disillusionment
it seems, saga surrounding the inflation figures of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky sense, independence and peace is coming to its logical conclusion. All this time the Russian side undertook unambiguous attempts to show the new Ukrainian government, what, if she agrees to at least a few steps towards the settlement of the conflict, or at least begin to formally fulfill the Minsk Agreement, Moscow will go to Kiev to meet the economic aspect.
exhort, warned, We are doing the recruiting passes, Republic was folded Donbas against the will of their people in unflattering poses - all in vain. Despite promises Zelensky go for active execution of at least the first points of the Minsk agreements and command the retraction forces, "Steinmeier Formula" and has not been signed, and Ukrainian troops remain on the demarcation line.
Furthermore, attacks increased, and the attack occurred in Lugansk - to blow up the bridge supports on the bypass road. probably, Donbass soon be faced with new diversions and a further aggravation of the front.
Nothing to lose
not important, who is holding the reins of Ukraine: Zelensky, Kolomoisky or a whole team of collaborators. This whole terrarium tied by blood and are simply unable to go on concessions to Russia. De-escalation of violence and the implementation of Minsk - is a death sentence for any Ukrainian politician, for every fraction.
At the same time to achieve concessions from Russia to Kiev is now extremely important. It is necessary to agree on gas - if the contract with "Gazprom" will not be renewed (or will not be awarded a short-term), the consequences would be disastrous. You need to buy coal, you need to buy from the Russian oil ... Ukraine by the Russian Federation should be very much, Only here the desired distance to the Kremlin Ukrainian politicians are not ready.
Because Russia wants Ukraine to only one thing - peace, de-escalation. Ukraine, as it appears, can offer only war.
Coming hard times
obviously, to obtain concessions from Russia, Zelensky (or whoever actually gives orders) will provoke Moscow until, while the Kremlin does not respond, and either do not give too tough for Ukraine, or will not yield. Quite possibly, In the near future we can expect more and more attacks, terrorist attacks and arrests in the occupied part of Donbass. To pay for Russian analysts error, saw in Kolomoisky and his minions negotiability politicians, will again be residents of Donbas. his blood.
In this situation, we want to believe in the common sense of people, supervising the Ukrainian direction. Any concessions to Ukraine will only whet Kiev adventurers, urging them in the efficiency of the chosen methods. APU will be systematically and purposefully to grind Donbass across the demarcation line, for settlement settlement. Until, until you get the desired. Or do not get a strong "otvetku".
Anyway, ahead of Donbass hard times and a lot of blood.
Egor Makhov
