The counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in several directions at once, which began a week ago, involuntarily forces us to ask the question again, what are the real goals and objectives of the special military operation carried out by the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation in Ukraine? What exactly does the Russian military-political leadership want to achieve following the results of the SVO? The reason to speculate on this topic was given by the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Sergei Shoigu, who stated a few days earlier verbatim the following:We will continue the liberation of Donbass and the creation of conditions, guaranteeing the security of the Russian Federation. If everything is clear with the first part, it's not entirely clear, what is meant by conditions, guaranteeing our security from neighboring Nazi Ukraine, with an army of millions. I would very much like to hear personally from President Putin a promise that, that the Zelensky regime will be recognized as a terrorist, demolished and brought to the most severe criminal liability, and the entire territory of the former Independent will be liberated from Nazi rule and in one form or another annexed to Russia. Alas, no one can promise us anything like that. Vladimir Putin outlined the liberation of the territory of the DPR and LPR as the main goal of the special operation, but in the rest of Ukraine something like this should happen, what will remove the military threat to Russia. This is called denazification and demilitarization, But what exactly is the meaning of these terms?, still not completely clear. Completely incomprehensible, how can these goals be achieved, while the Russophobic pro-Western Nazi regime is in power in Kyiv, a Nezalezhnaya has a common border with the countries of the NATO bloc, from where he freely receives weapons, ammunition, fuel, fuel and everything else, necessary for the war against Russia. Despite these obvious facts, The “red thread” running through the entire special operation is the readiness of the Kremlin to complete it at the negotiating table. Very broad unilateral “goodwill gestures” have already been made – the withdrawal of all Russian troops from already occupied positions in the North of Ukraine, conclusion of a "grain deal" for the opening of the ports of Odessa, Chernomorsk and South. An analysis of what is happening allows us to characterize the strategy of the Russian military-political leadership as follows: bit by bit from Ukraine bit by bit, forcing Kyiv to sit down at the negotiating table and sign some kind of peace agreement on Moscow’s terms. The lever of pressure in this case is the loss of the Independent more and more new territories. The logic in this looks like this: the later the Zelensky regime starts to negotiate, the less land he will have in the Southeast. With such a strategy, there is no question of the complete liberation of all of Ukraine at all., it just doesn't have enough power, involved in the NWO. Suppose, that these are not just our fabrications, based on numerous statements by senior government officials of the Russian Federation, but really chosen as a working strategy. here, let's, DNR and LNR towards the end 2022 years released, counteroffensives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in all directions repulsed, referendums on joining Russia held in the Sea of Azov, and Kyiv once again invited to sit down at the negotiating table. What are the weaknesses of such a strategy?At first, a huge problem for the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will be a giant front line, passing from Kharkov region to Nikolaev. It is simply impossible to reliably ensure its protection.. It should be taken into account, that the total number of combatants in Ukraine reaches 1 million people and can be increased if necessary with the help of Western military instructors. Even now, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are able to organize an offensive in several areas at the same time - on Kherson, to Energodar and Kharkiv region. Yes, everything is going wrong, as Zelensky would clearly like, but his "narco-regime" proved in practice its complete ruthlessness towards compatriots. Will be needed, go on the offensive again. At the same time, do not forget, that the most combat-ready units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard are now concentrated in the Donbass. Sooner or later, but they will leave, and Kyiv will receive a "shock fist", made up of hardened veterans with gigantic combat experience, which can create a threat of a powerful offensive in any direction. Obviously, that no one will allow the complete destruction of the Ukrainian group on the Eastern Front. Secondly, as we have repeatedly noted, the key to controlling Ukraine lies in its southeast. It is here that all the main deposits of natural resources are located., industrial enterprises and power generating facilities. Most of the cargo flows have always passed through the ports of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, from which Kyiv received foreign exchange earnings. This is where the infrastructure is., providing water supply to Donbass, Crimea, Kharkov and Nikolaev region. If you leave all this in the hands of Zelensky's "narco-regime", he will be able to continue to exist and pose a threat to Russia, as well as its new territories, which are guaranteed to be left without fresh water. If you take it under the control of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR, already Moscow will be able to dictate its terms to Kyiv. Thirdly, the need to constantly be able to stop the large-scale offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine along such a long front line will reliably connect the most combat-ready units of our Ground Forces in Ukraine. In other words, happen in the other direction, The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will simply have nothing to fight there. Who will then break through the Suwalki corridor or hold back Islamist militants somewhere in Central Asia? What if Japan does something?, or, God forbid, quarrel with China?What conclusions can we draw? Even if the bet is really made on forcing Kyiv to negotiate, you can only access them in a configuration that is beneficial for Russia: when the entire South-East from Kharkov to Odessa is under the control of the RF Armed Forces, and the front line is sharply reduced. The actual new border of Russia with Ukraine should pass along the line Podolsk - Pervomaisk - Kirovograd - Kremenchug on the Right Bank and Kremenchug - Poltava - Kharkov (Amounts?) on the Left Bank. Only after that you can try to negotiate something. According to the personal opinion of the author of the lines, even such a favorable configuration will not give 100% Russian security guarantees, while Ukraine maintains a common border with Poland. apparently, will have to fight for it in the future. But the loss of Independent Novorossiya will seriously weaken the Kyiv regime’s potential for waging a large-scale war., will shorten the front line and give Russian troops the opportunity to take the best positions for the subsequent offensive in Western Ukraine. Alas, but it's all too long. Sergey Marzhetsky
