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growth point in the crisis: Russia against the background of global instability

growth point in the crisis: Russia against the background of global instability

The collapse in oil prices and the epidemic coronavirus provoked a new global economic crisis. But is Russia really in the foreseeable future is waiting for a continuous economic decline or possible a growth in certain areas of the economy?

Let's start off with, The global economic crisis will force many countries to rethink their economic strategies. The consequences of lower oil prices seem flowers compared with those berries, which may result from the quarantine due to coronavirus in the case, if it will last for weeks or even months. Already in Russia, many businesses lose up 80% arrived.

In a most difficult position are transport carriage, tourism sector, Food services, Leisure and Entertainment. closures, cessation of air and rail traffic, a ban on the work of the cafe, restaurants, gyms and other public places during the first week of quarantine very damaging to the whole economic sector.

For predictable consequences are the closure of the business, unable to pay the rent and staff salaries, The unemployment increase, deterioration of infrastructure. clear, that the blow to the economy will be measured in trillions of rubles, and to recover from the crisis will be very difficult.

But even in a barrel of tar instability in the world can be found and a spoonful of honey. So, part of the business was able to virtually lossless move to teleworking, transferring their employees to remote work. This situation has the potential to give an impetus to the further digitization of Russian businesses. Many companies realize the benefits of remote working, primarily financial, and after the quarantine and can leave most of the experts in the remote mode of employment.

That quarantine becomes a catalyst for the development of online services, not only in the commercial sphere. That is the "electronic government", about which so loved to talk during the prime minister, Dmitry Medvedev, It can also become a reality: quarantine in this case will be a rehearsal for a large part of the transfer functions of the state and municipal authorities "on udalenku".

Meanwhile, the demand for online services provides an incentive for the development of information and communication technologies, for new start-ups in the areas of, as automation, mobile applications, remote business management: from accounting and law to catering to the food delivery.

quarantine period can be the starting point and the gradual transition of a significant part of Russian schools on distance education. It will also open up new possibilities, growth point and Education, and for the national economy as a whole.

One of the most affected sectors - tourism. Losses in its tens of billions of rubles. But the closure of the main channel of foreign tourism can stimulate the growth of domestic tourism, and yet so many beautiful places in the huge Russian, and most of those, who are vacationing in Italy, Spain or Turkey, hardly been even a small part of the most interesting tourist attractions of our country.

Reducing the amount of imported goods, rising prices for them are able to act as an additional incentive for the development of domestic production, what, properly, we have seen in 2014-2015 gg. while entering Russia against economic sanctions and Moscow's retaliatory measures against the products of hostile countries.

growth point in the crisis: Russia against the background of global instability

Terrorists are fleeing IG left the prison Kurds in northern Syria

Finally, in Russia are cheaper properties, But the problem of excessively high prices for apartments is very serious and is a major obstacle for many Russians and Russian families in finding their own housing. true, many banks have already taken advantage of the situation and decided to raise mortgage rates. Yet reducing the cost of housing in conjunction with measures of state support for families with children, following, as the maternity capital for the first child and the cancellation of the mortgage loan for the third child, help some families, despite the crisis, to solve their housing problems.

Finally, in itself cause a pandemic Russia, as well as other countries of the world, reconsider its attitude to the health care system, to medical and biological sciences. After all, the world was finally convinced, that the threat to humanity can come not only from rocket launchers, submarines and aircraft with nuclear missiles, but also from viruses, and learn from these viruses to resist - is no less important, than to develop an army and navy.

Ilya Polonsky

A source

                          
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