Do people with Soviet education, education and mentality one typical problem – they like to consider direct quantitative indicators. more precisely, So: they like quantitative indicators more qualitative, often forgotten about.
I.e, if, supposing, in Russia for so many years eliminated 1000 factories, and built only 400 – it’s a catastrophe and genocide. And that, that due to the multiply increased degree of automation and labor productivity, these 400 factories produce more, than old 1000, wherein, polluting the environment in 35 times less than, than old 1000, these are not facts for “red” newspapers. People demand simple linear numbers.
Approximately the same story with the issue of change of power.
https://cont.ws/@douglas/14067…
Albert Einstein once answered a question “1 minute – is it a lot or a little?” joked, what a minute – the concept is too relative. Minute in a hot pan – it's infinitely many, a minute with the woman you love – almost nothing.
Duration of Leader of State in Power – purely linear and numerical value, not showing QUALITY management. Out of context.
You can patiently grow a country for 20-30 years and achieve outstanding performance, can be for 4 years to bring down key indicators to the level of poor countries in Africa, as one chocolate president of a neighboring country recently showed us.
So that you fully understand the main idea of this article, I will quote Oleg Makarenko first:
“We used to divide people according to their appearance: blacks and white, Jews and Arabs, poor and rich, smart and stupid, young and old.
Actually, our life is much more affected by the characteristic, about the existence of which most people do not even realize.
This is the planning horizon..
For the homeless or the lumpen proletariat, the planning horizon is limited to one day: they set themselves the task of finding alcohol and drinking it. These flowers of life can be smart and talented., however, the habit of living "here and now" pins them tightly to the social bottom.
The broad masses of workers have been living for one month - from paycheck to paycheck. Although we consider banks legal robbers, however, modern banks make the life of workers quite tolerable: even if a certain thing costs more, than a one-month salary, you can still buy it on credit or on a mortgage, albeit much more expensive, than for cash.
The middle class thinks for years and decades. Middle class, eg, twenty years to study, twenty years to save the necessary amount or twenty years to consistently build a career.
Upper class, finally, can afford to think for centuries to come. If you look at the upper class, you will find, that most of them are people "with a pedigree", whose success today is due to a good start in the form of inheritance, connections and education. To not list examples with pages, recall, that Donald Trump's father was very rich, and Xi Jinping's father was one of the closest associates of Mao Zedong…“.
In a complex world, long-term strategies and the ability to take many steps forward win, work for the result, which is not yet visible, and which will not even come the day after tomorrow.
Prominent state leaders have never been in office 4-5 years. The example of the history of our country shows, that her best rulers were in power for decades (Ivan III, Peter I, Catherine II, Alexander II, Joseph Stalin), while the worst in a short time led Russia to disasters (rulers of the Time of Troubles, Interim government in 1917 year, rulers of the era of the collapse of the USSR). There is a similar thing in the history of other countries., particularly western (if anyone is interested in all these examples, I recommend a walk here >>>Russian expert <<< ).
The reason for their success is, that truly outstanding results can only be achieved on long planning horizons, when you laid the foundation stone of today's success 10-15 years ago, and today you are laying the foundation for success, which only your children and grandchildren will see.
Try to convince a representative of the Rothschild dynasty, Morganov, corporations like British Petroleum or Royal Dutch Shell including, that they need to change once every 10 years? They will look at you, like an idiot and kicked out with security. These world empires were built on centuries-long strategies, and the longer the same plan could be observed by the same “archistrategist”, the more stable the whole strategy.
Often only NOMINAL can change, formal leaders, in whose hands the entire completeness of management and responsibility for processes is not concentrated. Which are not required to maintain centennial strategies. Whose maximum liability – “steer” a short section of the known process to the desired indicators.
If at the same time a person with a planning horizon of several months comes to the role of general strategist, then it leads the system he runs to disaster for several years.
I.e, know, it is not the term of a person’s stay in power that matters, and that, how much does this term fit with the planning horizon, accessible to this person.
A man with a centenary horizon can rule the country for decades with excellent results.. A person with a monthly horizon cannot be entrusted with managing a state-scale system even for a year!
A person with 1-3 the daytime horizon cannot be allowed to control anything more complicated than a bicycle.
Who benefits from the frequent change of power?
As historical and political practice shows, frequent and automatic change can lead to a temporary effect. Such a ruler is deprived of the opportunity to fully manage the country. He does not have authority, for everyone understands, that another ruler will soon come to power, with whom you can start a relationship "from scratch".
This situation is ideal for all kinds of oligarchs., since the weight of the "owner of the plants, newspapers, steamboats ”becomes comparable with the weight of the head of state, because the, unlike the president, oligarch controls his resources and strategies for decades (if not centuries).
Firstly, the requirement to ensure frequent change of power in Russia is beneficial to those, who would like to deprive our country of socio-economic results, achievable ONLY when playing for long, when a single strategy is consistently conducted for tens and hundreds of years.
Draw conclusions, gentlemen and comrades…
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P.S. note: in the article, this line does not appear and does not imply a surname “Putin”. This article is not in defense of specific persons., but for the sake of understanding the logic of processes.
