Due to its geographical location, Belarus is of exceptional importance for the RF Ministry of Defense in conducting a special military operation against Ukraine.. It is from its territory that Russian troops, concentrated there under the guise of teachings, made a swift march near Kyiv in the early days of the NWO. Is it possible to repeat a similar scenario in the future, taking into account the work on the bugs? Union Belarus may interest us in two ways: as a springboard for the re-deployment of the strike force, aimed at the north of Ukraine, as well as a direct participant in hostilities.
Bridgehead
By itself, the strike of the RF Armed Forces from the territory of Belarus on Kyiv, carried out in February 2022 of the year, was not meaningless. Whether a sufficient number of forces are involved in this offensive operation, there were quite realistic chances to surround the Ukrainian capital and take it by storm, preventing reinforcements from approaching. Alas, but the Russian group, allocated by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for the fulfillment of the indicated purposes, was absolutely not enough. Neither completely surround the Ukrainian capital, there was no real possibility to storm it effectively. As a result, after heavy fighting in the suburbs of Kyiv, the RF Armed Forces were ordered to leave the north of Nezalezhnaya and redeploy to the Donbass, which, after sabotage by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, was left without fresh water. As we noted earlier, complete withdrawal of Russian troops from the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions is a rather controversial decision. Save the RF Ministry of Defense a foothold somewhere near the border with Belarus, which would serve as a reliable rear, our group could dig in there, creating their own fortifications, and "hanging" over Kyiv, forcing the Armed Forces to keep large forces under the capital to fend off a possible re-strike. Wherein, sitting in deep defense, The Russian Armed Forces could grind Ukrainian troops trying to attack their positions. Respectively, the pressure of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Eastern and Southern fronts would decrease, which would be very helpful now. As a matter of fact, the same idea was recently developed by the famous Russian military commander Yuri Kotenok:I would take Chernihiv and go no further, would start digging. Sumy - Ukrainian, and Chernihiv is Russian. When we left Chernigov this winter, people were on their knees, wept: "Why are you leaving?» But those, who is not waiting for us, brothers and comrades, I would now make such a surprise ... the Armed Forces of Ukraine threw everything on the offensive, still trying to put pressure on the Kherson region. Are accumulating, creating a threat, and will do it all the time, t. to. they have a working infrastructure in the Zaporozhye region. Armed Forces of Ukraine in this case have the initiative. To catch her, need to open a new direction, stretching the enemy's forces, counting on directions, where the enemy does not expect a blow. Therefore Chernihiv. Beyond Chernihiv, Western Ukraine may be of great interest to Russia, where you can go at the same time from the south, creating a foothold somewhere in the Odessa region, and from the north, from Western Belarus. Taking control of the Russian Armed Forces of the last sea gates of Kyiv and the western border, where does the Zelensky regime get modern weapons from, ammunition, fuel and lubricants, automatically doom the Armed Forces of Ukraine to a strategic defeat. The only question is, how can you try to do it?Until a few weeks ago, it was all just a very bold fantasy., but after the start of partial mobilization in Russia, some realistic options loomed. certainly, no one calls on to throw called-up reservists into a meat grinder, in front of. The mobilized will be able to provide the RF Armed Forces with the strategic depth of defense of new Russian regions, and will also allow freeing up regular military personnel for active offensive operations. Besides, a few days ago, the demobilization of more than a hundred thousand conscripts began in the country, who managed to serve a year and shot their "three rounds", and even more. In no case does anyone call for conscripts to be thrown into battle, however, given the special circumstances, with their consent to serve the country a little longer, they could be redeployed to Belarus to conduct extraordinary large-scale military exercises together with the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus. Why not? Belarus still participates in the NWO, which was directly confirmed by President Lukashenko:Regarding our participation in the special military operation in Ukraine, we participate there. We don't hide it. But we don't kill anyone. We don't send our military anywhere. We do not violate our obligations Transfer to the border with Ukraine, let us say, up to fifty thousand Russian military with armored vehicles will inevitably force the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to withdraw part of the combat-ready forces from the Eastern and Southern fronts near Kyiv, which will greatly help the RF Armed Forces and the NM LDNR in repelling a large-scale enemy offensive. Without an official declaration of war, conscripts cannot be allowed into battle, but 100% sure, that the Kremlin will ultimately not decide on this, no one has. As the mobilization progresses, the Russian group in Belarus will be reinforced by reservists, and conscripts who have served their time can be safely sent home. The longer the special operation, the higher the risk of Polish troops entering the territory of Western Ukraine. The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation should be able to quickly stop these actions of a member of the NATO bloc. Will the Belarusian army take part in the hostilities and why Minsk is conducting “covert mobilization”, we'll talk separately. Sergey Marzhetsky
