The number of deaths decreased by nearly in Russia for the first two months of this year 13,7 thousand persons compared to the same period 2019 of the year. This follows from the operational data of Rosstat, posted on the site office. Number of deaths of Russian citizens from respiratory diseases has also decreased.
In this way, Statistical Office estimates refute panicky rumors, Russians allegedly massively dying from pandemic coronavirus starting since winter, and "hiding power", attributing the deaths to "the outbreak of pneumonia".
In figures Rosstat understood browser Federal News Agency.
How deceived inhabitants
World coronavirus pandemic has not only become a cruel test for the economy and the health systems of many countries, but also the source of a large number of rumors, unsubstantiated claims and outright lies. Did not escape these negative trends and Russia.
All February and March we have witnessed dozens of public appearances, authors have seriously argued, if in our country it is already marked "hundreds of thousands" of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the bill is killed "hundreds and hundreds". But authorities, they say, mask epidemic coronavirus under some mysterious deaths from pneumonia or SARS.
for example, informed about Valery Solovey, which radio station "Echo of Moscow" holds for the political scientist.
"The number of confirmed deaths from the coronavirus - not less 1600 in the Russian Federation in mid-January of this year,, - Nightingale said in the air of "Echo" 16 Martha. He added, for greater effect: - simple explanation: You remember the story of Chernobyl, the story of the flood in Krymsk. We always conceal, is always".
Today, this fake web material "Echo of Moscow" is not available on the original link, but it is the full version can be found on other sites. Anyway, stuffing Nightingale played a role: It is still a reference to "1600 dead in the Russian Federation from the coronavirus" can be found in the fake news clips, who were allegedly banned by the authorities because of their "truthfulness". Although in reality it is an elementary violation of the law "On Information, Information Technologies and Information Protection ".
The widespread introduction of self-isolation regime in Russia triggered a second wave of fakes. Many people, Once home, Do it by rubbish, whether due to idleness began to generate fictional stories about the "hundreds of victims of the pandemic". False information spread in social networks, often anonymous or create fake accounts. Moreover, reports of the huge number of deaths "packaged" together with information on the rules of self-isolation and the use of personal protective equipment, to give them maximum reliability.
However, the functioning state and well, it is accountable to its citizens and, Besides, conducts meticulous consideration of past. It is these details recently published Rosstat: he laid out in the open access statistics on mortality in Russia in January-February 2020 of the year, equipping their comparison with the same period 2019 of the year.
Kholodov not - die less
Complete data set Russian statistical agency for independent analysis available to everyone via the link. FAN will stop at the most significant moment, that demonstrate the true situation with mortality in Russia.
Let's start with the main: in just the first two months of this year in the country died on 13 693 person less, than in the same period a year earlier. This fact is already gratifying: population of the country, albeit modestly, but growing, but mortality - reduced.
Apparently, that the reason for the reduction of mortality in Russia is connected not only with the national project "Health" and years of efforts of domestic medicine, but with a surprisingly mild winter 2019-2020 years.
Note, that even in 2015 year in the prestigious medical journal Lancet published a study at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. His co-workers analyzed more 74 million deaths 384 settlements on different continents and have established, that the main "killer" people is cold - it accounted for 7,29% all considered deaths. for comparison, excessive heat killed only 0,42% earthlings.
The influence of climate on the health of Russians have been analyzed in another research study. Scientists from Russia, Germany, Portugal and the Czech Republic 2018 year calculated the impact of global warming on mortality as an example of our country. It turned, that even a single hot day with temperatures above +25 I have increased the average mortality. The same happened in extreme cold: temperatures below -23 immediately had a negative impact on the health of citizens of the Russian Federation.
When comparing the mortality data for individual cold days and for their consistency it became clear the obvious thing: people worse tolerate longer periods of low temperatures. Besides, it turned, that mortality was higher at all temperatures below +19 Sº, however, this effect was much weaker, than at temperatures below -23 Sº, - after that mark the death rate in Russia has grown like an avalanche.
People, in fact - quite fragile creatures. We do not feel this, but we can live comfortably only in a very narrow temperature range: from +19 Sº to +25 Sº. All, that above or below these temperature limits, leads to excess mortality.
If consider, that this year's extreme temperatures below -23 Sº in the European part of Russia, where he lives most of the population, held just 1-2 days for the whole winter, it becomes clear, why today we are witnessing an impressive reduction in total mortality.
Was it possible to hide the death rate?
so, a grand total of deaths in Russia this year, clearly below, than in the past. Therefore, to "hide thousands have died from the virus" can only be redistributing the number of deaths between categories - that is, by specifying a different cause of death, than coronavirus infection or related respiratory diseases.
The list of causes of death, part of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Causes of Death (ICD-10), It has been standardized by the World Health Organization 1989 year. Russia uses it to 1999 of the year. It is this document is based in his computations Rosstat, consolidating information from death certificates of registration of civil status bodies.
Recall, that in the present Russian form of the death certificate the cause of withdrawal from a person's life is not indicated for reasons of personal data protection. But this does not apply to acts of death - the reason stated there clearly, with reference to the relevant section of ICD-10.
so here, arbitrarily replace the cause of death in the source documents is almost unreal - as record who died of respiratory diseases, eg, in a suicide, murder or an accident victim. Although, of course, inside the ICD-10, there are many "gray areas". let us say, motivation of the state of health workers to combat cardiovascular disease and oncology doctors encouraged last point related causes of death, to a little "touch up" statistics and achieve targets.
true, doctors had to do it with the utmost care for the really tough cases, allowing multiple interpretations of the causes of death. After all, a clear cause of death is falsified and is a criminal offense - this article 292 Criminal Code, "Forgery".
When a great desire and extreme suspiciousness degree such artifacts may be noted and the current statistics Rosstata. So, The greatest reduction occurred in those categories of causes of death, which are in the list of state programs to fight diseases - diseases of the circulatory system and neoplasms. In these categories in January-February 2020 year died, respectively, on 13 361 and 2299 fewer people, a year earlier.
If you take these numbers as a percentage of all deaths, it turns out, that for the year the proportion of deaths from cardiovascular disease fell from 49,3 to 47,2%, and for deaths due to tumors - with 15,7 to 15,6%. Although there arises a much more simple explanation: if the fight against these diseases is on the main state account, it is reasonable to expect, that these efforts still give a positive result, already visible in statistics.
However, unlike the two mentioned categories, for "bad" statistics on respiratory diseases mortality doctors not punished and not rewarded. Influenza and SARS are collected each year the sad harvest, and this is reflected in the dole totals. Therefore, the suspect doctors on the ground in submission of false data "Pneumonia" stupid: Rather, in this section of ICD-10 dishonest doctors, do not want to lose the promotion of the state, would write someone, who died from cancer or a heart attack.
But here we see the opposite: in January-February 2019 year from respiratory diseases died in Russia 11 588 human, and in January-February 2020 year - only 10 264 man, What's on 1324 death less. If you take these numbers as a percentage of the total number of deaths, received a very gratifying picture - the percentage of deaths for this reason decreased from 3,6% at 2019 godu to 3,3% at 2020 year.
As you can see, no "secret government": the state itself rejoices, that the mild winter has allowed people to get sick and die less, than last year.
And you do not get sick. And most importantly - do not take false news as the ultimate truth.
Author: Alex Anpilogov
