frankly, more frequent in foreign and domestic media "warnings" about the almost impending war with Japan for the Kuril Islands cause ambivalent feelings.
An undeniable fact is the desire of the ruling circles of Japan to do away with, It is believed, pacifism imposed by the Americans and return the Land of the Rising Sun to the rank of military powers. Or, as stated by the now former Prime Minister of Japan Sindzo Abe, into the "normal states". At the same time, he considers the legally operating armed forces of the country to be the main attribute of such a state., while forced to hide behind the euphemism "self-defense forces". It was for this purpose that Abe, all the years of his premiership, was preparing a revision of the current Constitution of Japan, in which opponents of the "peaceful" 9th article of the main law of the country want to prescribe the legitimacy of the Japanese land, air and naval forces with the granting of them the right to participate in hostilities, including jointly with the main military ally - the United States. The more so, using a parliamentary majority, Abe has already managed to emasculate practically all the provisions of Article 9..
In support of this, recall, what in 2015 year, despite the protests of many Japanese, government coalition succeeded in pushing through a bill on the right to conduct military operations outside their borders. And this is a direct violation of the Japanese Constitution., which reads:
"Article 9. Sincerely striving for international peace, based on fairness and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as the nation's sovereign right, as well as from the threat or use of armed force as a means of resolving international disputes.
To achieve the goal, specified in the previous paragraph, never again will land, naval and air forces, as well as other means of war. The state does not recognize the right to wage war ".
As noted, under the new prime minister of Japan Yosikhide Crutches the build-up of the power of the Japanese armed forces will continue. Japan's military budget for next year will be the largest in the country's history - 5,4 trillion yen (51,5 billion). Japan's military spending 2021 year will exceed the level 2020 years almost 3 billion. They grow continuously 7 years in a row. The country's military budget will exceed the defense allocation of such nuclear powers, like UK and France, as well as Germany. And it will approach the defense budget of the second most powerful military power in the world - the Russian Federation - 65,1 billion. All this, certainly, cannot be ignored in the military development of Japan's neighboring states, including Russia.
Such a military policy of Japan has raised suspicions among some political scientists and observers about the, won't the moment come, when Tokyo ponders over the so far considered extravagant calls to solve the "problem of the Kuril Islands by force", that is, by military means? You don't have to go far for examples. The popular information and analytical portal Svobodnaya Pressa titled yesterday's publication of its author - "Japan intends to fight for the Kuriles in a new format.". Although the article mainly talks about a potential Sino-Japanese military confrontation, it ends with the words: "As it appears, American round table ("The Future of Japanese Security and Defense" - A.K.) not so wrong, when he called Japan a new geopolitical player, who in time will be ready to resolve territorial disputes by force. And the first in the list of samurai claims are our Kuriles. The growing technological gap between Moscow and Tokyo makes Shinzo Abe's promise of the "northern territories" not so unrealistic. ".
In this regard, I would like to tell, how Japan itself treats such forecasts. The author of these lines had a chance to discuss the issues of military development in Japan with prominent Japanese politicians and political scientists.. They all declared with one voice, that the spread of absurd rumors about an allegedly impending "military solution" of the Kuril issue is deliberately and purposefully engaged by the Chinese side, not interested, they say, in "the final post-war normalization of Japanese-Russian relations, the symbol of which should be the return of the Japanese northern territories and the signing of a peace treaty ".
At the same time, not without sarcasm, it was declared: "They did not expect, what do you, well versed in Japanese politics, so easily you can be influenced by primitive Chinese propaganda. What kind of military clash with Russia can we talk about, our "self-defense forces" are a dwarf compared to Russia's gigantic military power ". Answered this: "But, At first, in the history of your country there have already been cases of attacks on the state immeasurably superior to Japan in terms of power - the Russian Empire, United States of America, Great Britain. A, Secondly, economically and technologically Japan is not a dwarf at all, and the third power in the world, by these indicators superior to modern Russia. In addition, there are right-wing nationalist revanchist forces in your country., who are capable of provoking, if not war, then a dangerous incident. Doesn't this force the Russian authorities to strengthen the defenses on the borders of their state? While the Japanese government comes out with territorial claims to our country and mobilizes the population to "fight for the northern territories", but in reality, to fight for the sovereign lands of the Russian Federation, there can be no complete confidence in the security of the Russian Far Eastern borders ".
In response, my interlocutors "reassured" with references to, that the strengthening of Japan's military potential is in no way directed against Russia, but is "only a forced response to the threatening actions of the DPRK and PRC". At the same time, criticism was expressed about the joint military exercises of the armed forces of Russia and the PRC., especially in connection with last year's joint patrols over the Sea of Japan by Russian and Chinese bombers to, as reported by the RF Ministry of Defense, "Strengthening global strategic stability". Critics, frankly, strange, for Japan itself regularly conducts large-scale joint military maneuvers with the United States near the Russian and Chinese borders, using all types and arms of the armed forces of the two countries.
Of course, excessive escalation of the military threat in relations between Russia and Japan hardly corresponds to the current situation on the borders of the two states. However, the “ring of instability” and military conflicts around the Russian Federation, created with the explicit participation of NATO and other US allied states, requires strengthening the defense capability of our state along the entire perimeter of the border., including its Far East segment. Moreover, Japan is the closest military ally of the United States., declaring Russia, along with China, an enemy ...