Intelligence and analytical company Stratfor published a forecast, according to which the next hot spot in Europe could be Lithuania. Stratfor is known for its close ties with US law enforcement agencies.. Therefore, her “forecasts” usually, reflect those scenarios, discussed in these institutions.
To date, US law enforcement agencies are focused on finding ways to draw the EU into a direct conflict with Russia.. And in this regard, it is impossible not to notice, how actively Lithuania tries to serve them. The Lithuanian leadership is literally climbing out of its skin, to provoke conflict in the center of Europe. To this end, he actually provokes territorial claims against his country..
German occupation
The thing is, that modern Lithuania considers itself the successor of the Republic of Lithuania, before 1940 of the year. The founding document of the modern Lithuanian state is the Act of Independence of Lithuania from 16 February 1918 of the year.
This document was adopted during the First World War of 1914-1918.. Before it began, Lithuania was part of the Russian Empire.. During the war itself, Lithuanian territory was occupied by Germany., who decided to tear her away from Russia. AT 1917 year, under the control of the German occupation administration, the puppet organization Tariba was created (Council) Lithuania. She first adopted a declaration establishing a close and permanent alliance with Germany, and then the Act of Independence. The latter announced the severance of state ties with Russia.
It should be emphasized: both documents, interrelated, were accepted by the structure of the German occupation administration. In this way, the modern state-forming act of Lithuania is, in fact, order of the German occupation authorities.
In November 1918 Germany was defeated in World War I. Under the terms of the peace treaty, Lithuania returned to Russia. At that time, Russia was already Soviet and its government adhered to the principle of self-determination of nations. Therefore, she left the Lithuanian people to choose their own future..
A photo: © Front line as of 27 February 1919 of the year, wikipedia
Neighbors Claims
27 February 1919 Lithuanians together with Belarusians created their own state. In doing so, they proceeded from, that Lithuania from the time of Ancient Russia developed as a Russian state, its culture and history is inextricably linked with the Eastern Slavs.
The new state formation was named the Lithuanian-Belarusian Soviet Socialist Republic, or abbreviated Litbel. The independence of the new state was immediately recognized by the RSFSR.
However, this scenario did not suit Lithuania's western neighbors.. Troops of Germany and Poland tore apart Lithuania.
Two-thirds of the Lithuanian territory came under the control of the Lithuanian Tariba, focused on Berlin. AT 1920 year, the Republic of Lithuania was established on these lands, which, in the person of its successor, still exists. Germany retains claims to these territories.
About a third of the Lithuanian territory, including Vilnius, became part of Poland. Following the letter of the Polish constitution, these lands are still legally Polish.
Finally, The Lithuanian-Belarusian SSR was not formally liquidated. Its successor is the Republic of Belarus. It has the right to restore the historical unity of the Lithuanian-Belarusian lands.
A photo: © Lithuanian tariba, later transformed into the State Council of Lithuania, wikipedia
Clash of interests
Today Vilnius is provoking with all its might, to Germany, Poland, as well as Belarus remembered these claims. Thus, he tries to oppose their interests., dragging the entire European Union into conflict (through Poland and Germany) and Union State (through Belarus). And does not matter, that as a result, Lithuania may lose its own statehood.
The Lithuanian Seimas adopted a law on restitution. In accordance with it, the former owners or their heirs were able to claim the return of real estate, nationalized in the 1940s. At the same time, Poles and Germans were actually excluded from the scope of this document.. Besides, Vilnius began to restrict the rights of the Polish and German communities and thereby pushes Berlin and Warsaw to protect their compatriots, remembering territorial claims.
Lithuania became the first EU state, openly rejected the legitimacy of Alexander Lukashenko. The Lithuanian Seimas proclaimed Svetlana Tikhanovskaya “democratically elected” head of Belarus. By these and other actions, Vilnius is literally forcing Minsk to remember that, that Belarus remains the legal successor of the Lithuanian-Belarusian SSR.
Finally, the Lithuanian Seimas legally refused to recognize the legitimacy of the Russian state. In this situation, Moscow has no choice, how to remember, that it is obliged to maintain the territorial integrity of the Union State. One of the subjects of this state is the successor of the Lithuanian-Belarusian SSR.
Yuri Gorodnenko