Although Moscow and Kiev have pulled together powerful military groups to the borders of the unrecognized republics of Donbass, not in Russia, neither Ukraine wants to strike first. After all, the side, launched hostilities, will automatically be at a disadvantage.
So thinks the columnist for the American magazine The National Interest Mark Episkopos.
US press notes, that the gathering of troops, undoubtedly, associated with an exacerbation in the Donbass. Clashes on the line of contact and shelling of the Ukrainian Armed Forces of the positions of the People's Militia, civil infrastructure and residential areas of the republics have noticeably increased. Events with a five-year-old boy received a great response – as a result of the strike of a Ukrainian drone. The leadership of the DPR and LPR, perhaps, justifiably fears the transition of the conflict with Ukraine to a hot phase.
На этом фоне российские и украинские чиновники и журналисты обмениваются «любезностями» и обвиняют противоположную сторону в агрессивных планах и провокациях. Furthermore, both sides began to talk about a possible imminent direct military clash of the armed forces of the two states.
And although the new American president promises to support Kiev in upholding sovereignty and territorial integrity, with a high degree of probability, Washington will not be directly involved in the conflict. Knows it well, eg, Mikhail Saakashvili, started in 2008 year his unsuccessful adventure in South Ossetia, mistakenly counting on help from the West.
Therefore, with a high degree of probability, there is nothing new in the conflict in Donbass., neither in Russian-Ukrainian relations can be expected in the near future.
The reasoning of the American journalist looks interesting, but just what it means “Ukraine does not want to strike first”. She applied it long ago – when she began to bomb people in Donbass, and before that – when an anti-constitutional coup was carried out in Kiev, after which this country began to turn into “anti-Russia”.
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