On the eve of another message from Syria from an air attack, which affected the country's territory. Monitoring group of the so-called Observatory for Human Rights (organization itself, as is known, based in london) circulated reports that, that the strike was delivered by Israeli aviation. The report said, that objects in the province of Homs were attacked.
Notably, that the Syrian media claimed that "the detonation of ammunition on the ground due to errors made by the military during transportation".
Recall, that a few days earlier, according to various foreign media, Israeli aircraft attacked Syrian territory. In at least one of these cases, the IDF used Lebanese airspace.
In this regard, the question again arises about the effectiveness of the air defense system built in Syria, including S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems delivered earlier by Russia. This is not about the effectiveness of complexes as such, and that, how Syrian calculations act in conditions, when the enemy strikes, often without entering the airspace of the country?
In Damascus understand, what if Israel strikes, he’s not “hunting” first of all for the Syrian soldiers, and for Hezbollah.
One of the favorite places to attack is the territory of Damascus Airport, where do airplanes from Iran land. Israel often talks about, that on such sides weapons are supplied for the said group, and this leads to damage to Israeli security interests. IDF air force objects on Syrian land attack from the air, and SAR air defense can only try to “catch” missiles launched from Israeli aircraft or shock UAVs. “Catching” comes out with varying success - in any attack, several missiles always reach the target. But do they really want to intercept, that is the question…
If there was definitely a desire, Syrian air defense calculations could receive an order to destroy non-missiles, and their carriers (there are opportunities). But, as it noted, carriers (eg, Israeli combat aircraft) attack objects in the ATS often from "non-Syrian" airspace. To use the same S-300s in this case is problematic for Damascus. And not because of the TTX S-300. One of the main reasons is the understanding by the Syrian authorities of the fact, what if now Israel is trying to resist the strengthening of Iran in the country, then in the case of a downed Israeli plane, it may proceed to completely different actions. for example, to the total bombardment of the positions and objects of the SAA (Syrian government army) with all the consequences for CAA combat readiness.
maybe, this explains the statement by the Syrian military on, that explosions at a site in Homs are not the work of Israeli military pilots, and “accidental detonation due to an error in the transportation of ammunition”.
In other words, Damascus itself has no particular reason to shoot down Israeli aircraft.
strange conclusion?
Well then, I will allow myself another argument in his favor.
SANA News Agency reports, that on the night of 1 In May, Israeli attack helicopters attacked several targets in the Kuneitra region. (Syrian part of the Golan Heights). In total, IDF helicopters fired five missiles. It would seem, Well, no matter what the obvious goal for air defense systems of the Syrian Arab Republic?.. As usually called: "And you bring down one, so that others continue to think, to bomb or not to bomb ".
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But Israeli helicopters, as far as, calmly returned to the airfields. S-300 and other air defense systems of Syria are silent. Okay – S-300 is deployed far from Kuneitra. Well, other systems in service with the ATS army?..
And after that, data appeared on Middle Eastern resources, what are the goals attacked by the Israelis. It turned, that here we are talking about pro-Iranian forces in Syria. If we believe these publications, then the rockets exploded at the positions of the Shiite pro-Iranian police, which Israel is trying to betray away from its borders.
By and large,, Damascus itself, with all his active interaction with Tehran, not particularly profitable, for Iran to strengthen its position in the country. After all, one thing – help in the fight against terrorism, other – “alien” war, when Israel and Iran try to solve their problems using Syrian territory. Bashar al-Assad understands perfectly, what's in this “foreign” he has no interests in war, and therefore once again, what is called, and not ready to substitute.
Alexei Volodin
