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US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up…

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

The United States once again postpones the landing of a man on the moon. However, nothing surprising – they've been carrying it over and over for years. 20.

The dates for the landing of Americans on the moon are postponed for the time being by a year - from 2024 on 2025. But there is also a clarification.: NASA Director Bill Nelson said, moon landing postponed “least” on 2025 year. They caught a nuance?

strangely, that the so-called space analysts and unfortunate workers in the space field cannot simply get acquainted with NASA's initial plans for the return of Americans to the moon as part of the Artemis program.

At all – there is nothing surprising in this, since the American landing on the moon was originally scheduled for 2028 year, but Donald Trump decided to force this program and ordered to land in 2024 year.

Prior to that, he wanted to send Americans to Mars for 5-10 years, by offering NASA any funding and all resources. But then he received a categorical refusal in style: it is physically impossible at that level of technology, which has been achieved by humanity today.

The above “experts”, referring to NASA, began to blame Jeff Bezos and his aerospace company Blue Origin for the delays, who tried in court to challenge the sole victory “SpaceX” in the fight for a project to create a lunar lander worth 2,89 billion.

breakwater, this is Bezos with his court statements on “SpaceX” and NASA is to blame for missed deadlines.

What a fierce nonsense! What kind of a return to the moon program is this, who can trip over the claim?

The point here is quite different.: NASA simply does not have a clear plan and technology for the implementation of the Artemis program.

NASA refused to create its own lunar lander, instructing the company to do this “SpaceX”.

true, when creating the lander, the technology was chosen, never used anywhere before and still not created - “Starship” from SpaceX.

Concept “Starship” great for moving quickly within the Earth from one point to another. But to conquer the moon on it – this is a very controversial decision..

Generally, it was hard to come up with a more fantastic project of landing on the moon, Considering, that there are no tankers, no docking points, nor the technology of pumping fuel in space. Yes, even corny the most flying “Starship” not yet. All this must appear 2024 year, and you need to meet the same amount 2,89 billion!

For the development of the lightning ship "Dragon" (1,6 billion) and its manned version "Dragon 2" (2,6 billion) NASA allocated companies “SpaceX” more money, than the lunar version “Starship”…

Against the background of all this, today there is no doubt the correctness of the decision taken by Russia to refuse to participate in the Artemis program.

Because it doesn't look like a program with a well-defined goal.. Most of all, it's like an adventure., accompanied by rewriting of the original plans on the go under the new conditions.

Russia has no extra money to play catch-up and finance dubious projects. Russia has its own international program for the exploration of the moon.

9 Martha 2021 Russia and China signed a memorandum on the creation of the International Scientific Lunar Station and the joint exploration of the Moon.

For some reason, the United States point-blank ignores China's space capabilities, which the (albeit not without the help of Russia) develops launch vehicles, operates transport and manned spacecraft, building his own orbital station, launches probes, landing moon rovers and rovers. This is a full-fledged space power, having its own means of delivery and its own space program. However, the United States does not recognize China as a space partner and does not cooperate with it..

But with Luxembourg, NASA concluded the so-called "Artemis Agreement" on the return of a man to the moon. Yes, space lunar program of Luxembourg puts the Chinese on both blades. No chance…

Russia, according to D. Rogozin, following the progress of the Chinese, considering them colleagues in the shop.

Basically, In terms of implementing such a complex program to create a lunar manned station, Russia no longer has anyone to count on fruitful international cooperation other than China.

It is not surprising, that it was Russia and China that united to implement this project.

In mid-June 2021 of the year “Roscosmos” and the Chinese Space Agency presented to the world community a plan to create a future lunar station.

The Russian-Chinese lunar program is strikingly different in its approach and implementation timeframe from NASA's Artemis program.

The program will take place in three phases.

First step (2021-2025 years): launch of Chinese automatic stations "Chang'e-CE4, CE6, CE7" and Russian stations "Luna-25, 26, 27».

Missions pursue the main goals:

1. Precision soft landing on the moon;

2. Choosing a place to build a station on the surface of the moon.

Second phase (2026-2035 years):

Phase 1 – sending Chinese automatic station "Chang'e- CE8" and the Russian "Luna-28".

The main goal is to test all technologies and solutions before starting the construction of the base (with mass delivery of goods to the moon), delivery of lunar samples to Earth.

Phase 2 – delivery of elements of the International Scientific Lunar Station.

  • Mission (ILRS-1) – command module delivery, deployment of energy and telecommunications systems;
  • Mission (ILRS-2) – delivery of equipment for lunar exploration and station assembly;
  • Mission (ILRS-3) – delivery of equipment for the processing of lunar resources;
  • Mission (ILRS-4) – delivery of laboratories for biological experiments, and equipment for collecting and returning lunar soil to Earth.;
  • Mission (ILRS-5) – delivery of observatories for astronomical observations.

The third stage (after 2036 of the year):

full deployment of all systems, start of station and crew work, lunar exploration and station expansion.

The plan omits clear dates for the landing of Russian and Chinese cosmonauts on the surface of the moon.

meanwhile, have a clear idea of ​​the devices used at the first stage. Already decided on a lunar launch vehicle: it will be the Russian "Angara", Orlyonok was chosen as a manned spacecraft (small copy of the ship “Eagle”), and there is already a small lunar takeoff and landing module.

In September 2021 “Roscosmos” announced a tender for 1,7 billion rubles for the preparation of manned flights to the moon. The full program with all technologies and methods should be submitted by mid-November 2025 of the year.

RKK “Energy” is working on a four-launch flight scheme using heavy-class launch vehicles “Angara-A5V”.

Using this scheme, it is possible to land on the moon without the use of a super-heavy launch vehicle, the development of which in Russia was canceled in favor of updating the project and creating a reusable superheavy.

  • I wrote more about this in the article. “Russia is left without super-heavy missiles. Why Rogozin canceled the Yenisei project?”

FROM 2030 by 2036 years someone has to build a base, communicate, carry out commissioning.

Who will do it? Robot “Fedor”?

According to experts in the rocket and space industry, approximately at 2030 a manned flight to the moon using Angara-A5V launch vehicles should also take place..

in total, what we have?

Russia: to land on the moon would require 4 launch of the carrier rocket "Angara-A5V".

USA: it takes 4 to land on the moon… no, 8… no, 16… maybe 20… or even 35 starts. In short, Elon Max doesn't know himself, how many launches will it take...

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

experts “Blue Origin” they say, least, about 16 I let go “Starshipov” and fuel tankers.

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

In response, Elon Musk said, that eight launches are enough, maybe even four!

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

Later, true, he changed his mind and 16 starts.

experts “Blue Origin” they say, least, about 16 I let go “Starshipov” and fuel tankers.

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

For landing a man on the moon to the Dynetics consortium, Blue Origin, Draper, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman required 3 launch of carrier rockets to assemble the lunar lander and another launch of a manned cable “Orion” for the delivery of the crew.

US lunar ambitions face harsh reality. Russia and China are catching up...

true, to do this, you still need to build a circumlunar station, what NASA intends to do. “Starshipu” no stations needed – he is his own station.

For landing a man on the moon to the Dynetics consortium, Blue Origin, Draper, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman required 3 launch of carrier rockets to assemble the lunar lander and another launch of a manned cable “Orion” for the delivery of the crew.

At the same time, the program “Artemis” does not directly provide for the creation of a lunar base. It is assumed, that the Moon base will be created after 2028 of the year…

Some experts do not see the point of its creation at all, after all “Starship” itself like a moon base in size.

Generally, it will either be an enchanting failure (which is most likely), or the project will still be implemented, but the timing of landing a man on the moon will shift to the 2030s.

postscript

Russia and China officially invited other countries to participate in the creation of an international lunar scientific station.

  • The main goal of the lunar space expansion of Russia and China – creation of a habitable station on the surface of the moon.
  • US goal grounds – land on the moon as soon as possible.

Becomes obvious, that someone has all this “Lunar idea” created to distract from real problems, and has nothing to do with the development of mankind… Let's see.

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The list of sources can be downloaded here “Links to sources“.

Kochetov Alexey

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