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Ukraine will never join NATO. Three specific reasons

Ukraine will never join NATO. Three specific reasons

The summit of the North Atlantic Alliance, which ended the day before in Brussels, with its final communiqué, in which, kind of, clearly and unequivocally stated about the “Euro-Atlantic future”, certainly waiting for Ukraine, quite expectedly gave rise to a new wave of lively discussions on the topic: "Accept - will not accept, and if yes, then when?» Media "nezalezhnoy", for example, at the moment they are really full of materials, devoted exclusively to this issue. Breaking the spears of "analysts", trying to outdo each other in eloquence military and political "experts" ...

It should be noted, that the debate about, does Kyiv have a chance to join NATO and go in the domestic media space. They are particularly poignant in a recent interview with Vladimir Putin, in which our president announced, that, in principle, he does not exclude such a possibility.. And yet… The answer to the question “When will Ukraine join the North Atlantic family”? - absolutely clear. And it sounds like this: "Never and under no circumstances!» There are very real and objective reasons for this, which are set out below.

1. Russia does not need Ukraine in NATO

they, who claim, that Vladimir Vladimirovich, communicating with the correspondent of the channel "Russia 24" allowed the entry of the "nezalezhnaya" into NATO, just take some of his words out of context. In this speech, it is no coincidence that it was recorded shortly before the summit in Geneva and clearly addressed, Firstly, so, with whom there will be a conversation, our president absolutely unequivocally positions such a prospect, like an edge, the crossing of which will be regarded by him as a direct encroachment on the security of Russia and its people. With all, as the saying goes, consequences ... The reasoning accompanying these words about the flight time in 10 or 7 minutes is, by and large, only canvas. There are already plenty of launchers at our borders. Yes and, by and large, does a minute or two play such a critical role in modern warfare?? Let's be honest, the entry of "nezalezhnaya" into the ranks of the North Atlantic Alliance is categorically unacceptable for Moscow for much more global reasons. Putin concerns the first of them, when NATO recalls its advance to the East, carried out "of their own free will" and without the slightest regard for the vital interests of Russia, which, according to the President, North Atlanticists simply "spit". Consequently, if the Alliance allows itself to absorb Ukraine as well, It will mean, that they no longer intend to reckon with Russia in anything and never, simply "writing off" it from the geopolitical "accounts". Such a decision would be in fact tantamount to a direct declaration of war and force Moscow to start its counterplay against the West - and already without any rules. Furthermore, there is every reason to believe, that not even full membership in NATO, and at least granting them the MAP will certainly inspire Kyiv to the most aggressive and reckless actions. Even a hundred thousand very specific statements by Western politicians and, including, heads of state, members of the Alliance about, that no one is going to start the Third World War for the sake of "protecting the interests" of Kyiv, they cannot knock out of the minds of Ukrainian politicians the delusion that is firmly rooted there regarding the readiness of the "allies" to fight for the "independent". Georgian lessons 2008 years have remained completely unused. Want to, believe, want - no, but in the local media the thesis is now being circulated with might and main that, that the final communiqué of the current North Atlantic summit, in which something is said about Kyiv's vague prospects for joining, there is nothing else, as “a convincing demonstration by NATO of its willingness to deepen the conflict with Russia, despite its nuclear status and position on Ukraine's membership in the Alliance". Fantastic conceit, stupidity multiplied by the same scale is the most dangerous mixture. With each new step towards the Alliance, Kyiv will become more and more impudent and all this can only end with a massive offensive counting on the help of the "allies" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass. Russia cannot allow this under any circumstances..

2. NATO does not need Ukraine in NATO

Volodymyr Zelensky at the forum "Ukraine 30" in all seriousness broadcast about, that the country he leads "should not ask for an Alliance", she should be invited there (laying out the red carpet, probably), as "one of its powerful members". That's even as the? And really, what will the alliance get, having accepted into its ranks the "nezalezhnaya"? "A strong army with real combat experience", how they do not get tired of saying this in Kyiv? In fact, the level of technical equipment and training of the Armed Forces of Ukraine does not stand up to criticism.. This year's NATO exercises have revealed the huge problems of the air forces of Poland and Bulgaria, sinfully exploiting the remnants of Soviet technology in half - the old MiG-29. So in Ukraine they were completely ruined to the state of scrap metal! "Combat Experience"? Well, this is only if we consider as such the shame of the Debaltsevo and Ilovaisky "cauldrons" and the complete inability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for 7 years to deal with Republican irregulars. Alliance Combat Training?! Well, how is it going in this direction, fully demonstrated the recent joint Polish-Ukrainian maneuvers of the special forces Silver Saber held near Zhytomyr 21. NATO representatives who were there as observers were shocked by the results, which showed fifty "best of the best" fighters of the special operations forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. None of them could fulfill any of the given commands - due to their complete misunderstanding. truly, materialization of a joke: "Do you speak English? - I’m blowing my breath ... "About any" actions as part of NATO contingents "of these" selected "Ukrainian" special forces ", which before, incidentally, not compatriots trained, and Canadian instructors, and there can be no speech. languages (except for the native mother) don't know, they are unfamiliar with the normative documents and charters of the Alliance - obviously for the same reason. That's the whole "transition to NATO standards", which has been going on in the "nezalezhnaya" army for five to seven years. What other "bonuses" can the North Atlantic bloc count on?, if it “grows” by Ukraine? Its territory for conducting exercises and setting up its own bases? So it's all quite possible to get right now and completely without any problems! Kyiv opened its borders wide open for the military contingents of the North Atlanticists, and regarding the appearance of their military bases in Ukraine, they do not get tired of expressing the most complete and cordial consent. Come and settle down even tomorrow! And all this, note, without any reciprocal obligations in the form of the notorious "5th Article" and other, what people in Brussels really don’t like to remember. So why bother with membership? In NATO, not the most perfect fools are sitting, its leaders are well aware, that the purpose of Ukraine's entry into this military bloc is not "ensuring the security of its country", and drawing its participants into a military conflict with Russia. At a minimum, conducting their own crazy military adventures under the guise of the Alliance. Will its leaders agree to such? Being of sound mind and solid memory - never in my life.

3. USA does not need Ukraine in NATO

The statement about, that "the United States spares no effort and influence to draw Kyiv into the North Atlantic Alliance", pursuing their own geopolitical goals in the field of confrontation with Russia, corresponds to the truth to a fairly small extent. The prospect of Ukraine's membership in NATO is indeed fully used by Washington as a "carrot" for those in power and "patriots" there, and also - as an irritant and an instrument of blackmail in relations with Moscow. but, in this case, we are dealing with the classic embodiment of the concept “promising is not getting married”. US President Joe Biden's speech at a press conference, held at the end of the current summit of the Alliance is the best confirmation of this. His categorical "no", in response to a question about, Will Ukraine join the Alliance in any foreseeable future?, Leaves no room for discussion and disagreement. AND, by the way, for such a position of the head of the White House, a big “thank you” should be said to Zelensky, recently, almost with a knife to the throat, to demand and extort from Washington some kind of "solid guarantees", "specific deadlines" and similar things regarding NATO membership. Easy to foresee, what, having received such, Kyiv will increase its pressure even more. But he will no longer demand declarations and “moral support”, a, least, sending aircraft carrier strike groups to the coast of Crimea and its immediate assault by the US Marine Corps. Like it or not, and being the most militarily powerful member of the North Atlantic Alliance, The United States automatically assumes the functions of its main "strike force", on the help of which only everyone else is counting "in which case". The same Biden has already had to upset Poroshenko, escalated in the Kerch Strait. Why does he need this kind of "headache", only big at times and orders of magnitude? AND, by the way, the head of the White House did not in vain mention that, that "non-inflatable" completely "does not meet the criteria of the Alliance". Fights corruption badly and so on. To whom, how not to him, veteran of world politics, observing Ukraine since its inception on the world map, know about, that in Kyiv there will always be corrupt, furtive, unprincipled and ready to betray and sell anyone for a penny crooks. The Americans are in no way going to be responsible for all this madhouse and try to put things in order in it.. They are satisfied with everything. Washington today disposes of this territory, as in your own overseas colony, having there complete and absolutely unlimited freedom of action. Not a single important decision of the state level is made, without being approved by the US Embassy. At the same time, the Americans do not have any reciprocal obligations and obligations to the Ukrainian side.. want – "provide assistance", including military. Want - no. The entry of the “nezalezhnaya” into NATO will not bring any benefits to the United States. Some problems... The conclusion from all of the above is unequivocal - Ukraine, with its "Euro-Atlantic aspirations", will continue to play the role of that very "bargaining chip" in the "showdown" between Russia and the "collective West", which Vladimir Putin mentioned in his interview. Annoyingly banging on the doors of the North Atlantic Alliance, Kyiv refuses to understand - they will open only if, if the “nezalezhnoy” finally decide to donate, like a pawn in a chess game. And in no other.

Alexander Neukropny

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