A week before the NATO summit, which will be held 11 and 12 of July in Brussels, special adviser to the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) Francois Geysbur in the discussion sectionThe world It expresses concerns about the impact on the EU attacks against multilateralism Donald Trump.
historians of the future, probably, write, that the XX century ended 8 November 2016 year with the election of Donald Trump, referred to in Article.
meanwhile, unlike the image often attributed to him, President Trump not only samovlyublennыy, inadequate and moody man, or a passing bad moment before returning to normal course of things. In foreign policy, Trump is present explicitly in the world for several decades, consisting in, that foreign countries America intends to conduct bilateral talks, relating to the transaction, the author says.
According to the expert, America must withdraw from all international norms and of multilateral organizations, playing only on the balance of forces to the detriment of any species of permanent alliances. Now that America is turning away from a system of alliances, constructed 60 years ago, shortly after the Second World War, notes Geysbur.
In a conversation with a senior official said that Trump, he had three opponents: world Trade organisation (from which it can leave by the US Congress Resolution), The European Union and NATO, referred to in Article.
& Quot; The American president directly connects its trade war against the European Union with Europe's dependence on the US safeguards, – says expert. – From now on, we move from the transatlantic alliance to the world, indifferent to the precarious commitments, subject to cancellation & quot;.
& Quot; NATO summit of multilateral Brussels 11 and 12 in July and a bilateral meeting with President Putin 16 July will be the first steps of the West split, – claims Geysbur. – And two-sided nature of the talks with Russian President, just as prone to the deal, like Trump, also adjust to any deviations behind Europeans & quot;.
Europe is entering his third major crisis in the current decade, in addition to the euro zone crisis, is restrained, but not permitted, and to the migration crisis, not depressed and not permitted. joined together, These challenges threaten to destroy the achievements of seven decades of European construction, analyzes the author.
& Quot; Russia, from my side, constantly shouting its opposition to the European order in the era, supposed onset at the end of the Cold War, and ruthlessly take advantage of any sign of weakness. And now the United States is increasingly becoming not allies, and mercenaries. Over time, we are threatened with a strategic, economic and social fragmentation & quot;, – He believes Geysbur.
& Quot; In such circumstances, the Europeans, there are three basic solutions: renouncement, and denial of split. Denial is, to work as, if nothing had happened: US return to the post-war model, Russia once again fall into the trap of its economic weakness, while China will send most of their energy in other places, and not in Europe & quot;, – says expert.
Split, manifestation of which it is & quot; Brekzit & quot;, today is the strongest trend, sure Geysbur.
Finally, there is a denial of the script, like the Protestant schism, which was Martin Luther personification of five centuries ago,. If the strategic dad, who lives in Washington, DC, indulges in illicit trade in indulgences security, It is not some rebel against Martin Luther, in order to embody the new Christianity? – says expert.
Europe has no shortage of economic or military means: The EU is the first trading power in the world, and the sum of the military budgets of NATO's European members, component about 200 billion, three times the military spending in Russia and remains comparable with China's Defense Force, explains Geysbur.
The problem is still the political: common European political and strategic decisions are not published, and the effectiveness of military expenditure on a European scale is built only over time, concludes the author.
A source
