Extremely absurd and inappropriate to common sense and the concept of building a modern network-centric air defense A2 / AD areas currently covered by folds on the Syrian-Turkish conflict idlibskom theater. In particular, despite the daily appearing in the Russian and Syrian media space loud statements of high-ranking representatives of the CAA Command to establish a no-fly zone over all parts of the "Big Idlib», links shock reconnaissance UAVs «Anka-S» continued unhindered patrol over the active sites idlibskogo theater over the past three days, causing decapitation strikes with precision guided munitions MAM-L on the firing positions of artillery and fortified area of the Syrian army, as well as carrying out targeting 155-mm self-propelled guns T-155 «Firtina» dispersed positions on the Syrian air defense systems and ACS on the strategic operating directions.
It was only on Sunday, 1 Martha, in the first half of the day, martial calculations of anti-aircraft missile and artillery complexes "Carapace-C1" Syrian air defense forces has finally given the chance to even the score with the Turkish Air Force due to the successful interception of more than 6 this type drone, what informed military correspondent Yevgeny Poddubny, citing competent sources in the command of the Syrian Arab Army. Unfortunately, by this time the UAV «Anka-S» has managed to contribute to the relief of developing offensive operations advanced units of the 4th Mechanized Division CAA in the vicinity of the valley of Al-Gab (on the southwest operating direction), providing the backbone of the ground attack Islamist group "Tahrir al-Sham" the possibility of a successful counter-offensive roll with the return of a number of strategic hills and settlements in the far southern outskirts of the city of Al-Barah and strategic M4 motorway.
By the morning 2 March units of the 25th Division special forces CAA (before "Tiger Force") once again managed to seize the initiative in the formation of "Hayat Tahrir al-Sham" and the Turkish Armed Forces on the MTR sarakibskom direction thanks to a surprise night assault hastily erected fortified settlements in Wadi Mekare and Wadi Haj Khalil. According to local military correspondents, as well-informed sources in the 25th Spetsnaz Division, Pro-government forces were able within a few hours drive the insurgents and regular units of the Turkish army to Avtomagistralnaya junction Idlib - Sarakib - M4, which allowed to regain control over the previously lost Sarakibom, and to block the Turkish observational points around the city. The main tool in the successful promotion of the CAA in this direction was the resumption of the operation of powerful precision strikes multipurpose fighter-bombers Su-34 Russian videoconferencing infrastructure for fortification "Hayat Tahrir al-Sham" in Sarakibe, as well as a partial "baring" of the first and second lines of defense of militants in connection with the relocation of substantial forces "Tahrir al-Sham" in the Southern Front "Big Idlib» (on the southern approaches to the Valley of Al-Gab).
The complexity of the formation of anti-aircraft "zontka" of Idlib due to the geographical features of the theater and the absence of a part of the Syrian air defense forces of modern tactical aircraft, and anti-missile systems with active radar guidance system
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meanwhile, starting from the information service video with attachments from the center Sarakiba, published 2 March 15:00 on his "Twitter" -stranichke and tactical online map syria.liveuamap.com military commentator «@RestitutorOrien», it is easy to conclude that, that shock tactical aircraft reconnaissance Turkish Air Force, despite the announced Damascus establishing a no-fly zone over Idlib, still it has a "loophole" access to airspace of Syria, and in broad daylight, it continues to carry out air raids on the area tightens Sarakiba on motorway M5 Syrian army units, as well as the newly erected strongholds government forces directly in the center of Sarakiba.
In light of the above circumstances, there is quite an adequate question: What caused such a sporadic successful combat operation of Syrian anti-aircraft missile for UAVs and precision weapons of the Air Forces of Turkey?
After all, we are all well aware of the 68% efficiency of the network-centric air defense systems to Syria, demonstrated in the course of reflection massive missile attack United Air Coalition 14 April 2018 of the year, When integrated into a single air atmosphere of tactical data communication network Syrian complexes "Carapace-C1", "Osa-AKM", "Buk-M2E", S-125 "Pechora-2M" were able to intercept 71 of 105 inconspicuous strategic and tactical cruise missiles U / RGM-109E «Tomahawk Block IV», AGM-158B JASSM-ER, «Storm Shadow» и «Scalp Naval/-EG», running American, British and French tactical fighter, submarines and surface ships for the military infrastructure of the CAA.
The answer to the above question lies in the geographical and tactical features idlibskogo theater of operations, as well as the technical features of the guidance systems of the most advanced air defense of the Syrian army. In particular, forming at aerospace over Idlib "dense" anti-restricted zone and prohibition of access and maneuver A2 / AD (until the Turkish airspace over silt Hatay) It can be realized only by operating the multi-air defense systems of medium-range "Buk-M2E" and long-range C-300PMU-2 "Favorite", has a range of purposes intercepted 50 and 200 km respectively. Application data SAM surface-to-air missile 9M317 and 48N6E2 with semi-active radar seeker (requiring constant additional illumination from radadarov guidance 9S36 and 30N6E2) It eliminates the possibility of firing at low-altitude targets hiding "for radio horizon screen", which is 27-30 km for "Buka-M2".
As a result, for a reliable cover low-altitude and medium-altitude areas of the airspace over "Idlibskim gadyushnik" Syrian "Favorites" and "Buki" should be deployed on the near approaches (about 5-7 km) to the line of contact (for example, in Marat al-Numan or near the M5 motorway). Such places are fraught dislocation for "trohsotok" and "Bukov" hit by massive blow Turkish ACS T-155 «Firtina» MRL and T-122 «Sakarya». In the case of fire by means of the aforementioned receiver and rocket launchers together with the possible involvement of tens of anti-radar missiles AGM-88 HARM, launched by the Turkish F-16C Block 52+, a couple battalions of S-300PMU-2 and a similar number of "beech-M2" is very little chance for the preservation of combat stability.
Even in the case, if most of the dress antiradiation AGM-88 HARM be intercepted SAMs 48N6E2 of S-2-300PMU and 9M317 complexes "Buk-M2" due to impressive Duct radar target illumination 30N6E2 and 9S36 (24 channel at 4 antiaircraft divisions respectively) large and distinct distribution objectives through the mutual exchange of information by ACS "Polyana-D4M1", the destruction of a swarm approaching 155-mm artillery shells will be virtually impossible task even for the cover up long-range "trohsotki" anti-aircraft missile and gun complexes "Carapace-C1". With the effective reflective surface (EOP) order 0,01 quarter. m and ultrashort optical signature, 155-mm guided and unguided artillery shells if they will be captured "pantsirevskimi" radar guidance "helmet" and optoelectronic complexes 10ES1-1E at a distance of 3-5 km, their subsequent interception will be a big question, because the principle of radio command guidance missiles 57E6E virtually eliminates the possibility of destruction of enemy air targets by kinetic defeat («hit-to-kill»).
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Consequently, formation of a powerful anti / air defense umbrella over the "Big Idlib» (so-called de-escalation zone Idlibskoy) It can be achieved in two ways. At first, by applying the SAM "Buk-M3 'and C-350" Knight "active radar guided by, capable (without the threat of falling into the reach of the Turkish artillery fire) capture distant-horizon means of air attack of target designation from the AWACS aircraft A-50 / U and other means of radar / electronic intelligence. Secondly, due to the intensification of patrolling the airspace over Idlib multifunctional fighters Su-30cm and Su-35S, able to minimize the probability of penetration in the no-fly zone shock Turkish reconnaissance drone. The first embodiment can be eliminated immediately, because the individual divisions "Buk-M3" and C-350 "Vityaz" only began arriving in the combat units videoconferencing and army air defense, and therefore to talk about sending them in an active theater of war is not necessary.
As for the beginning of the air operation to expel Turkish drones from Syrian airspace forces multipurpose fighters Su-30cm and Su-35s air and space forces of Russia, announcing that it is a matter of the near time, because after the introduction of units liberated Sarakib maximum sharpness of the Russian military police takes on the issue of reliable air cover our contingent from the blows of the Turkish drones.
Eugene Damantsev
