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The Japanese are afraid to fight with China

The Japanese are afraid to fight with China

Fumio Kishida's unwillingness to even talk about his country's participation in the war with China on the side of the United States speaks volumes

Unlike US President Biden's promise to throw American young guys into the crucible of a big war with China, Japanese politicians are cautious in matters of war and peace. They are conscious, that any careless word here could cost them their political careers.

realizing this, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida chose his words carefully when asked about, whether the Japanese side is ready to send troops to protect Taiwan in the event of a "possible invasion from China". And said, that I would like to avoid talking about this topic. And also emphasized, that the Japanese authorities will act in accordance with their own constitution and their own laws, and all their actions will be aimed primarily at protecting the population of Japan.

These are meaningful words.. The Japanese prime minister actually covered his fears of a clash with China with the Japanese Constitution. he only, which Kishida and his cabinet wanted to change, throwing out a pacifist article from it. Now Japanese politicians, looks like, want to seize the provisions of the Constitution, which read:

"Sincerely striving for international peace, based on fairness and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as the nation's sovereign right, as well as from the threat or use of armed force as a means of resolving international disputes.

To achieve the goal, specified in the previous paragraph, never again will land, naval and air forces, as well as other means of war. The state does not recognize the right to wage war ".

It is not excluded, that Japan might need a constitutional ban on war, take serious events around Taiwan and demand that the US from Japan to side with America. It is for this that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party of Japan in 2015 year under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, despite the sharp protests of the opposition and the people, dragged the law into parliament, according to which, for the first time since the end of the Second World War, the armed forces of the country, recreated in violation of the Constitution, can participate in hostilities abroad. Law authorizes the Japan Self-Defense Forces to participate in actions to protect friendly states, even if the country is not attacked.

The participation of the Japanese armed forces in overseas operations is subject to a number of conditions.: the army can participate in foreign operations, if there is no alternative to military intervention, it will be used to the minimum extent necessary., and the conflict must carry a threat to the existence of Japan. The United States can bring the military actions of the Japanese army "to defend Taiwan" to these conditions, especially since Kishida has repeatedly stated, that Japan will not be able to stay away from the events around the island.

When, during a May visit to Japan, Biden said, that the United States is ready to defend Taiwan by force of arms (in an interview with CBS 18 September he confirmed it again), Kishida also raised the "Taiwan issue". Then, at a joint press conference with Biden, he spoke of his readiness to increase Japan's military capabilities "in the context of the situation around Taiwan", noting, that plans to increase the defense power of countries are supported by American allies Tokyo.

Beijing reacted instantly. “China expresses its sharp dissatisfaction and strong protest over the statement of the American side.. Taiwan is an inalienable part of China's territory.", Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin. Chinese Foreign Ministry urged Washington to stop underestimating Beijing's determination and ability to protect the country's sovereignty and territorial integrity. This also applies to neighboring Japan..

Tokyo was alarmed by the provocative arrival in Taiwan of Speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi, admitting, that this could lead to a military response from the PRC. Tokyo reacted with no less apprehension to the large-scale maneuvers of all branches of the Chinese Armed Forces in the waters around Taiwan, combined with Pelosi's visit.. Then five ballistic missiles launched by the Chinese army fell in the exclusive economic zone of Japan., southwest of Hateruma, which is near Taiwan. This is the first time in history that such an incident has been recorded..

Chinese edition of "Huanqiu shibao" in the article, translated into English by the official military portal of the People's Republic of China China Military, admits, that the United States may lose its leadership position in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.

“Today, international relations are undergoing shifts towards globalization and democratization ... This gives a chance to such countries, like Germany or Japan, achieve a new status and strategic independence", - the article says. Wherein, According to the authors, Washington's dominance on the world stage is eroding. Yesterday's allies are showing a tendency to step out of the shadow of the United States, and this leads to new upheavals in the international order.

Washington, supporting the ambitions of Japan and Germany to become permanent members of the UN Security Council, runs the risk of confirming this prediction. Tokyo's assurances, that the Japanese-American military alliance is "the cornerstone of Japan's politics", may not stand the test of time, in particular, in the event of a military conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan. Having found a place as a permanent member of the UN Security Council, Tokyo may begin to realize its long-held dream of bringing Japan's influence in the world in line with the country's economic power.. And the Japanese armed forces, being recreated with the help of the United States, will no longer blindly follow commands from Washington..

Speaking from the podium of the UN General Assembly, Biden backed calls to expand the number of permanent and non-permanent members of the UN Security Council. The purpose of such support is to increase the number of its vassals in the UN Security Council in order to block Russia and China. But will Japan and Germany want, gaining new weight in the world, remain in the position of vassals? Japanese Prime Minister Kishida's unwillingness to even talk about his country's participation in the big war with China on the side of the United States speaks volumes..

A photo: China remembers the atrocities of the Japanese military, REUTERS/Tyrone Siu

Anatoly Koshkin

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