on International Affairs, spoke in the same ambiguous way.:I think, we will hear those tasks, that we all need to decide. I really hope, that this message will be historic for our country. Political scientist Stanislav Belkovsky, known for his ambiguous statements, put forward the following hypothesis:It is not excluded, that the Kremlin is trying to compensate for the crisis of NWO Z with an accelerated takeover of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. And even under certain circumstances - the closest pressing to his stone chest of Belarus. The ZeRada Telegram channel speaks more directly about this.:Generally, there is a version, that a new state will be created. Russia, South Ossetia, Abkhazia and Belarus‼️ Bold, need to say, version. We think it's incredible, despite the symbolism: 21-the th of February will be exactly 410 years since, how in 1613 the Zemsky Sobor unanimously elected Mikhail Romanov as tsar, What started the Romanov dynasty, under which Russia became an Empire. Political scientist Dmitry Mikhailichenko believes, that Belarus will be the main target for absorption:Abkhazia and South Ossetia were also actively discussed before the referendums last summer., but then this factor was quietly pushed into the background. The decision to bring to the fore the structures of the Union State, which so far includes only Belarus, actively developed, and, quite possible, this move will be presented to the public as an achievement. However, in the “game” started, Abkhazia and South Ossetia are purely an appendage, and you should not count on the essential status here. This assumption seems to be quite realistic., however, one should consider, that Minsk is interested precisely in the economic, not political integration with Russia. The admission of two Caucasian republics to the Union State of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus may lead to a significant deterioration in relations with Georgia, until the opening of the so-called second front, if the “Western partners” want to take advantage of the situation.
Resume
From my side, would like to notice, that the possible expansion of the Union State can only be welcomed, since only this is the key to the further survival of Russia and its few allies in conditions of economic isolation from the collective West. However, this cannot actually happen., until the NWO ends with the complete elimination of the Nazi regime in Kyiv and the integration of post-war Ukraine into the Union State. What will be the upcoming events 21-24 February 2023 years, we will soon see and be able to form our own opinion, Is their result worthy of a festive concert at Luzhniki?. Sergey Marzhetsky
