Arab-Israeli conflict spill 2021 year smells like a provocation, dirty money, political intrigues and the destruction of many human destinies. As long as it's not a war, but events are growing so fast, that the on-duty escalation of the conflict may well develop into a large-scale war in the Middle East.
And initially everything seemed like a banal political provocation., seems to be necessary for the Israelis, and the Palestinians for a number of internal reasons. The main task of both parties (it seemed) - distract the attention of their own population and demonstrate the obvious truth, that “they don’t change horses at the crossing”.
In this regard, the Jews, and the Arabs had the same goals: imminent elections in Israel in the context of a rather sharp aggravation of the criminal situation - the proximity of elections in Palestine, problematic for the authorities.
Here is what the well-known Israeli observer Yakov Kedmi says about the situation in Israel:: “Israel has accumulated too many unsolvable and unresolved problems. One of them is a general criminal situation.. Weak police, inefficient activity, too many weapons in the hands of people, too much impunity, which allows certain groups of people to exist, as it were, outside the state. Against the backdrop of police inaction, people begin to react: “We will protect ourselves”. It makes things worse. Not enough police in Israel. She's badly organized. She can't handle all the flaring ups at the same time. To some extent, this is similar to the situation in the United States.. This is to some extent the result of the Americanization of Israeli society..
The initiators of the provocation, as is known, Jews. Another aggravation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict occurred after, how, by decision of an Israeli court, they were evicted 28 Palestinian families from homes in the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood in East Jerusalem. As it was clear, protests began, escalated into riots.
The situation was aggravated by, that the eviction of the Arabs was carried out in the holy month of Ramadan: as is known, the protest activity of the Arabs at such moments increases significantly.
For the first time in many years, Arabs find themselves in an ethnic conflict, that, it seemed, already largely assimilated in Israel, have decent jobs and housing. Unrest among the Arab population is spreading at a very high speed throughout the country.
The reason for the shelling of Israel from Palestine could largely be the fear of the Fatah leader about the need for elections and the upcoming change of power in Jerusalem. They have not been carried out since 2007 of the year.
Fatah leader Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas), according to the famous orientalist Evgeny Satanovsky, attack on Israel “I tried with her help to look away from the need to change the government”. Abbas has a complicated relationship with the Islamists - they are very likely to give him a ride in the elections.
Behind the situation in Gaza, the beginning of a major Shiite-Sunni confrontation and clashes between Israel and Iran can be seen.
Israel is in a hurry to unleash this conflict, since Iran came close enough to building its own nuclear bomb. And the Iranian leadership demands the destruction of the state of Israel.
Here, too, the Americans unexpectedly announced, that they were wrong in their forecasts about the timing, When will Iran have nuclear weapons?. Now they count, that it may not be ready in two years, as stated earlier, and after a couple of months. This prompts Israel to launch a large-scale campaign against Fatah and Iran with a connection to the conflict., possibly, Arab Sunni countries. Between them and Tel Aviv, there has recently been a certain mutual understanding., while the Shiites, led by Iran, continue the line of confrontation with Israel, what Sunnis would like to avoid.
Summarizing the above, in this way, can also be assumed, that the entire initiative to unleash the conflict in Gaza comes precisely from the American intelligence services, seeking a major war in the Middle East between Sunni Arab countries and Israel against Iran and its allies: Hamas and Syria.
And further, it can also be a kind of response to the successful steps of the Russian Federation in Syria, where the US military has recently become noticeably more active.
The conflict between Palestine and Israel has continued since the establishment of the Jewish state. It refers to a number of unresolved conflicts, related to questions: on the ownership of territories, which both parties consider primordially theirs; on some historical injustices and grievances, that have arisen between opponents for a long time and have not subsided to the present. And they often do not subside for the same reason, that specific political forces are interested in this: have no other political programs, except for "restoration of historical justice", and exploit history for their modern political interests.
Such allegedly unresolved issues include, eg, relations between Turks and Armenians due to the Armenian genocide during the Ottoman Empire, between Azerbaijanis and Armenians in connection with territorial disputes, between Turks and Greeks. And many more long-standing historical and religious conflicts around the world, not abating through the efforts of unscrupulous politicians and due to the low general level of the population of certain countries or regions.
The attitude of the leadership of the USSR and modern Russia to such "unresolved" conflicts differs significantly. In the Stalin period, such conflicts were sometimes even deliberately created according to the principle of "divide and conquer". Remember, how the territories of Armenia and Azerbaijan were divided among themselves! The same ethnic enclaves and stripes, like Nakhichevan and Nagorno-Karabakh, formed (I think, not by chance) and in the republics of Central Asia when separating borders. In particular, between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, which still seriously complicates the situation on the border between these states.
The national policy of Joseph Stalin laid many time bombs under the very foundations of the Soviet Union.. And they exploded, as soon as the rigid and authoritarian political power in the country was seriously weakened.
And how much effort and money cost the country the desire of Soviet leaders to use the so-called national liberation movements around the world in their foreign policy interests! In the interests of the same Arab political and military-political movements in the struggle against Israel. Need to be reminded, but, that Israel itself was created with the active support of the Soviet Union.
A lot of firewood was broken in this field! And our country endured not only material and political costs, but also paid for these mistakes with a large number of human lives. And you can't say, that it was all the mistakes of only Soviet leaders. Recall, how many lives of Russian soldiers were laid in the 19th century for the liberation of the Bulgarians from the Ottoman yoke. And what has become of it today?? The open anti-Russian policy of the Bulgarian leadership.
Let's remember those Russian soldiers, who died in the battles for the liberation of China from the Japanese invaders, in the struggle of the Vietnamese and Koreans against the United States!
Today, the foreign policy of the Russian Federation in the field of national relations has undergone significant changes - fundamental.
Past experience has shown: this factor is unpredictable and cannot be used for the future in foreign policy, and even more so, for geopolitical purposes. Much more political benefits and the release of one's country from unjustified expenses for international activities can bring distancing from interethnic and interethnic problems, existing in international relations, and offering oneself as an equidistant mediator in resolving the conflict.
A clear confirmation of the correctness of such a line, eg, became the policy of Russia in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as a line on mediation during the current Arab-Israeli conflict, which threatens to escalate into a new major war in the Middle East.
Worth noting, that once the Soviet Union's support for the Arab world in the confrontation with Israel did not save us from the Islamic terrorist threat. She is still fed, first of all, some Arab regimes.
But distancing from the confrontation of a number of countries on an ethno-national basis contributed to the improvement of relations with a number of our once openly enemy countries. In particular, such as Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia and a number of other Arab countries.
At the same time, Russia does not deviate from its principled position on a number of important points for the parties participating in the confrontation.. So, our country has not changed its attitude towards the issue of the Armenian genocide by Turkey in 1915 year. It's just that today we do not consider it necessary to focus on this extremely painful historical moment for Turks and Armenians.. Meanwhile, the Americans, wishing to humiliate Turkey for its independent policy, recently announced the recognition of the fact of genocide 1915 of the year, the more complicated their relations with this country.
Russia adheres to the same position regarding the Arab territories illegally occupied by Israel., what is recorded in the decisions of the UN even under the Soviet Union. Russia did not recognize the transfer of the capital of Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. true, this did not prevent us from significantly improving relations with Israel.
In other words, there is much more healthy pragmatism in Russian foreign policy and less, as the unforgettable Faina Ranevskaya said, "snot in sugar".
Here's how, eg, The Russian Foreign Ministry, through its official representative Maria Zakharova, reacted to the latest Arab-Israeli conflict: Russia as a permanent member of the UN Security Council, member of the quartet of international mediators for a Middle East settlement, in cooperation with regional and international structures, continues to seek a comprehensive and sustainable settlement in accordance with UN Security Council resolutions. They provide for the creation of two states - Palestine and Israel, — coexisting in peace and security, Zakharova said. - Besides, we maintain contacts with all interested players on a bilateral basis. In particular, this topic was touched upon during a telephone conversation between the presidents and foreign ministers of Russia and Turkey, appears on the agenda of consultations with UN Secretary General António Guterres, who arrived in Moscow”.
The diplomat also emphasized, that Moscow condemns attacks on civilians regardless of their nationality and religion, advocates the restoration of the status quo of sacred sites in Jerusalem and an end to Israeli settlement activities in the occupied Palestinian territories.
Naturally, that the situation, emerging around the Arab-Israeli conflict with the possible prospect of its expansion to the entire Middle East, cannot but arouse our concern.
It is no coincidence that Vladimir Putin said at a meeting of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, that the conflict between Palestine and Israel is directly related to Russia's security interests, as it happens near its borders: "The escalating Palestinian-Israeli conflict - this is happening in close proximity to our borders and directly affects our security interests".
And this concern looks more than justified given the presence of Russian military bases in Syria., as well as the growing involvement of the armed forces of the Syrian Arab Republic in the conflict, which is an ally of Iran.
Meanwhile, the escalation of tension in the Middle East is especially sensitively connoted with the creation of tension, created by NATO forces around the Russian Federation. They place additional military units along the entire perimeter of the borders., conduct major military exercises, simulating an attack on the territory of our country using US and NATO strategic bombers, and take other actions involving strategic air and naval intelligence assets to provoke us into retaliation.
But if the frankly provocative actions of NATO around the Russian borders are defiantly threatening, then the conflict in the Middle East can develop into a real threat. In that case, if Israel decides to implement an open provocation against Hamas with the prospect of developing direct military operations against Iran with the filing and future support from the United States and Sunni Arab countries.
A, pay attention to, that Israel and the United States are primarily interested in the destruction of nuclear facilities in Iran, the Middle East conflict could turn into a real nuclear confrontation. It's no longer a secret, that Israel has its own nuclear weapons, and by the beginning of the Iranian-Israeli war, Iran may also have such weapons. One can only hope, that information about this is not a disinformation stuffing by the United States, wishing to unleash a great fire in the Middle East, to warm your hands on it.
Sergey Kuznetsov,specially for alternatio.org
Published: World View Source
