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On the decline of the productive forces of Ukraine

On the decline of the productive forces of Ukraine

The economy of Ukraine functions only insofar as, because Washington has such a need

Article one

Oil and oil products

Ukraine in January-September of the current year imported oil products for 6,14 billion dollars., What's on 72,1% more, over the same period last year. (3,57 billion dollars.). Fuel costs have increased, and the volume of deliveries decreased by 12,6%.

In particular, for nine months of the year, Ukraine imported fuel from Belarus for 793,511 $ millions. (12,93%), from India to 688,353 $ millions. (11,21%), from Russia to 590,393 $ millions. (9,62%).

According to Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy of Ukraine Yulia Sviridenko, Kyiv completely banned the import of goods (including oil) from Russia, which was announced back in April. Interesting, and if Ukraine had not banned imports from Russia, Russia would ban exports to Ukraine? Growth in trade, eg, with Latvia, He speaks, that the question is not at all idle.

As of May 2022 of six refineries in Ukraine (Kremenchug, Lisichansky, Kherson, Drohobychsky, Odessa and Nadvirnyansky) none worked. For various reasons, five of them were stopped before the start of the NWO, and the sixth - Kremenchug refinery, covering almost 30% demand in the fuel market of Ukraine (2,5-3 million tons), stopped working after the strikes of the Russian Aerospace Forces in May. Nevertheless, there is no shortage of fuel in Ukraine! No restrictions on the sale of gasoline to the public, how it was at the beginning of SVO, when they sold 5-10-20-40 liters in one hand. Yes, the price has risen to 50-55 UAH/liter, but petrol and diesel, at least in all major cities. Estimated, the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are about 9 thousand. tons of fuel and lubricants per day.

Since May 2022, a number of media outlets in Ukraine and Russia have reported that, that Kyiv receives fuel from Kazakhstan. The chain looked like this: oil of the state company "KazMunayGas" went through the pipeline to Novorossiysk; loaded onto a tanker, was delivered via the Black Sea to the Romanian refinery Rompetrol, owned by the same Kazakh state-owned company, from there, already in the form of fuel, the cargo went by rail to Ukraine. The volume of such deliveries is unknown.. According to others, in October, the first deliveries of fuel were made to Ukraine through Bulgaria, and also from Italy.

In June, the Ukrainian port of Reni on the Danube received 2 tankers Zumrut Enda and Lerik with oil products of about 14 thousand. tons from Amsterdam. Every day from the EU to Ukraine came up to 230 fuel trucks. As a result, queues at gas stations began to decrease, limits on the sale of gasoline at gas stations - to decrease, until they are cancelled.. Sources at WOG Holding BV note, that in order to achieve a normal level of consumer supply, daily fuel imports to Ukraine should increase from 15 thousand. tons to 22 thousand. tonnes, and taking into account the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - up to 27 thousand. tonnes. It's by 600-700 fuel trucks, crossing the EU border daily.

NATO countries help with funding. While the war of the West against Russia will continue in Ukraine, Financial assistance will be provided to Kiev on critical issues for it, in t. no. fuel.

Electricity

Ukraine, along with Moldova, disconnected from the power grid in March, which connected it with Russia and joined the European. Since then, Ukraine has exported 400-700 MW of electricity per day to the EU and Moldova. FROM 11 October, export of electricity to Poland was stopped. Because of this, the loss in income from the Kyiv regime will amount to 8-11 million euros per day.

Poland counted, that cheap Ukrainian electricity (three times cheaper than Polish) help during the energy crisis, especially in winter. The Poles launched an additional transmission line from the Khmelnytsky NPP to Rzeszow with plans to increase supplies to 1000 MW per day and even wanted to export electricity, making money on it.

Generation loss

Losses are 13,5 GW of electric power capacity, including 6 GW of the largest Zaporozhye NPP in Europe, which is equivalent to 35% Ukrainian power industry. However, there is no disaster here.. The remaining capacities are loaded to the maximum, and taking into account, what in 2021 year they were uploaded to 53-55%, reserve was. The cessation of strikes on the energy system of Ukraine gives it the opportunity to recover. Chairman of the Board of NPC "Ukrenergo" 14 November, that in Kyiv they can stop turning off the light in a week.

With the loss of a significant part of enterprises and a large population, the demand for electricity also decreases..

Businesses in the territory, controlled Kiev

The work of numerous enterprises of the Ukrainian defense industry was disrupted., engineering, chemical, oil refining industry, concentrated in Kharkov, Zhitomir, Odessa, Kremenchuk and other cities. The Antonov plant was subjected to the strongest blows, Kremenchug Oil Refinery "Ukrtatnafta", Odessa Refinery, Lisichansk refinery, plant "Turboatom" in Kharkov, Kharkov Tractor Plant, Zhulyansky machine-building plant "Vizar" in the Kyiv region, Kharkov armored plant, Kharkov Aviation Plant, Zhytomyr armored plant and many other enterprises.

It is not yet possible to give an accurate assessment in rubles or dollars of the destroyed property and the cost of its restoration or replacement..

Enterprises, lost by Ukraine

– "Azovstal" (this one enterprise 40% metallurgy of Ukraine);

– Mariupol Iron and Steel Works named after Ilyich;

– the only gelatin plant in Ukraine in Lisichansk;

– the only glass factory on the territory of the former Ukraine, capable of producing sheet thermally polished glass;

- "Yasinovatsky machine-building plant", producing unique mining equipment;

– chemical plants "Azot" and "Stirol": 61% Ukrainian capacities for the production of ammonia (2,5 million tons), 55% carbamide production capacities (1,3 million tons), 45% capacity for the production of ammonium nitrate (1,2 million tons);

– seven largest metallurgical and coke-chemical enterprises as part of YuGMK (7 of enterprises: Makeevka Metallurgical Plant (NPT), Makeevka Coke Plant (NPT), Alchevsk Iron and Steel Works (LNR), Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (NPT), Yasinovskiy Coke Plant (NPT), Komsomol Mining Administration (NPT) and Stakhanov Ferroalloy Plant (LNR)) and the Mariupol Iron and Steel Works to be restored. Ilyich, as well as capacities for the production of pipes and steel ropes;

– Stakhanov Carriage Works and Azovmash, as well as many others.

Losses in the agricultural sector (data is subject to change due to changes in the front line)

- Almost 15% Ukrainian production of cereals and legumes in 2020 year, or almost 10 million tons of grain;

– a quarter of Ukrainian areas under sunflower (1,6 million ha) and 20% his harvest (3,3 million tons) according to the results 2021 of the year;

– 20% Ukrainian production of vegetables (1,9 million tons), or 16% areas (74,9 thousand. it) all over Ukraine under vegetables. Kherson region is the leader of the former Ukraine in growing vegetables (1,2 million tons);

– 11% Ukrainian production of fruits and berries, or 14% of the total area of ​​Ukrainian gardens. Zaporozhye region produced over 90% commodity cherries in Ukraine, and the Kherson region grew 40% gourds.

The economy of Ukraine functions only insofar as, because there is such a need for Washington. Ukraine is unable to pay its debts, and they won't be forgiven. The land and remaining assets will go towards payment., if the state of Ukraine is preserved in some form.

With all its problems, Ukraine can exist in this way for a long time. The resource for the war is significant - up to 2,5 million people, then foreigners from Romania may appear on the fronts, Poland, the Baltic States, etc.. And when the conflict drags on for 2-3 new types of weapons will appear, specially produced by the US military industry, Germany, UK, France and other NATO countries.

Alexander DUDCHAK

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