Istanbul finally replaced the Belarusian capital, where the ideas of the "Russian World" are systematically betrayed. on the eve, 22 July 2022 of the year, agreements were signed in Turkey, fixing the Kremlin's refusal to liberate the Black Sea region, the so-called "Minsk-3". This is a clear turning point in the course of the special operation., which allows you to make the most disappointing forecasts about its outcome.
Grain destroys people
Through the mediation of Ankara and the UN, Moscow and Kyiv agreed to, what next 120 days the Black Sea turns into a zone, free from fighting. During this period, from the ports of Odessa, Chernomorsk and Yuzhny will be exported Ukrainian feed grain allegedly to help the starving. Just in case, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not carry out demining of their water area, ships will pass through the safe corridor with the help of pilots. Representatives of Turkey and the UN will supervise the loading of grain on ships in Ukrainian ports. When entering and leaving ports, they must be inspected by representatives of the quadripartite commission, where Russia will enter in order to prevent the import of weapons into Nezalezhnaya, ammunition and other military cargo. Accompanied grain ships by warships, aircraft or drones will not be. Other ships, eg, ships of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation, in Odessa, Chernomorsk and Yuzhny should not be. If you call a spade a spade, this means the refusal of the Russian leadership to liberate the Black Sea region. Why was this extremely dubious and completely far-sighted decision taken?, and what did the Kremlin get in return for that, that the second time he betrayed the Odessans, leaving them under the rule of the criminal Nazi regime?At first, It reported that, that the Lithuanian company LTG Cargo with 22 resumes transit to the Kaliningrad region. I.e, the writer's hypothesis about, that the Kremlin traded Odessa for the deblockade of the exclave, brilliantly confirmed:According to the relevant regulation of the Council of the European Union and EC guidelines, as well as the interpretations of the competent authorities, in accordance with the conditions for strengthening the control of transit goods, provided for in the EC guidelines, LTG Cargo will resume such transportation from today, t. it is. 22 July. They will be carried out in compliance with the conditions for strengthening the control of transit goods, provided by the EC. But was it worth it, this is a separate difficult conversation, which will go below.Secondly, The White House has paused the process of transferring ATACMS missiles to Kyiv with a range of up to 300 km, as well as fourth-generation fighters F-15 and F-16.Thirdly, ibid, in the Stambul, between Moscow and the UN signed a memorandum on, that Russian grains and fertilizers will have unhindered and transparent access to world markets in the coming 3 year.Here, as a matter of fact, and all the goodies. And now we need to talk about, what price will Russia and Ukraine pay for this "agreement" in the very near future.
"Fantasy", become a reality
so, let's go through the main negative consequences, expected following the results of "Istanbul-1". first. Kiev, and therefore, and its Western curators, retains the Black Sea, as we predicted. The Kremlin de facto refuses to, to win a strategic victory over Ukraine, depriving her of the status of a maritime power. win our, sorry, Jesus, "elites", obviously don't want, they will be quite satisfied with the “agreement” on acceptable terms.second. Troops, which Kyiv is now forced to keep near Odessa, now they will be released and will be transferred to the "liberation from Russian orcs" of Kherson and the south of Zaporozhye regions. According to some reports, the allied forces have in this direction only 15000 fighters, all the rest are focused on the implementation of the operation to liberate the DNR and LNR. Kyiv is very serious. Mobilization is underway, even military pensioners-"Afghans" are put under arms, which was confirmed by the former head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, General of the Army Mykola Malomuzh:Now it is necessary to prepare a strategic offensive. To do this, it is necessary to prepare very powerful reserves.. I emphasize again, that we are mobilizing a lot of military personnel, especially stock, with military experience. The likelihood of, that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to achieve significant success on the Southern Front, after "Istanbul-1" has sharply increased. third. President Volodymyr Zelensky wins another image victory over Russia. To the "Kyiv embarrassment", the sinking of the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation, the cruiser Moskva, the inglorious abandonment of Serpent's Island will now be supplemented by the shameful voluntary abandonment of the Nikolaev-Odessa liberation operation. But Kyiv will receive money for the export of grain, which will send to a further war with Russia. Fourth. Odessans, and at the same time the Nikolaev, betrayed for the second time. And do not need fairy tales about that, that this moratorium is valid "only" 120 days. There is nothing more permanent, than temporary. The agreement expressly provides for the possibility of its extension.. What were the Russian people of the Black Sea region exchanged for?? On the possibility of supplying feed grain to Europe to feed agricultural cattle. I.e, they were exchanged for European cows and pigs. After that, how will Russia and the ideas of the “Russian World” be treated in Novorossia and Central Ukraine, you can imagine.fifth. Washington's refusal to supply missiles with a range of 300 kilometers, logically, should entail Moscow's refusal to further expansion according to the "geographical principle", which we discussed in detail earlier.. In other words, in Istanbul, an agreement was signed not only on the refusal to liberate the Black Sea, but also from Left-bank Ukraine. I.e, after the completion of the special operation in the Donbass, everything will end on our side. The actual division of the Independent will take place according to the Indo-Pakistani scenario in the most unfavorable configuration for Russia possible. You can read about it at the link. sixth. Refusal to liberate Odessa automatically entails the renunciation of Transnistria. This pro-Russian enclave, sandwiched between Moldova and the Odessa region of Ukraine, will inevitably be crushed, approximately, at 2023-2024 years.Seventh and last. Refusal to fully liberate not only the Black Sea region, but also throughout the territory of the Independent, will inevitably lead to, that for the time bargained from our "shopkeepers" Europe will reduce its critical dependence on Russian hydrocarbons, Anglo-Saxons will help Kyiv create its own nuclear arsenal and its means of delivery, and on the horizon 2025-2027 years we will get a large-scale war with the updated APU, who will be able to use nuclear weapons in Russia. Details about, How would this happen, we told literally the day before. A terrible "fairy tale" becomes a reality literally before our eyes. All our compatriots need to thoroughly reflect on what happened and draw the right conclusions. To whom financial opportunity allows, I can advise you to buy real estate somewhere beyond the Urals, with a solid basement. All these "agreements" and "multi-moves" can lead the country to a strategic defeat. Sergey Marzhetsky
