The headline seems impossible at this time, since the majority of the population is dominated by the opinion, while Putin is president, no one can do it. but, let's look at the contours of emerging prerequisites, that, considered separately, no dangers foretell, but, being collected and structured together, paint a fairly clear picture, naturally, for those, who understands.
These individual elements have already been described previously., eg,
and also in a recent article, I went over the legal reasons for the destruction of the USSR.
The material is far from complete., but whoever wants can build the desired picture out of it.
1. “Nut tightening” – 2018.
A. Economy – IMF recommendations:
“tax maneuver” – reduction of export duties for fuel suppliers + tax increase = increase in domestic fuel costs to the level of the European average / world average
VAT increase from 18% to 22% – growing burden on business, increase in the cost of goods, including food
pension reform: increase in the retirement age in connection with statistics on the increase in life expectancy, the decision to raise the level of retirement to the world average – reduction in the number of retirees, reducing the Pension Fund's spending on pensioners, channeling the released funds into US and EU securities, UK
B. Politics – US actions:
Economic and political sanctions – from 2012 g. (“Magnitsky law”); from 2014 g. – in connection with “occupation” Crimea (US law (BILL) № 2277: "Act on the Prevention of Aggression by Russia 2014"; Resolution 758 U.S. Congress to strongly condemn the actions of the Russian Federation under President Vladimir Putin – link to retelling from RIA Novosti) and subsequent sanctions, promptly introduced by the US against Russia all this time, up to the present, and the new ones do not cancel the old ones, but complement and reinforce them.
Initiation of the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty – 02 February 2019 g. final exit – 02 August 2019 g.
News at the level of rumors about conversations in the US leadership, reflection and elaboration of options for the US withdrawal from the START-3 treaty
Amendment to the US military budget to impose sanctions on Russia's public debt
2. “The fall” Putin's rating
It would be more correct to call this situation “artificial reduction” Putin's rating, because the real trust of the people in him has not diminished.
However, this information is massively replicated in the media., and recently with enviable constancy. If all previous years the media provided information, that the president's rating is constantly growing, moreover, these indicators were given in comparison with the data of previous years, to the 2019 g. for the first time in the media, the picture has changed.
Interesting is the situation during “a straight line” 20 June, which is a defining marker for the supply of materials of this type. Vladimir Putin had to repeatedly interrupt the presenters, who diligently tried to distract him to consider the tasks of the level of decisions of the head of the rural settlement. Meanwhile, as the president himself and the national leader sought to choose and voice the most important issues of life, related to current events of that decision level, who not only can, but also should be decided in such discussions.
At the same time, the attack on Putin continues from criticism of the United Russia party., activities of her and her individual representatives, as in the manual, as well as in the regions, in places.
The image of EP is undermined as much as possible. One-sided exposure of weaknesses and predominant attention to negative events, as carried out by the EP itself, and indirectly related to EP, indirectly, prevails in all types of media, especially in online media and social networks. Actually, this can be called a mockery of power, situation, when news agencies transgress all moral boundaries and ethical standards of their activities. Definitely, this is not a personal initiative nor the performers themselves, no guidance. Given the mass organized nature of the publication of such “news”, this is a coordinated order.
Let's remember the situation 2014 g. in Ukraine. The same attack from the media on the figure of the president awaits Vladimir Putin, and very soon. And that attack will be the same planned, centralized and mass, as well as the attack on the legally elected by the people guarantor of the Constitution Yanukovych, whatever his moral character.
3. Creation of provocations to create the necessary media picture in the media, online media, social networks and other data sources for the mass population
A. Provocation around the construction of the temple in Yekaterinburg
The need for development “personnel” for a decisive battle requires the organization of provocations, with the subsequent recruitment of the right people, their education and practical training. Besides, Yekaterinburg is recognized as the most “painful” point for organization “loosening” current regime. It was here that at one time in the 90s organized and proclaimed “Ural Republic” with its constitution, authorities, currency.
Besides, Elected mayor through an anti-drug PR campaign and now suspended, Yevgeny Roizman made a lot of efforts to create the right atmosphere and recruit the right people.
Also in this city (Sverdlovsk 1980 city) Konstantin Semin was born, interviewed by M.B. Khodorkovsky; graduate student in the Documentary Department at New York University; running in the presidential primaries 2017 g. “Left front” (lost to Pavel Grudinin); whose father was a local city deputy, and is now a member “United Russia”; whose wife is about 2000 g. went to the USA, graduated from high school there and currently lives in the United States with their common son, born in the USA (left with her father, who worked at that time on the radiation topic at the American public institute NIST) – data from wikipedia.
But there are inconsistencies in the official biography and “White spots” (also an interesting personality trait).
B. “Golunov case”
Provocation, organized “fifth column” with the aim of discrediting as the leadership of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, and all members of the organization, including ordinary employees. The result should have been a decrease in public confidence in law enforcement agencies., debunking the authority of a law enforcement officer as a guardian of the law, removal of the moral barrier “can't resist the police”, “you can't hit the cops” etc., that is, provoking clashes with police officers in the performance of their duties, beating them, perhaps, murder.
This leads to the possibility of organizing systemic disturbances., coordinated actions, aimed at undermining the authority of the current government through undermining confidence in one of its institutions, which ultimately leads to the possibility of creating an organized coup d'état and overthrowing the government.
4. “Partnership for Peace”
This is the name of the agreement., established by the United States on behalf of NATO in 1995 g. and concluded with various states, including those who later became members of NATO, assistance in case of violation “human rights and freedoms”, “defense of freedom, justice and peace”, in case of territorial disputes, in the event of unrest and a threat to the current government (including local authorities, local governments).
This agreement actually means, that the signatory undertakes to comply with the instructions of the NATO High Command, as if it were a country – member of NATO, and fulfill contracts, concluded between NATO countries, in particular, agreement “NATO SOFA” 1951 city:
details here
Besides, “documents of ratification, acceptance or approval shall be deposited with the Government of the United States of America”, and through 30 days from the date of deposit take effect. Can this agreement be canceled? “by sending written notice of denunciation to the Government of the United States of America”, a denunciation “shall enter into force one year after the receipt of such notice by the Government of the United States of America”. However, this agreement continues to be valid for all other countries., who accepted it, as well as for the party that denounced it in part “settlement of outstanding claims, submitted before the denunciation comes into force”.
details here
This agreement takes into account the need to implement the Agreement between the Parties to the North Atlantic Treaty on the status of their forces from 1949 city, in which we are interested in. VII:
Article VII
1. In accordance with the provisions of this article:
a) the military authorities of the sending state shall have the right to fully exercise criminal and disciplinary jurisdiction in the territory of the receiving state, granted to them under the laws of the sending state, for all persons, subject to the military law of that State;
Agreement, referred to legally as
Agreement between states – members of the North Atlantic Treaty and other states, participating in the program “Partnership for Peace”, on the status of their Forces from 19 June 1995 city,
based on previously signed Framework Document, referred to legally
Partnership for Peace: framework document (Adopted in. Brussels 10.01.1994 at a meeting of heads of state and government – NATO members),
which expresses the main idea (Framework document, item 2)
This partnership is being created as an expression of a shared conviction that, that stability and security in the Euro-Atlantic region can only be achieved through cooperation and joint action. The common values that form the basis of the partnership are the provision and promotion of fundamental freedoms and human rights, defense of freedom, justice and peace through democratic means. Joining “Partnership”, state – members of the North Atlantic Alliance and other states, signatories of this document, remind, that they are committed to preserving democratic societies, freedom from coercion and intimidation, and upholding the principles of international law. They reaffirm their commitment to fulfill in good faith their obligations under the UN Charter and the principles of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, in particular refraining from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any State, respect for existing borders and settlement of disputes by peaceful means. They also reaffirm their commitment to the Helsinki Final Act and all subsequent CSCE documents., as well as obligations, which they have taken in the field of disarmament and arms control.
The agreement was adopted by the State Duma and approved by the Federation Council in 2007 city, then signed by the President in accordance with the performance of his official duties under the Constitution.
Agreement accepted, signed and entered into force as amended by Russia in 2007 g. in connection with the need for the United States to use the territory of Russia for the transit of goods and equipment to the territory of Afghanistan to supply their army with them, waging war there as a response to terrorist attacks, committed allegedly by al-Qaeda fighters in September 2001 g.
In this way, in the event of an appeal by official authorities of any level (including local) with a claim for violation of human rights and freedoms, a threat to the protection of freedom, justice and peace, issues, relating to territorial integrity and borders and the demand to restore violated rights and protect freedoms (as well as the world, justice, territorial integrity and borders) NATO troops must come to the rescue, enter the designated area, called the inviting party, and restore order according to their laws and principles (because the so-called principles of international law – these are their principles).
5. “Zero” flight missions in rockets
We, as a state, will not be able to protect ourselves with nuclear weapons from foreign intervention by the United States and its allies., because, even with 1994 city, in the Strategic Missile Forces all missiles have “zero mission, i.e. not going anywhere.”
Here are excerpts from an interview with Colonel General (for now) Sergei Karakaev, commander of the Strategic Missile Forces since June 2010 city, various media over the period from 2011 by 2014 gg., in which it is mentioned “zero” flight missions:
16 December 2011 g.
“TVNZ”
KP: – And it's true, that our missiles are not aimed anywhere?
Sergei Karakaev: – You, probably, remember. It was under the President of the Russian Federation B.N.. Yeltsin. When he once said: "I made a decision. Our missiles will not be aimed anywhere.". It was a political decision, after which we, military, began to solve this technical problem. All rockets today, who are on combat duty, really have a zero flight mission. I.e, aiming nowhere.
“Interfax – Russia”
In the same time, he noted, “today the strike force of the Strategic Missile Forces is on combat duty with a zero flight mission, that is, the missiles are not aimed at any objects”.
28 November 2013 g.
Learn Bulochnikov (cites another journal, when you click on the link, the inscription – log deleted, therefore there is no exact date of the original material)
“From a technical point of view, there are no restrictions on the possibility of using strategic missile forces. For, to select some object of destruction and enter it into the flight mission of the ICBM, little time required”, – cites “Interfax” Commander of the Strategic Missile Forces. But at present, the strike force of the Strategic Missile Forces is on combat duty with a zero flight mission., that is, the missiles are not aimed at any objects”.
16 December 2014 g.
“Center for Strategic Study”
- The so-called "zero flight tasks" are still introduced in ICBM control systems? Has the situation changed since then??
Yes indeed, at 1994 a number of agreements on the mutual non-targeting of intercontinental ballistic missiles were concluded, equipped with nuclear warheads. The first such agreement was signed between Russia and the United States in January. 1994 of the year, in four months - with China.
In May 1994 years in pursuance of the order of the President of the Russian Federation dated 22 Martha 1994 g. in the Strategic Missile Forces, work was carried out on the transition to combat duty with non-targeted missiles, ie. on the so-called "zero" flight tasks. Of course, this step was symbolic, because time, necessary for retargeting the complexes in accordance with the operational plans for their use, is a few minutes.
Nothing has changed since then, and "zero flight missions" were introduced into our missiles.
“Moscow's comsomolets”
In answering this question, commander reminded: really, at 1994 a number of agreements on the mutual non-targeting of intercontinental ballistic missiles were concluded. The first such agreement in January 1994 year was concluded between Russia and the United States, in four months – with China, after which our Strategic Missile Forces switched to combat duty on the so-called "zero" flight missions, that is, with untargeted missiles. "Of course, this step was symbolic, – said Gen., – because time, necessary for retargeting the complexes in accordance with the operational plans for their use, is only a few minutes. Nothing has changed since then: "zero flight missions" are still conducted into our missiles.
warning question, why is Sergey Karakaev so talkative every year in subsequent years, i.e. from December 2014 city, nothing about “null” did not speak flight missions in rockets, – As an assumption, I can make the following version:
US sanctions began “occupation of Crimea”, and this topic could cause indignation on the part of the population of Russia, as well as a legitimate question: “how long”? Therefore, it was decided to refuse her mention in the media..
Besides, new US ambassador to Russia, they became with 01 August 2014 g. John Francis Tefft, master of organization “color revolutions” (interventions).
Replaced him in office 03 October 2017 g. John Huntsman (younger) his appearance showed only a further increase in pressure on Russia, because he (quote from wikipedia)
In January 2014 became chairman of the Atlantic Council, a Washington foreign policy think tank.
Approvers, that flight tasks can be changed in a couple of minutes, forced to say, that such issues are resolved only by amending military doctrine, which are carried out through the adoption of the relevant law on the introduction of these changes. Our laws are adopted in accordance with the Constitution, Article. 15.4, but I already wrote about this: Generally recognized principles and norms as elements of external management
