Thesis, the initiator of the meeting in Helsinki (Helsingfors) Trump became, It has become a common place, He writes on its website the famous Russian writer and economist Mikhail Khazin. I wrote about it before the meeting, because it was obvious, that Trump's time is limited (a possible crisis in the fall is not even the most important, the main thing — Elections in November). But yesterday I was able to talk with a very competent and likable man, who spent many years living in the US, who is very interested in politics and finance, and that, by the way, for many years I have been present on the site WC (before it turns into a cesspool). Who told me about another very important issue.
The thing is, that the modern US, on the basis of & quot; Reaganomics & quot;, This consumer society. Know it all, they, who have read, know, that it was due to growth in US household debt went into crisis 2008 of the year, but not all of them know (I, in theory, I knew, but I did not give special attention), that the main employer in the US is trade. Retail and Wholesale. And that it most jobs. And as a highly, and low-skilled.
In the same time, The situation of recent years (increase the burden on the debt due to rising rates, a reduction in real incomes and, the main thing, competition from e-commerce) It makes this business less and less profitable. According to my companion, many large networks are already thinking about how, to close your business, however, talks were held with them (from the state), so as, them to wait a little with this decision, even if it would entail some loss. clear, that Amazon & rsquo; and (and generally speaking, in e-commerce) the number of employees in general, and the number of jobs, necessary to ensure a Seller, much less. And the closure of traditional retail will inevitably lead to a sharp (and, in terms of political implications, possibly fatal) the deterioration of the social situation in the country.
note, that before the & quot; Reagan & quot; this problem has not been: a huge number of jobs have been in the industry, Besides, it was she who ensured the supply of goods in the shops and services actually trading places. But after private demand began to stimulate, while production output outside the US, the number of trading locations has grown strongly (because the purchasing power of the population has grown at a rate before the crisis more than 10 per cent per annum), but the industry was strongly reduced. And this, as is clear from the foregoing,, creates serious problems.
Moreover, these problems are aware of all the US policy, special, regional. A governor or mayor may not be the Republican Party (especially, of its wing, which supports Trump), a, in front of, of the Democratic Party. And because they have a vested interest in the, to the problems they have in the field has not been, they, apparently (Republicans) or implicitly (for Democrats) Trump will support in that part of its activities, which can solve this problem. note by the way, that bankers and opposition members of the federal part of the Democratic Party to this problem, there are no cases. To speculate on it, they can, but real plans, what can be done, they can not give rise (because any such plan — a blow to the omnipotence of the banks).
Assuming, that the term of an informal agreement with the owners of the retail power comes somewhere 2020 year (quite natural assumption, which, As I said, It is well known in the US establishment, not only in Washington, DC, but also across the country), then immediately after the election of the new president will start mass closure of networks with a huge rise in unemployment. Ago, who lost the election — does not matter, but the rest — no. And for this reason, Trump categorically should not just present some plan by this date (I previously wrote about, he need a positive plan for 2020 of the year), described in the text information suggests, that we need a plan & quot; is now & quot;.
He presented a plan, but he basically destroys the whole system of the modern world order (more than just, Bretton Woods financial and economic model). This creates serious tension levers, we see with the naked eye, and at the summit of G7, and Samma NATO. Only here the critics wrote Trump, what he does & quot; for the sake of Putin & quot;, what, of course, rave, because the structure of the US economy to Putin is not at all irrelevant. And the reality is entirely objective nature, and Trump to an unrelated.
But for the most Trump situation, when he is forced to break the world order, which they have been living for at least two generations of world politicians, certainly, krajne uncomfortable (and to whom it would be comfortable?). And there is not even in the fight against the projects and the Inter-elite: they have this problem, certainly, increase, but do not set deadlines. But the problem with the sharp rise in unemployment, as it appears, & Quot; shoot & quot; very soon. And for this reason, Trump forced hard act, he must seek allies categorically, ready to help him in the destruction of this very world order. Because only such acts, providing a solution to the unemployment problem, give him support in the elections, and on the part of the general population.
Since Putin leaders of this & quot; world order & quot; kicked to the curb, he God himself ordered to join Trump. But here's the time limits Putin has no (more precisely, they are not as tough, like Trump). And because, Putin appeared at a meeting in Helsinki as the stronger party.
