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Japan modeled possible scenarios for responding to China during an attack on Taiwan

Japan modeled possible scenarios for responding to China during an attack on TaiwanJapanese Ministry of Defense building

The growth of tension around Taiwan after the visit to the island of the Speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi seriously worried Japan, the closest military-political partner and ally of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region.. Also in 2021 In 2018, a group of senior officers from the Japan Self-Defense Forces began modeling Tokyo's response to the PRC attack on Taiwan., if that happens.

The simulation involved MPs from the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and former high-ranking officers of the Japan Self-Defense Forces.. Among the guests is former Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera., who served as prime minister. Simulation Participants, having the character of a kind of game, considered several scenarios for the possible reaction of the Japanese government.

One of the modeling options is political instability like in Taiwan, as well as in China. China is allegedly growing dissatisfaction with the rule of President Xi Jinping. Taiwan's independence movement intensifies.

According to the script, fishing boats from mainland China heading for the Senkaku Islands, which are controlled by Japan, but which China also claims. There is a collision with a Japanese Coast Guard patrol vessel.. In Taiwan, there are systemic failures in banks and other institutions at this time.. Anti-government forces stage large-scale protests in the capital of the island of Taipei. China then launches missile strikes on Taiwan.

Against the backdrop of these events, a meeting of the National Security Council of Japan is being held.. Its participants imitated US coordination actions and organized meetings between the foreign and defense ministers of the two states., as well as their leaders.

The National Security Council of Japan recognized the provocation on the Senkaku Islands as an armed act of aggression against Japan. The rocket attack on Taiwan was also classified as an armed attack on a third country., which threatens the survival of Japan. Respectively, Japan has the right to collective self-defense.

Then two scenarios were worked out - the evacuation of civilians in Japan and a possible reaction to the use of nuclear weapons by China.. The first scenario was a request from the Ministry of Defense to the government to quickly investigate the situation..

However, Onodera, who in the simulation played the role of the prime minister of the country, He stated, that in the event of a sharp statement by the government, relations with China could collapse. The main task in this situation is the evacuation of the Japanese from other states., including from China, as well as Taiwan.

It is assumed, that similar game simulations of various critical situations will continue to be repeated. Allied relations with the United States create many risks for Japan. After all, in the event of a real confrontation with China, the consequences for the Japanese side could be catastrophic.. used photos:Wikipedia / book store – book store’

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