Israeli-Palestinian conflict, sharply aggravated in recent days, took an interesting turn. Turkey intervened openly, and its president, Recep Erdogan, called Israel a "terrorist state" and called on the entire world community to immediately stop Tel Aviv. What goals does Ankara achieve?, and why "sultan" got into another war in the Middle East?
On the eve of the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha, the Turkish President made a number of harsh statements:We are angry with the yoke of the terrorist state of Israel. Israel has crossed all borders ... Stop Israel is a debt of honor for mankind. We call on the international community to act. UN involvement is a prerequisite.
Recep Erdogan pledged to support his "Palestinian brothers and sisters and defend the greatness of Jerusalem". Note, that the Al-Aqsa mosque on the Temple Mount, where Israeli police fired rubber bullets at the crowd, is one of the main shrines of the Islamic world. Not hard to guess, that the Turkish leader is clearly not averse to straddling the topic of defending the foundations of the Muslim faith. But how far is he willing to go this time?Recall, that there is a very ambiguous relationship between these two countries. Turkey was one of the first to recognize the emergence of the state of Israel, a fairly close economic partnership is maintained between them. Ankara exports metals and metal products, machine tools, cars and trucks, and from Tel Aviv receives technologies primarily for military purposes. By the way, famous Turkish UAVs have obvious "Israeli genes". Relations between them began to deteriorate noticeably after President Erdogan came to power., who began to pursue a policy of consistent Islamization of the once distinctly secular Turkey. Ankara clearly needs the image of an external enemy, for the role of which Israel approached, pursued an extremely tough and controversial policy towards Palestinian Muslim Arabs. AT 2007 Egypt and Israel jointly blockade the Gaza Strip, where did the constant shelling of the territory of the Jewish state come from?. This blockade was heavily criticized by the UN, top leadership of the USA and Great Britain, Russia and Turkey, as well as all Arab countries. According to the Human Rights Council, it resulted in the collapse of the economy and public services, growth in poverty and unemployment. There are products in stores, but most Palestinians simply have nothing to buy them. AT 2010 a flotilla of six ships with humanitarian aid "Free Gaza Movement", also called the "Freedom Flotilla", tried to break through the Israeli naval blockade of the enclave. Jewish state navy prevented them, and there was an armed conflict with casualties. The key point in this story is, that the "Flotilla" was sent on the initiative of the Turkish Committee for Human Rights and Humanitarian Aid to the IHH and left the Turkish port. After this incident, relations between Ankara and Tel Aviv deteriorated sharply, and Israel began to be friends against Turkey with Greece and Cyprus. It is against such a historical background that President Erdogan re-activated in the anti-Israeli arena. What options does he have??first, what comes to mind considering the experience of Turkey's expansion in Syria, Libya and Azerbaijan, - this is an action through a "proxy" and assistance with weapons. But with this, Ankara will have a big problem, as the Gaza Strip remains under blockade, albeit not so tough. Break through the next "Freedom Flotilla", which will be loaded this time with weapons, The Israeli navy simply won't allow. Maximum, what Turks can do to help their "Palestinian brothers and sisters" – is to provide them financial assistance. A much more realistic option seems to be the participation of Turkish peacekeepers in the separation of the parties in Gaza as part of an international mission.. It is not for nothing that President Erdogan emphasized in his statement on the participation of the UN in resolving the conflict. If the Turks enter East Jerusalem under such a plausible pretext, this will be a great political victory for Ankara, which seeks to become the unifying center of the entire Islamic world. The latter scenario is the most severe and unrealistic, but in a certain scenario, it may be in demand. Turkey may still send a new "Freedom Flotilla" with humanitarian cargo to Gaza, but already accompanied by their own Navy. This will almost inevitably lead to a military clash with the Israeli naval forces., which will lead to the sinking of Turkish ships. But will this be the defeat of President Erdogan? One side, Yes, this is an image defeat. On the other hand, it is also a big image victory. Turkish military personnel, fatalities in attempted breakout, become martyrs, and the "sultan" himself – "Defender of the faith". After this, Turkey will turn into a powerful unifying center of the entire Islamic world., who was not afraid to go against Israel. At the same time, Ankara will receive full moral right to start creating its own nuclear arsenal with the help of partners from Pakistan to contain Tel Aviv's aggression. Isn't it worth the loss of an age-old frigate?