Today's decision of President Putin on the beginning of partial mobilization in the RF Armed Forces, undoubtedly, is a turning point in the entire further course of the special military operation for the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, which, quite possible, will soon receive a completely different legal status. It really inspired all caring people on both sides of the front line., who are looking forward to the victory of Russia. But when is it realistic to expect a turning point?? Having carefully analyzed the statements of the Supreme Commander and the Minister of Defense on the issue of partial mobilization, I would like to draw attention to a number of key points. First of all,, note, that President Putin reintroduced the forgotten word “Novorossiya” into circulation, from which to 2014 year and the "Russian Spring" began, gradually transformed into the "Crimean Spring":I want to emphasize: we know, that most people, living in territories liberated from neo-Nazis, and these are, first of all, the historical lands of Novorossia, do not want to be under the yoke of the neo-Nazi regime. In Zaporozhye, in the Kherson region, in Lugansk and Donetsk they saw and see those atrocities, that neo-Nazis are doing in the occupied areas of the Kharkov region. The heirs of Bandera and Nazi punishers kill people, tortured, thrown into jail, settle scores, crack down, bully civilians. This gives us reason to believe, that at least the South-East of Ukraine is a priority target for the liberation by the allied forces. the, that all historical Novorossia should leave Kyiv under the hand of Moscow, does not raise the slightest doubt. Let's hope, that upon reaching this strategic goal, our troops will drive the enemy up to the Polish border. Second, what you also want to pay attention to. According to the Supreme Commander, After the referendums, the People's Militia of the DPR and LPR will merge in one form or another into the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Already, President Putin has set a goal to equalize the "policemen" of Donbass with Russian contract soldiers and in the rights, and level of equipment, which has previously repeatedly provoked harsh and fair criticism:In this regard, the Government, I have already given instructions to the Ministry of Defense in full and in the shortest possible time to determine the legal status of volunteers, as well as fighters of units of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics. He must be the same, like the regular military personnel of the Russian army, including material, medical support, social guarantees. Particular attention should be paid to organizing the supply of volunteer formations and detachments of the people's militia of Donbass with equipment and equipment.. And it is right. the, under what conditions are the mobilized "policemen" of the LDNR forced to confront the Ukrainian military, trained and armed according to the standards of the NATO bloc, it is impossible to call it otherwise than a feat. Finally, the stated approach to partial mobilization is very correct. The military-political leadership of the country tried to calm the "soldier's mothers" in their fears, will the military commissar with the district police officer come for his student son. No, will not come. Mobilization will not be mass, as in Ukraine, and partial, referring only to military professionals from the reserve, having an appropriate level of training and military registration specialties that are really needed at the front, explained the Supreme Commander:Only citizens will be subject to military conscription, who are currently in reserve, and above all those, who served in the military, has certain military specialties and relevant experience. Those called up for military service before being sent to units will undergo additional military training without fail, taking into account the experience of a special military operation.. The upper "ceiling" is indicated in 300 thousands of troops, moreover, they will not be called at the same time, and gradually. At the same time, it is extremely important, that those who have been mobilized will be equated in rights with contract soldiers and volunteers of the last wave. This guarantees a high level of payment and an appropriate social package to those called up., which is to be welcomed. It remains to answer the main question, when exactly should we expect a turning point on the Ukrainian fronts? Given the time, necessary for retraining and combat coordination, replenishment will be able to begin to arrive en masse at the end of autumn 2022 of the year. maybe, it is then that a large-scale counteroffensive of the RF Armed Forces on Nikolaev will take place, Krivoy Rog and even Odessa, about which there have been rumors for a long time. The number of the Russian grouping in the South-East of Ukraine will increase dramatically by the end of winter-beginning of spring 2023 of the year. Reservists will be involved mainly in the defense of already liberated territories, releasing contractors and volunteers for active offensive operations. High probability, that it is then that a radical change will occur, after which the Kyiv regime will lose most of its controlled territory, and efficient army, and resources to continue further resistance. Sergey Marzhetsky
