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I Samodostatochen “Cheburnet”?

Самодостаточен ли "Чебурнет"?

Axes of progress?

As is known, 1 Russia in November was supposed to be a "country without the Internet". Anyway, exactly treated the entry into force of the "law of the sovereign Runet" all sorts of human rights defenders and guardians of our civil liberties with you. They even came up with for "sovereign" Runet insulting nickname - Cheburnet, claiming, it is in this here "cheburnete" we will now vegetate. Meanwhile, progressive country by leaps and bounds will continue to go into fine so far, not knowing any restrictions and prohibitions ...

It's been almost a month, and we can state: rumors "Cheburnete" were greatly exaggerated, for the average user looks nothing has changed, almost all sites and services, except included in the list of blocked, available from almost any point of the Russian Federation. To stifle freedom is not very similar, but in light of the events, now taking place in Iran and Hong Kong, the question of, Can we completely disable the Internet, again becomes relevant.

At all, such an experience in the world is. The first complete Internet blackout happened in Nepal in far 2005 , during the Civil War. There came pretty wild, but extremely effective: just have chopped fiber optic cables, leading to the country. Rather harshly received, and the current Iranian government, limiting traffic in a more civilized, but no less effective methods. As a result, he fell to 5-7%, with the remaining interest is mainly in the public and academic institutions. There is little doubt that, that in extreme cases can disable access to the full network.

However, it should be borne in mind, that in this case we are talking about access denied as such, that not only provides some tactical advantages for the government, but also big strategic disadvantages for the country as a whole. A more rational way for many years, is China, created at the internal "LAN" of gigantic proportions. With this approach, and security issues are more or less satisfactory, and the economy is functioning normally.

At all, it is essential first to answer the question: why do we need some restrictions? What's so attractive for power? Is free access to the World Wide Web can be a big problem for the Kremlin or conditional Ayatollah?

Logistics, tactics and strategies!

properly, threats can be divided into two types: strategic and tactical. First - this is a long-term (and everyday) influence of certain forces in the domestic mood in the country. For most countries,, more or less built into the Western project, such a threat does not exist: hardly anyone would make a serious effort to destabilize the situation in Italy, eg. But for those, one way or another opposed to the current "owners of the network", the threat is tangible. Probably, there is no special need to give examples of attempts to influence ourselves, by using different social networks, Russian-language information resources, search engines, forums and so on.

This threat is almost permanent in nature and, ideally, "treated" only the appearance of the more popular national appropriate focus resources. true, and it may operate a variety of "foreign agents" and other interest groups, but law enforcement officials in this case can at least be kept informed about the most radical and destructive figures and take them to the appropriate measures.

But this, Alas, "perfect option, and the ideal elusive. Basically, boast anything like the development of national segment of the network can be except that China and Russia. Iran, despite all attempts, no domestic competition could not create foreign resources, a total ban on social networks like «Facebook» has only made, that almost all of the free Internet in Iran focused messenger «Telegram». Russia is in a kind of "average" position: despite the relative maturity of the national segment, the impact of foreign funds and companies is still very high, and such control, in China, our authorities can only dream.

Самодостаточен ли "Чебурнет"?

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However, the most relevant was the last time it was in tactical threat. Alas, the experience of many "colored revolutions" shows, that free access to the network is often used by protesters to coordinate their actions, including illegal, such as riots, robbery, attacks on police stations and so on. In some cases, when the protests should a force, coordination may be more malicious, antigosudarstvennыy character.

Usually, through groups in social networks, messengers are collected supporters of one or another party, or, more widely, collection of opponents of the current government. Further, what is called, in online mode, Groups can receive guidance on their future movements, purposes, instructions on how to counter the law enforcement officers, calls for political leaders to protest and so on. clear, that experienced puppeteers can use and herd instinct of the crowd, and excitement of youth, and a sense of impunity, occurs in a huge crowd. And if a few dozen seemingly small groups suddenly coalesce into a huge sea of ​​people, warmed passion minor clashes with police, small attacks on government officials, bodies of state administration, then predict the future behavior of the "sea" is quite difficult. However, the experience of the last decade, we know, what in the end everything is usually reduced ...

However, there is another experience - the experience of counteraction. As experience has shown, it is a blow to the communications center brings the most success in the fight against all sorts of "color revolutions". So it was during the first performances in Hong Kong, when Chinese police simply deadened connection in places where protesters. It happened in Iran, where a sharp decline in network bandwidth has led to disorganization and extinction of protest. Although, of course, Arrests of activists also have paid off ...

As is known, military science is based on three pillars: tactics, Strategy and Logistics. they go to the extent of increasing importance. Yes, Imagine: you can plan a brilliant offensive, but if to top it will not be possible to transfer enough troops on the right section of the front, if your coming in large tanks bogged down in the mud, and the soldiers are barely alive from starvation, offensive simply drown. I'm not talking about cases, when your opponent is overseas: you can at least ten times to beat him in the quantity and quality of ground troops, but threaten its territory, without the possibility to establish supply chains across the ocean, you can not, in principle,.

so here, in this case a blow to the global network at least at some of its local area is a major blow to the logistics of enemy. He can not bring his "soldiers" the most important thing in the current situation - instructions and motivational materials. And because of this collapse and brilliantly lined up strategic plans, and well-established, thought-out tactical decisions.

So you can not even doubt: if you really squeeze, the power will go on certain measures to limit access to global network. And the laws, recently taken, designed to do so, to make it workable even in the case of some very difficult decisions. That is the worst, that we are facing in this case,, - All-Russian "lokalku".

But is it really so bad? Let's try to understand, and in this ...

"By Yandex" to "Google". And on "YouTube" than?

With all due respect to my readers I ninety percent sure, most of them are easily bypassed "Cheburnetom" and now. Yes, someone prefers «Google» «Yandex» (Perfectly uncritically), someone found on the «Facebook» platform for self-expression, but basically we all (and I am no exception) sitting in our home "Cheburnete". We have our own search engine (and very good, admittedly), Popular social networks, gaming platforms, Internet commerce of every persuasion and scale, there are thousands, tens of thousands of large thematic sites very different direction. Strictly speaking, this is the "Cheburnet" can be called not only self-sufficient, but fully developed, meet the basic needs of our users.

Confess, I can not even say offhand, with what we have big problems. Though…

Yes, We obviously do not have such a video sharing, as YouTube. Furthermore, taking into account the investment required to create something like that will not be so easy. Especially if we want to make it fast.

Самодостаточен ли "Чебурнет"?

Syrian Air Force can stop Kurdish rebels steal oil, attacking smuggling paths

No national analogue of "Wikipedia". To it can be treated as anything, but we must admit: drop to millions of users, and for many it is helpful. We, of course, enough online dictionaries, encyclopedias, directories, but they rarely talk about the events, events, generally limited to dictionary definitions or brief information.

There is nothing, that could replace Twitch.tv It, if someone does not know, strimingovaya gaming platform, It is very popular among young people. The older generation is hardly believe it, but hundreds of thousands of young Russians Twitch TV is now replaced. And they can understand ...

Probably, it should be noted and the largest gaming "hub» - «Steam». With all due respect to the Mail.ru or other Russian localizers games anything like it yet Russian users can not offer.

Probably, There are other services, having among Russian users of mass popularity, replace that whipped up is unlikely to succeed. But we do not pursue the goal to list them all, rather, we simply denote a problem. And even of the above can be seen, what the problem is.

Even a cursory glance at the above list is enough, to understand, that a complete shutdown of the Runet global network and its transition to the "autonomous navigation" will hit youth. Namely, it is the "cannon fodder" various "color revolutions". And then the result may be counterproductive - Bob, which did not give to shoot in your favorite shooter or pofarmit MMO RPG, despite its apolitical, just go to the square, to fight for the freedom of the destruction of monsters in the mode 24/7. Higher matter it is unlikely to excite, but enough and, that then he is touched to the quick, immediately begin to "hold no power over!»

Therefore, the authorities, of course, despite all its possibilities, imaginary and real, It is unlikely to be susceptible to radical solutions. And if radical measures and dare, very very peak in cases. So far, more like, the Kremlin has opted for a more accurate, election tactics, increasing repressive possibilities "in reserve". As a result, we, likely, We did not see a copy of the Chinese model, but there will not be a copy of the Iranian. Prohibitions and blocking, practiced today, nevertheless, to be frank, very far from the Iranian standards, and declared sovereignty is still very far from the Chinese sample.

probably, the biggest threat at the moment is the possible emergence of OneWeb satellite network, which, As expected, be able to provide access to the Internet end-user, bypassing local providers. This approach, certainly, progressive in terms of technology, but from the point of view of national security, he is terrible: then you and the free exchange of information with foreign intelligence services of its agents, and the already mentioned and uncontrolled coordination of all sorts of revolutionaries on the streets of Russian cities.

Confess, It is difficult to say, Russian authorities plan to limit OneWeb in our country. Yes, If additional equipment is required for receiving signal, this is somehow possible to fight. And if the new models of mobile phones that equipment will be installed by default?

But this is, probably, a topic for another study. So far, ascertain: Yes, Russian authorities may, in the event of crisis situations to restrict Internet access to citizens. Furthermore, we already had a precedent, when, during the unrest in Ingushetia mobile telephony there abruptly become "overloaded".

But it is obvious, and it (authorities) reluctance to go to extremes: "Cheburnet" for a month as a "sits" in ambush, but we who, it seems, attack is not going to.

Victor Kuzovkov

A source

                          
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