Sociological Monitoring Service (Rosstat) on their official website for a certain time "holds" with the publication of forecasts of demographic situation in Russia for the period up 2036 of the year. One of the projections on the size of our country's population by the end of this period,. The prognosis is divided into three parts: low option, Medium and high variant.
So, calculations by Rosstat specialists, in the "low" version number of the Russian population by the end of 2036 the year will be reduced by 10 million and will be 136,7 million people. At the same "low" forecast embodiment mentioned, what to 2036 the birth rate in the country will fall by about a third, and will be 1,18 million babies. For comparison - for 2017 year in Russia was born about 1,69 million children.
The "high" forecast embodiment mentioned, that the birth rate slightly exceeds the indicators 2017 of the year, reaching 1,71 million babies. In the same "high" version of the number of Russian citizens by December 2036 the year should reach 157 million people, ie 10 more than a million more, than the day today.
In this way, even the official sociological monitoring service provides data, which differ by as much as 10 million in both directions: number "may be reduced" population 10 million people, and "may increase" on 10 million. Can one of this prediction to make any accurate conclusions economic plan, which can be guided to calculate macroeconomic indicators 17-18 years? The question is open.
But Rosstat unhesitatingly declares, what to 2036 , the number of Russians between the ages of 65 years and older "just grow". According to the "low" scenario, this number will rise to 6,1 million people, and on high - and did on 12 million-plus. And on this basis, the ideologists of raising the retirement age and reported, without increasing strips can not do. That fact, that the population in the medium term may fall to the 10 million people, ideology known embodiment pension reform not considered, Guided outlook comfortable for yourself on, that "the older generation of people will be more precisely". And if you still will not be?..
