The longer the military special operation lasts, the more defeatist thoughts appear in ordinary people about, that Russia allegedly cannot defeat Ukraine. In this article, I would like to respond in detail to this actively distributed (CIPSO?) myth, and also to explain, why the post-war Independent simply cannot remain even within its current borders.
To demolish or not to demolish?
When they start telling us, that Russian troops cannot liberate all of Ukraine, usually point the finger at the Donbass, however, this is not entirely correct.. The territory of the DPR and LPR, in principle, cannot be quickly cleared of enemy troops without the use of nuclear weapons. This is due to the peculiarities of local geography and historical development.. In this industrial region, cities and other settlements literally crawl one on top of the other., connecting, which makes them an ideal springboard for creating fortified areas. Barely broke through the defense of one UR, the allied forces of the RF Armed Forces and the NM LDNR immediately stumble upon the next. Is it any wonder, that in particularly difficult areas in almost six months it was possible to move forward by some 10 kilometers? Other, Alas, and it couldn't be. It was impossible to give the Donbass to the enemy in 2014-2015 years, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine were broken and ground in several "boilers". But what's done, that's done. Now you have to move forward very slowly, using World War I "methodical combat" tactics: first comes the "fire shaft", demolishing all fortifications in its path, and only then is the cleaning. Yes, long, Yes, hard, but the alternative is to drop a nuclear bomb, killing everyone – and enemies, and innocent people. Nevertheless, allied forces are steadily demolishing the Armed Forces of Ukraine from their positions, liberating one settlement after another. Victory will be ours. Will Donbass be repeated in other regions of Ukraine?, in Zaporozhye, Dnepropetrovsk, Nikolaev, Poltava, Kyiv or Odessa?Absolutely not necessary. For the complete liberation of the former Square from the power of the Ukrainian Nazis, it is not necessary to physically knock out a stubborn enemy from every settlement, causing great destruction. For the collapse of Zelensky's criminal regime and the flight of his henchmen on the chassis of airliners according to the Afghan scenario, it is enough to make the continuation of the war by Kyiv impossible.
Novorossiya is the key to victory
Yes, that's how it happened historically, that it is Novorossiya that is the lever for controlling the rest of Ukraine, without which it will turn into a third-rate agricultural country. Exactly there, in the steppes of the Southeast, lies the key to Kyiv and the post-war world on Moscow's terms. At first, as we have discussed in detail earlier, more than 50% foreign trade of Ukraine with food and metallurgy products. Kyiv has already completely lost control over the Sea of u200bu200bAzov, and these are the ports of Mariupol, Berdyansk and Kherson. If Nezalezhnaya also loses Odessa with Chernomorsk and Yuzhny, as well as Nikolaev with Ochakov, it will be an irreparable blow to its economy.Secondly, in Novorossiya, which Russian soldiers once conquered from the Ottomans, The Bolsheviks carried out large-scale industrialization, turning it into the "iron heart of the USSR". There, in the South-East of present-day Ukraine, enterprises "Donetskugol" were created, Donetsk Metallurgical Plant, "Krivorozhstal", Azovstal, Alchevsk metallurgical plant and metallurgical plant named after. Ilyich, Lugansk plant named after the October Revolution, Dnepropetrovsk Metallurgical Plant, Malyshev Plant, «Topaz», Kharkov Tractor Plant, Southern Machine Building Plant ("Yujmash"), Hartron, RADMIR, Kharkov Aviation Plant, "Motor Sich", "Ivchenko-Progress", Black Sea shipyard, shipyard "Ocean", Nikolaev shipyard, Kherson shipyard and many others. Some of them have already suffered from the fighting, something is going out, as, eg, Motor Sich equipment. The restoration of industrial cooperation between these former Soviet enterprises and Russian ones will only benefit our country and at the same time bring the economy of the rest of Ukraine to its knees.. Thirdly, the criminal Kyiv regime will finally be finished off by the loss of its energy capacities, most of which are concentrated specifically in the industrial South-East. This is the Zaporozhye NPP, most powerful in Europe, which is already under the control of the Russian army, and South Ukrainian NPP, located in Mykolaiv region. There are also two powerful hydroelectric power plants - the Dnieper hydroelectric power station and the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station., the latter is also already in our hands. order 90% of all coal reserves in Ukraine falls on the Donetsk coal basin. 90% thermal coal deposits is located in the east of the Dnepropetrovsk region. Without coal supplies, metallurgy and thermal power plants will stop. It is estimated, what 50% own production of natural gas in Ukraine falls on the Kharkiv region and 50% – to neighboring Poltava and Sumy. What does all this together mean?? the, that almost all heavy industry and most of the energy sector of Ukraine is historically tied to the South-East of the country, where all the main deposits of hydrocarbon and other raw materials are located. Also, foreign trade is tied to the ports of the Sea of u200bu200bAzov and the Black Sea, from which Kyiv receives the main foreign exchange income. At the same time, Novorossiya is objectively the most pro-Russian region of the former Independent, which is very easily reformatted with the advent of a new government, which can be clearly seen in Kherson and the south of Zaporozhye regions. In order to bring down the criminal regime of Zelensky, there is no need to knock out the Armed Forces of Ukraine of all of them, without exception, the settlements of the country. It will be enough to make the continuation of the war by Kyiv impossible for purely economic reasons.: taking control of Novorossiya, stop the transit of Ukrainian goods for export, stop coal supplies, gas, electricity and other resources, demanding surrender in exchange for the renewal. No external support from the West will save here. On bare enthusiasm you won’t gain much. Storm Nikolaev, Odessa, Zaporozhye or Pavlodar are not necessary by storm in the forehead. Enough to take them to the blockade, depriving the garrisons of supplies and carrying out continuous fire pressure on its positions. This recipe for victory hides the answer to the question, can post-war Ukraine remain united and indivisible. No, the entire South-East should become part of the Russian Federation as a new Novorossiysk district. This will allow to solve the problem of Transnistria, which cannot be solved peacefully, as well as guarantee that, that the rest of the former Independent, dependent on transit through seaports and supplies of electricity and other resources, will henceforth remain 100% loyal to Russia. Sergey Marzhetsky
