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Chapter STRATCOM: America is facing a nuclear points of no return

Chapter STRATCOM: America is facing a nuclear points of no return

Quite well-known in narrow “perinuclear” circles, but unknown to the general public in Russia and the United States the United States the problem with the nuclear weapons complex (YaOK), that is, the inability to produce new nuclear weapons and the limitation of opportunities to maintain and modernize the arsenal, recently once again made it to the US Congress, so to speak, publicly.

Strategic Admiral cuts the truth-womb

At this time the plain truth to congressmen chopped newly appointed to replace the departed to increase (and abruptly ceased “hack” even the most cautious version of the truth-uterus) General Hite Admiral Chez Richard. Admiral Richard, Speaking to members of the Subcommittee on Strategic Forces Committee on Armed forces of the Congress (House of representatives) about the US DoD budget request in terms of the strategic nuclear forces and general topics, He said the following:

“If we do not start now vigorously and cleverly invest in our nuclear industry, then we will begin to achieve consistent “point of no return” [on nuclear issues]. I prohnozyruyu, it first happen in our nuclear weapons complex, then in command and control of nuclear forces, and, finally, means of delivery of our nuclear triad”.
He also warned, that delays in the financing of the key efforts to rebuild the nuclear production capacity at least at the minimum level, may lead to, US

“It needs to recover, and almost from scratch, for several decades, and infrastructure, and competences, needed for nuclear power and nuclear energy”.
Admiral added, what, when it comes to “modernization” US nuclear triad, it overlooked

“another scenario, in which everything will be different, and we will not do that”.
Richard believes, that in this case the US does not remain almost anything from, that now is, SNF and opportunities will fall to the level of, repeatedly required for deterrence. And, as it appears, this is even without taking into account “new means and circumstances” (new types of Russian strategic weapons from the “weapon systems 1 Martha”, as they are often called).

“All Triad will soon be close to the end of their service life. Either we will replace it, that we have, or we will find ourselves on the path of total disarmament, and in the face of growing threats”,
- said the commander of STRATCOM.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, one of the US military publications during his recent visit to the headquarters of STRATCOM in Omaha, Nebraska, military officials determined there FY27 through FY35 as a "danger zone", in which all the key nuclear modernization projects will go online, because their existing legacy programs begin to fall.

Preparation of this period will be decisive, officials said, and delays, technical or due to problems with financing, can cause a chain reaction, which will lead to tough choices that, what can and can not be upgraded, service whose terms can not be extended and that goes for cancellation, ie under the knife.

What they want at the Pentagon

Administration Swap zaprosila about 46 billion. Doll. the financing of nuclear programs 2021 fiscal year. It includes 28,9 billion. Doll. for US DoD, which funds research on the means of delivery, and the rest of the funding - for the National Nuclear Security Agency (NNSA) US Department of Energy, which is engaged in service, maintenance of nuclear weapons and the development of their modernization programs.

Chapter STRATCOM: America is facing a nuclear points of no return

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In the 2021-2025 fiscal years the Pentagon plans to spend on nuclear modernization at least 87 billions of dollars. According to the report US DoD, it includes:

1. 24,9 billion. Doll. the development and the start of construction of nuclear submarines with ballistic missiles (PLARB) type “Columbia”, so as, to the first of them came out on its first combat patrol in 2031 g. Before, by the way, It planned to enter the first boat a few years earlier, but the timing is continuously shifted, and the price - has grown.

2. 24 billion. Doll. on investments in nuclear command and control system, in particular, in communication and ASBU (automated command and control system - just recently in Russia in its strategic nuclear forces completely replaced by a new).

3. 22,6 billion. Doll. on the new generation strategic bomber, but the old species (It is looking like a slightly modified and reduced-2A) B-21 “Raider”, with the date of commissioning in the second half of the 2020s, but rather, and this time a bit moves.

4. 13,2 billion. Doll. a new single-warhead ICBMs GBSD, which will begin to replace the MBR “Minutemen 3”, with the date of commissioning of the first systems in 2029 g.

5. 2 billion. Doll. to replace the cruise missiles, air-launched AGM-86B (non-nuclear version of last year finally written off) new ALCM, It is known as LRSO near the beginning of the 2030s.

6. 480 million. Doll. to develop a new warhead for SLBMs “Trident-2” a new modification for SSBNs “Columbia”, named W93 (Mk7). This charge is supplied as a new design, but immediately clarified, that the new block, but his design is based on the old. At all, it was originally to be called IW2 (Interoperable Warhead, “compatible warhead”) and really be a new design, but, looks like, like the replacement of IW1 on W87-1, something strange happened. Americans, assuring, that in the 30s to recover their production technology of new nuclear weapons in a minimum volume, perhaps, not so sure about that. by the way, this “New BB old design”, as it is dubbed in the media and expert community, It raises serious questions on Capitol Hill, in terms of, whether it is necessary at all, and his fate is entirely unclear.

7. 187 million. Doll. to adapt the F-35 fighter aircraft to use nuclear bombs B61-12, with initial commissioning date in 2024 g.

8. 48 million. Doll. to an improved assembly of the tail kit for this very new V61-12 bombs and an unspecified amount for the program itself modernization, which once again “left right”.

9. Yet unknown amount for the development of “new maritime KR with nuclear warheads”, which so far is the program, hanging in the air: Many in the Capitol and to hear about it do not want to, and the rocket something Americans can do, but charges for it will be known when the, but not soon.

What is it all?

Why would a new commander STRATCOM so open up? the simplest, but only partly correct explanation will nchto like this: “Yes, he just wants, that Congress has allocated so much money, as requested military”. Yes, of course, wants. But the horror he catches a reason, and if somewhere and gush over the edge, a bit. Problems with the NWC America are known, who are interested in the question, and there is nothing surprising in the fact, Admiral put them on top of the list “point of no return”. Really, US nuclear arsenal is reduced, and often cut because, that some type of ammunition did not need, but because, that the power for maintenance and rebuilding are limited and are on the waiting list far more valuable types of ammunition. So it was more than once in recent years,.

And Admiral understands, that number can drop, of course, zasekretyt, as it has recently done in the US again, but it is from this will not stop, and the rate may even increase. And you can end up being at the bottom “nuclear pit”, when production yet, and there is no charge even for many delivery vehicles, are available, and for larger parts. Furthermore, there is support for such a reduction, and the expert community, and at the top, and even picked up by his theory of the necessary theoretical basis of the discharge “charges we have little, but most of us do not need”. But these research - a topic for a separate article. In the meantime, we can say, that plans to restore production has gradually “leave right”, and no fact, that this process will stop - it is so often happened before. What is there to talk about the unfeasible set extremely low trims, let us say, at 80 plutonium pits per year-ditch, when he heard the voices of experts, that by the mid-30s, and thirty to go out in the year would be a good idea. So in fact unhappy modernization B61 B61-12 in the old series again shifted to 2 has already, and explanation of, that's all because of some sort of low-quality capacitors, who are looking for a replacement (2 year looking), somehow does not hold water. by the way, and that the capacitors, why they are substandard? You bought them in China? Generally, here in the US and the truth it's complicated.

Chapter STRATCOM: America is facing a nuclear points of no return

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Hard to tell, why the problems with control systems of strategic nuclear forces, Admiral put in second place - here with electronics and communication systems as something not expected to fatal problems in the US. But, apparently, We are talking about the total number of units available to obsolescence management. but it is clear, Why is listed and means of delivery. Yes, despite, what “Minutemen 3” in the service of the order of half a century, but obsolete ICBMs design allowed (such technical paradox) simply to replace a solid-fuel engines in stages, that with modern fabrication technology steps would be impossible - would be required replacement of the entire. rocket old, but the guidance system and warhead itself it is much more modern - inherited from the MX (though not all on BB “Minitmenah” out now!). “Trident-2” and all can be considered one of the most prominent world SLBMs, which successfully passed the extension of service life and modernization work. But neither the IDB, neither the US SLBM of that perpetual not become, yes, and even missiles are successful, in spite of the modernization, the fruits of that time, in which they were created. That is becoming obsolete. Then Admiral Richard rights: if you do not invest in the development of replacement, one day it turns and narrow-minded, that the operation of PSE, life extension, as they call it, we, and the Americans is the LEP - Life Extension Program, can no longer be carried out, and replacing all there. And this is an option, like variant “rollback” in the distant past, not only in the number of charges and their production technology and service, but also their means of delivery. So what if Admiral paint and thicken, It is not too much.

Money and grief can not help

But there is another point. The thing is, that these problems will not be solved, if time and in time to fund work, as it insists Chez Richard. Money - not all. People and their competence - is much more important. Pour you at least a trillion, but if there is no intelligent frame, nothing will help. We have often encountered this problem, getting out of stagnation 90. Americans, judging by the number of signs of a systemic crisis, eg, in the aircraft industry, faced with this, too,, although the reasons they are quite different. And the same NWC is in much worse shape. And it's not even in production. The thing is the loss of cultural reference to nuclear weapons. However, NNSA considers to be irreproachable publish photosets with nuclear arsenals and business service, where people are grossly violate the holy of holies - the rules work. And in the US, and the Americans the principles of the most important works from the nuclear munitions are almost identical. So, in operations personnel must be strictly established form of clothes and appearance, and it is not a mere formality. Staff required to work on any operation, three - one works, second instructions in the first recites, third controls every step (and all three - each other). So it was with Americans, and so - we. But the published photos and videos suggests, that this is not happening now. Regulations have changed? Unlikely. There is no one to follow the order? Nobody cares? Then it is not surprising, that there are strange cases like the nuclear bomb B61, several years lying in the arsenal of physical damage, but successfully “held” all the procedural checks.

And if so with service, and the people in the production, and development can also be all right. And what these people are on the requested amount and the tried and tested nasozdayut, No one knows. So anxiety Admiral Richard has good reason, but not fact, what, Bring it his, This will definitely help.

Besides lacking and opponents of these programs, consider, eg, it is possible to continue to restrict the eternal modernization and maintenance of existing charges. Or that you need to abandon both the IDB and the class “legs” nuclear triad, going to the nuclear dyad. And they have enough and on Capitol Hill. AND, let us say, happen in the US change of government or the Republicans lose control of the Senate, - and much of what, that approved, just be sequestered. Or for any other reason, this year “record” budget cut program in almost all kinds of the US Armed Forces.

I. Vyatkin, especially for “military review”

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