Incredible in terms of its macroeconomic forecast for optimism today submitted to the Russian Ministry of Economic Development. The main optimistic forecast MAYOR dedicated to the future performance of capital outflow volumes abroad. Calculations of the Ministry of analysts show, that an outflow of capital from the country by the end of this year will be on the 1,7 billion below, than last year - 23,1 billion of 24,8 billion.
However, the main department is not optimistic in this. Forecasters Ministry of Economic Development to seriously claim, what to 2022 , the outflow of capital from the country to fall almost 50 (!) times and will be only about 500 million rubles. What are the tools for such an impressive reduction mentioned indicators are preparing to apply the ministry, not reported. In order not to frighten luck?
The forecast for the next Six-Year Economic Development announced, what to 2023-2024 year capital outflow volumes grow again - to 0,6 billion and 2,8 billion respectively.
And if you compare with the forecasts of other institutions. Data “Vesti.Ekonomika”.
So, Russian Bank for the current year makes a prediction on outflow of capital from Russia at the level of 30 billion. it is, moreover,, that initially relied on the CBA 19 billion.
As seen, Russian official structures forecasts on macroeconomic parameters vary significantly over. Little of, it becomes clear, that neither the Ministry of Economic Development, nor the Central Bank is not able to accurately predict such parameters at least for a few months ahead, but at the same time trying hard to present the projection on a fairly distant prospect – on 5-6 years.
MED forecast inflation for this year - 3,1%. It should be recalled, that one only added fuel to the average price from the beginning of the year 12% its value for the end user.
