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What's wrong with the punches Huthis of Saudi Arabia - questions and conclusions

the, what happened the other day in Saudi Arabia, best understood through two historical analogies - "the flight of Matthias Rust" and "the burning of the Reichstag".

What's wrong with the Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia — questions and conclusions

Sheikh Isa Air Base - "number 1"

There are many reasons for both versions.. Both versions are simply deadly for Americans., and they can choose that, what they like better - being deaf, blind and stupid suckers ... or infinitely cynical provocateurs.

so, look at the map, which marks the location of air bases in Saudi Arabia, like the arabic, and US-British.

What's wrong with the Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia — questions and conclusions

First of all, we are interested in red circles with numbers. 1,2,7,8, and also blue - 1 and 2. Reds are Air Force bases: Sheikh Isa (a bunch of USMC planes), El Udeid (to 120 British and American aircraft), Riyadh, Eskan. Blue - Navy bases: naval support base in Bahrain and Muharrraq airfield (British forces and USMC).

And the blue star is the same Abkaik, where is a large oil refinery attacked by Houthi drones. And now the "damn" question: how did it happen, what's the point, surrounded by large and well-equipped (the Saudis invest a lot in defense) air bases, with radars and long-range radar aircraft, was completely defenseless? how?!

The American Air Force, located in Saudi Arabia there is such a powerful trump card as the AWACS Boeing E-3 "Sentry" aircraft with the "Avax" system - they are located near the circle with the number 7, at Prince Sultan airbase. There is even a photo of them there:

What's wrong with the Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia — questions and conclusions

In the "stock" version, the "Sentry" can detect a target at a distance of up to 400 kilometers, in upgraded by RSIP program (Radar System Improvement Program), completed by 2006 year, emphasis was placed on the detection of cruise missiles and drones, and Sentry can, according to Pentagon claims, detect low-altitude VCs with EPR 1 m² at a distance of up to 425 km.

From the base of Prince Sultan to Abkaik - less than three hundred kilometers in a straight line. At least one AWACS aircraft must always patrol in the air, otherwise it makes no sense to have them in service. Airbases on the Persian Gulf coast are less than a hundred kilometers away, and there - enough radars are also working.

All this is said to, that we have NO ANSWER to the question, how, under such a dense "umbrella" of air defense, the Houthi UAVs were able to attack the refinery absolutely unhindered and unnoticed!

Let's go back to the beginning of the text - there are only two options.: or worth a lot of money, superbly pumped, practically "home" air defense of the USA and NATO as a whole is absolutely helpless in front of a dozen of some provincial flying crafts, even Iranian R&D, or the blow was not delivered by the Houthis, and someone (and something) others. there is, however, and the third option, but about him - at the very end.

According to the first option: it's hard to imagine a more instructive lesson, than that, which was taught to the world by the Houthis! Raise world oil prices by 13% and halve oil production in Saudi Arabia by attacking a dozen "toy airplanes" - in terms of cost-benefit ratio, it is even difficult to look for something more effective. Here you can applaud in silent delight! But why, in this case, costs the entire American air defense system? What is she worth after the attack 1 August 2019 years at the military parade in Aden, when the medium-range missile and the drone hit exactly the podium with the generals? What is it worth after the attack on Abha airports and Sheiba oil field? She's actually worth SOMETHING?

And what will, if suddenly a Mexican cartel declares a vendetta to the US state and starts attacking targets on its territory with such drones? Will America's air defense cope with drone attacks on nuclear facilities?, pipelines, NPZ, power plants and so on? Now we know, that there is. Proven and undoubtedly the same, like the landing of Matthias Rust on Red Square, costing the posts of the USSR Minister of Defense and the Commander of the Air Defense.

by the way, and what exactly did the Houthis attack the Saudi targets? What were these drones?, which flew at least a thousand kilometers unnoticed and at the same time carried a decent warhead?

We have reason to believe, that it was Samad-3, having a range of up to 1700 kilometers and developed in Iran.

What's wrong with the Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia — questions and conclusions

As you can see, it can hardly be called "stealth". But - flew by unnoticed. In the amount of ten pieces. Wonders! And this is not the first time ...

But there is also a second option (as well as the third as its kind): Abkaik refinery attacked by non-Houthi drones, and someone else. Who? Well, eg, they, who is desperately looking for a pretext for war with Iran, whose representatives are the Houthis. British and Americans.

However, the Houthis themselves speak against this point of view, who took full responsibility for what happened and there is no reason not to believe them - they have demonstrated similar daring blows before.

And so, properly, the outcome: Michael Pompeo, US Secretary of State, He stated, that the drones came from Iran, not from Yemen at all. But how could they fly from Iran, if on their way lay four of the six bases listed at the beginning, and in general - the Saudi coast of the Persian Gulf is very densely strewn with military bases?!

The Americans didn't have to attack the Saudi oil refinery themselves., to blame Iran for this and start aggression against it, it was enough just NOT to NOTICE the attacks. Ignore her. Close eyes.

And this option is the "arson of the Reichstag" - a tragedy, so beneficial to one of the parties, that she was simply not prevented from happening. And it happened.

Which option seems more plausible to you - choose for yourself. But the conclusions will not change from this.: or the Americans and their air defenses are losers and fools, either they are deliberately looking for an excuse to strike Iran and for this they are ready to frame their Saudi allies.

Gregory Ignatov

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