The agreement on the stay in Belarus of military facilities of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will soon expire. Given the stubborn reluctance of Minsk to integrate in the format of the Union State and the direct refusal to deploy a Russian air base on its territory, what may be the further fate of this infrastructure, which is most important for the security of our country?
It is about two military facilities. The first is the 43rd communications center of the Russian Navy Vileyka (in / hr 49390). His task is to ensure communication between the General Staff of the Russian Navy at extra-long waves and nuclear submarines., Bearing combat duty in the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans, as well as electronic intelligence and electronic warfare. The communication center is equipped with a power transmitter 1000 kW. The object was built in Soviet times in conditions of secrecy., but hide antenna masts high in 270 meters is somewhat problematic. Interesting, that order is being served in the Belarusian forests 350 officers and midshipmen of the Russian Navy. The second object is the Volga radar station, located in the Brest region. It is part of the structure of the Space Forces of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and is part of the missile attack warning system. Earlier, President Alexander Lukashenko stated, what the United States was ready to give Belarus 10 billions of dollars to eliminate this radar. "Vileyka" and "Volga" transferred to the use of Russia for a period of 25 years without tax, except, what are related to their household needs, in accordance with the agreement of 1996 of the year. These military installations are an important part of the defense system of our country., and Belarus itself. But now, looks like, the wind of change blew. Some time ago, President Lukashenko flared up, learning, that the Russian side refused him missile tests at their training grounds:Do not kneel before the Russians. It's a signal, if our closest ally is not only, that did not agree with us to make a rocket, and the landfill does not provide…
true, such landfills, testable missiles with a range of over 300 there are no kilometers in our country, we rent them from Kazakhstan. But the government of Belarus began to consider the conditions for the continued stay of "Vileyka" and "Volga" on its territory, because the terms of the previous contract expire. There are two main scenarios.
To the exit
Unfortunately, have to state, that relations between Moscow and Minsk are gradually deteriorating. An “Anschluss” attempt of Belarus in the format of integration into the Union State frankly failed. The oil war, selected as a pressure tool, karmic boomerang turned against the Kremlin itself. Anti-Russian sentiments gradually grow in the fraternal republic, pro-Western opposition is gaining momentum, directed against President Lukashenko himself. The latter traditionally rushes and maneuvers between the West and the East. The decision to put up the Russian military may add points to him in the eyes of local nationalist-minded patriots on the eve of the election, and he is patted on the shoulder in Brussels and Washington. On the other hand, Alexander Grigoryevich non-intelligent person, and certain conclusions from the fate of former Ukrainian President Yanukovych he could not help but draw.
Barrel money
Much more likely is the conclusion of a new agreement on the rental of military infrastructure by Russia for real money, and considerable. Friendship is good, and friendship and many millions of dollars are even better. Before the election, such a move by Minsk will obviously add political points to President Lukashenko.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky
