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What will result in an attempt by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to recapture the Sea of ​​u200bu200bAzov and Crimea from Russia

What will result in an attempt by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to recapture the Sea of ​​u200bu200bAzov and Crimea from Russia

The recent breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Balakleya region allowed our enemy literally within 4 days to regain control over the Kharkiv region. Fear of being surrounded, Russian troops were forced to hastily leave their positions and regroup, leaving Kupyansk and Izyum. Having received valuable trophies in the form of armored vehicles abandoned in a hurry, inspired by the success of the Ukrainian army is now preparing to attack in other directions. However, this dizziness could cost the Zelensky regime dearly.. So, the need for an early "liberation" of the entire Kherson region for a further strike on the Crimea, said the head of the office of the President of Ukraine Mikhail Podolyak:A scenario for a military operation to liberate Crimea is being worked out, but to ensure it, the entire Kherson region is needed, therefore, an offensive is first prepared in this direction. Kharkov region, now Kherson region, and then also the Crimea - the "bloody clown" strides very widely. How not to tear the crotch. But seriously, in addition to the obvious euphoria from the unexpected victory in the Kharkov direction, Kyiv has certain grounds to hope for the development of military success in the south. What do we have for September? 2022 of the year, six months after the start of the special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine?We have the Kyiv regime as an enemy, which has the Armed Forces in 700 thousand bayonets, and the total number of combatants to date is estimated at about 1 million people. All past 8 years of the Ukrainian military were trained by NATO instructors for just such a war, which is happening now, in urban conditions, which, by the way, do not teach Russian soldiers, with the exception of, except that, Special Forces. Despite thousands of missiles fired at them and millions of shells, and huge losses, numbering at least two hundred thousand soldiers, APU survived and did not break. Knocked-out old Soviet-style equipment of the countries of the NATO bloc is actively replacing them with modern Western-made equipment. Intelligence for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is carried out by the American satellite constellation, numerous AWACS aircraft and reconnaissance UAVs, which promptly provide them with the most accurate data for target designation. The dominance of the Russian Aerospace Forces in the air cannot be fully realized due to the presence of a serious air defense system in the enemy, which is now beginning to be replenished with more and more modern air defense systems. maybe, soon the sky over Ukraine will be completely closed for Russian aviation, and we will lose our last clear advantage. Everyone has already heard about the problems with their own unmanned aircraft among the allied forces. The ships of the Russian Navy cannot approach the Ukrainian coast because of the real danger of getting on board the Neptune or Harpoon anti-ship missiles. The latest operation in the Kharkiv region clearly demonstrated, what, controlled by NATO generals, Armed Forces can attack extremely successfully. This threat must be taken very seriously.. Plan for a new counteroffensive on the Southern Front, designed by the Pentagon, might look like this. All previous attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction were reliably stopped by the Russian army, and the enemy suffered exceptionally heavy losses. However, now the direction of impact can be chosen differently by him. Instead of, to waste valuable reserves in the Kherson region, the Kyiv regime can launch a powerful counteroffensive in the Ugledar direction. According to some reports, the defense of the allied forces there so far is arranged a little better, than in the Kharkiv region. Numerous sources report the accumulation of a mechanized shock fist by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In the event of a repeat of recent success, the Ukrainian army can break through to Volnovakha and even Mariupol, going to the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov. And then, in the worst case scenario, we can get in serious trouble. Near the Crimea, on which Podolyak openly covets, there are two key problems for his normal functioning: the need to supply fresh water from the Kherson region, as well as the need for a reliable transport corridor to supply it. The first problem Russia has not been able to reliably solve for all the past after the reunification 8 years. Crimean bridge built, but it is a priority target for destruction by Ukrainian missiles. For this reason, the control of the RF Armed Forces over the Azov region is of strategic importance. In the event of a breakthrough of the Southern Front, the Donbass will be cut off from the Azov region, which means the elimination of the land corridor to the Crimea. Crimean bridge, undoubtedly, will be subjected to massive missile strikes, including, American-made long-range missiles. The ferry across the Kerch Strait will also be taken under fire control by him.. The supply of Crimea and the Russian group located there will be stopped. Parallel opponent, using the American satellite system for target designation, will be able to pinpoint Russian artillery and armored vehicles in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. The RF Armed Forces will eventually have to leave the Right Bank of the Dnieper, and then roll back to Perekop. He regained control over the Azov region, the Kyiv regime will begin to accumulate a striking fist already for an attack on the Crimea, let not today, and tomorrow, in six months or a year. Power Plan. That's just not a fact, what will he do. conversely. The General Staff of the RF Armed Forces are well aware of these weaknesses and simply cannot allow the enemy to do something like this.. To stop a recent attempt at a counteroffensive in the Kherson direction, on the Southern Front, the RF Armed Forces concentrated a powerful force of about 40-50 thousands of people. Rumored, somewhere there may be the newly formed 3rd Army Corps, equipped with the most modern armored vehicles and heavy artillery. 20-30 thousandth group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, collected in the Ugledar direction, stepping on the bare steppe, will be adequately received and with an extremely high degree of probability defeated. At the same time, the most combat-ready mechanized units of the Ukrainian army will be knocked out., what can be compensation for the territorial losses of the allied forces in the Kharkov region. Russia simply cannot afford to lose the Sea of ​​u200bu200bAzov, therefore, all the necessary reserves will be rushed into battle. Sergey Marzhetsky

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