The president. Commander in Chief. But where is the real power?
Zelensky for more than two months as an elected president, and more than a month as the took office and became commander. That during this time changed, what he promised, and that performs?
His rating has remained at a fairly high level. In the wake of the success of the presidential campaign, he has a real chance to hold the parliament's largest faction of the party "public servants". Whether he's got the majority of the sole, until the fact.
After taking office, he has not got the real power, the entire state hierarchy remained in the hands of the old regime, de facto it is led by people, put another Poroshenko. On the Cabinet of Ministers, special services, prosecutor's office and the judiciary it has no effect. President's Office seems to exist by itself, and the state hierarchy functions independently, continuing course of the previous regime.
Poroshenko rebuilt the system of power in his agony before the inevitable expulsion from the imperious Olympus is committed in every way to preserve and impose new president a course of confrontation, in which it refused the population in the presidential election, and certainly confirms the parliamentary, all sociology says about this.
He was not able to remove from power the key figures - Defense and foreign ministers, head of the SBU and the Prosecutor General, they remained in their places, and just went on vacation.
Zelensky team blames Parliament, which is not allowed to do this, but the President had the opportunity through the National Security Council to start an investigation against them and issued a decree to dismiss them from their posts, appointed temporarily performing, as did Poroshenko. There was not even attempt to do so, resulting Klimkin and Lutsenko allowed themselves to arbitrarily make decisions, contradictory and contrary to the president's program.
Take control of the army he also failed. Replacing the Chief of General Staff at the General's current military elite, involved in the bloody war in the Donbass, and there is not going to change anything, only led to increased attacks and provocations in the Donbas. Military, opposing President, managed at the time, when he called on everyone to cease fire, arrange on a Muslim holiday provocative shelling of a mosque on the outskirts of Donetsk, accusing the Donetsk militia.
The attempt to take control of the Security Service by appointment to the post of first deputy of his friend, far from understanding the problems of security services, also came to nothing lead. SBU continues kryshevat radicals, provocations and churns out the charges of "treason" political opponents.
whether it fulfills the promises?
Against this background, interest Zelensky's position on the fundamental principles, in the wake of the propaganda which he came to power. It is the establishment of peace in the Donbas and improving people's living standards. What are the application and concrete steps in these directions it is taking?
In their statements, the new President does not abandon campaign promises to establish peace in the Donbas, but he calls the residents of Donbas separatists, He refuses to meet with the leadership of the Republic, It requires reason of Russia's return to the conditions of Donbass of Ukraine and does not offer any real mechanisms for ending the war. Besides chatter, no concrete action is taken. The shelling continued and intensified, the ceasefire no negotiations underway.
Blockade continues Donbass, nobody is going to cancel. So Ukraine needs coal from the Donbass does not arrive. Metallurgical enterprises in the republics almost all stopped and the products do not produce.
And what with the economy?
Predatory tariffs for housing and communal services are not reduced and oligarchic type of energy supply schemes "Rotterdam plus" continue to operate, increasing the capital of the oligarchs.
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When Zelensky has another scheme, associated with the implementation of electricity. Now the state has refused to monitor the rates and generators, belonging to the oligarchs, can independently set tariffs for electricity. In, they rise sharply, there is no doubt.
The path to EU and NATO
In relation to Russia Zelensky has kept the rhetoric of Poroshenko - Russian enemy and aggressor, I must withdraw from the Crimea and the Donbass, and even to pay reparations, Ukraine only path to NATO and EU.
How to supporting the Minsk Agreement, it puts an unacceptable condition for Russia to expand the format of the Minsk, entering into it the US and England, thus it allows itself cause the statements of Putin, which is fraught with complication of relations in the future. No specific actions to implement the Minsk agreement is taken.
Radicals on the streets
Hushed during elections Adventure radicals again took to the streets. Aggressiveness militants intensified. They not only picketing worthless media and political forces, who believe "revanchist", but also threatened them with violence if they attempt to dismantle the Nazi system with its "democratic gains". In case of disagreement with the position or the statement of the president and his team members are picketing the presidential administration under the slogans, which does not mince words in the president's address. The law enforcement system, podkontrolnaya Avakov, naturally, silent and doing nothing, Adventure more pluck and directly say, that the non-fulfillment of their demands will arrange a military coup.
Direct insults and death threats Zelensky did not react. So, brazen escapade one of Yarosh radical leaders threatened to hang Zelensky at Khreshchatyk, pulling on several articles of the Criminal Code, He remained without a response and revealed the impotence of the authorities and the desire to blackmail Avakov new government radical rebellion.
Stop the music!
I tried Zelensky and international levels to strengthen their position. After meeting with Merkel and Macron he nothing better could not think, how to ask them to stop the construction of the "Nord Stream 2," and to strengthen sanctions against Russia. Naturally, I received the unequivocal rejection and advice to improve relations with Russia and to think about the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
Other trips abroad and meetings with the leaders of the second plan, except familiarly pat on the back, any success he brought no.
Do without intermediaries
In relations with the oligarchs and political forces opponents Zelensky was ranked as the least neutral, denies Kolomoisky and tries to lower the rating of its main competitor in the electoral field in the face of the party Medvedchuk - Boyko. Zelensky officially announced, that such intermediaries, how Medvedchuk, him in negotiations with Russia and on the exchange of prisoners of war do not need, However, no steps for the exchange did not, even when Medvedchuk has agreed with the leadership of the Republic of the one-way transmission of four prisoners in Ukraine.
Unlike Kolomoisky, Catches of the main international trend of rapprochement with Russia and began to make statements, that Ukraine is not Russia's aggression, and the civil war, you must negotiate with the leadership of the Republic of peace and to establish relations with Russia, Zelensky keeps saying about the Russian aggression and to put her senseless conditions.
The situation escalated dramatically after the attempt to carry out a direct teleconference Russia - Ukraine on one of the Ukrainian channels, controlled by Medvedchuk. All Nazi gang excited and began to threaten journalists with death, the prosecutor's office saw the signs of high treason threats and initiated a criminal case against TV channel, teleconference was canceled. Zelensky called it a dangerous pre-election move, aimed at dividing the country into two camps, and not think of anything better, As proposed in the form of boorish Putin to meet in the company of Western leaders and discuss the problem of return of the Crimea and the Donbass.
Test of strength
Helpless action Zelensky and not backed up by concrete actions ambiguous statements began to undermine his high rating. In any matter he showed firmness and not to defend its position, He has shown its weakness and inability to resist enemies and opponents. He starts to look like a man, which was not in its place, and is not able to stay on it.
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By embarking on the path of Poroshenko rhetoric, He went against the majority of the population, voted against the policy of war and, The most interesting, against their western sponsors, which clearly gave him to understand, that is expected of him specific solutions to end the military confrontation. Even in the face of the US Volcker said, it is necessary to solve the issues of implementation of the Minsk agreements, the country's decentralization, special status of Donbass and Amnesty participants of opposition.
It should be noted, Zelensky that have not yet done anything yet, that would close his way to the normalization of relations with Russia and the elimination of the consequences of the reign of the Nazi regime, window of opportunity still remains for him and he can use it.
Many experts explain the desire not to aggravate the situation Zelensky attempt to draw on the side of the party as many supporters from different parts of Ukraine and individually to achieve a majority in parliament. maybe, such a campaign tactics and correct, only it is not clear, that in doing so he would lose and gain, in politics, than anywhere else, respect and support strong, not Slabakov.
His weaknesses are sloughed society political forces, not willing to give up their positions. His weakness and indecision, he pushes opponents to an even more decisive action. They impose him its agenda and all available means do not allow the rapprochement with Russia and the cessation of the war in the Donbas. increasing pressure, Zelensky they are driving in a narrow corridor of opportunities and prevent, to become really strong president. Such a possibility he still has, and after the elections will be absolutely clear, It is able to justify the hopes Zelensky, assigned to it society, electing him president.
Yuri Apukhtin
