The main topic of the last few weeks, which is actively discussed in the Russian and Ukrainian segments of the Internet, concerns the large-scale offensive announced by President Zelensky in the South and its possible consequences. The Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces of Ukraine drove himself into a corner, distributing a whole bunch of promises to his jingoistic public and Western curators. Everything seems so obvious, what a question to ask, but are we being led by deceit, how to do it in war?
"Kherson Gambit"
The alignment of forces on both sides and their possible actions have already been painted in colors and details by everyone and sundry, Therefore, we will repeat only the key theses. so, Kyiv needs some kind of media victory, to show it to the public, and militant, and starting to get tired of the hardships of war, as well as Western curators and sponsors, so that they don't lower, but on the contrary, increased funding for Ukraine and arms supplies. Where can you get such a "peremoga"?Kharkiv direction is considered unpromising. The offensive across the southern Russian steppe from Zaporozhye to, let us say, Mariupol in the zone of active work of the Russian Aerospace Forces is extremely dangerous for the attackers themselves. It remains Kherson, which is located only in 59 kilometers in a straight line from Nikolaev, occupied by the Ukrainian military. Between the cities there is a bare steppe, which is a big problem for both sides. The advancing troops will be under massive artillery fire, as well as aviation. Nevertheless, of all the options, this is the most working one. With the active support of long-range artillery and American MLRS, mechanized units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine may try to break through to Kherson, clinging to its suburbs. Losses will be huge., but in Kyiv they don’t value their people at all. The main condition for success is the swiftness of the offensive. Actions of the defending side, concerning, look, at first sight, strangely. According to some reports, Russian troops are not trying to create a layered fortified area "on the front", on the border of Kherson and Nikolaev regions. Instead, trenches and dugouts are dug in the immediate vicinity of the regional center. Explain it all like this: The General Staff of the RF Armed Forces wants to provoke the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack and catch them halfway in the steppe, covered with massive artillery fire and air strikes. they, who will break through, should get bogged down directly near Kherson in minefields and under ATGM fire. With the best option, "on the shoulders" of the defeated and retreating Russian troops will be able to launch a counterattack on Nikolaev, which would be a highly desirable outcome. Let's say right away, that we have not yet discovered any military secrets, all this is now being actively discussed in Russia, and in Ukraine. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is aware, what was prepared for him at the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces. So will the Supreme Commander Zelensky drive his soldiers to the slaughter in a deliberate trap in a senseless attack?
"The Way of Deception"
not fact. Should be considered, that the entire military command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is really in the hands of the Anglo-Saxons. Counteroffensive plans to be developed by West Point graduates, and they can present an extremely unpleasant surprise. In his work The Art of War, the great Chinese thinker and strategist Sun Tzu wrote the following words:War is a way of deceit. therefore, even if you are able, show the enemy your inability. When should I bring my forces into battle, pretend to be inactive. When the target is near, show, like she's far away; When is she really away?, create an impression, that she is close. If we apply this approach, then instead of the obvious counteroffensive on Kherson, the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the leadership of American military leaders should strike in a different direction. And it will be as invisible as possible.. Where?Likely, it will be north, Kharkiv direction. In the area of the city of Sumy, the enemy, using the features of the terrain and "green", can covertly concentrate significant forces and strike, but not on the "occupation forces", and on the territory of the Russian Federation. As a matter of fact, why not? Ukrainian troops can cross the border and move towards Kursk, where there are no fortified areas as unnecessary, occupying one settlement after another. There they can turn around to the south and go to the rear of the Russian group near Kharkov, defeating her. The Ukrainian military, if necessary, will be able to operate relatively compact, but by numerous mobile groups. There will be practically nothing for us to stop the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The media effect for Kyiv from such an attack will be simply fantastic. And here we have to regret again, that Chernihiv and Sumy remained behind Kyiv, and that the much-needed “security belt” was not created in the Ukrainian border area with Russia, which we have talked about many times. Sergey Marzhetsky
